Posted on 11/03/2020 5:45:18 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 673,828
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 558,412
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 115,416
11/03/20: REPs - 3,432,696, DEMs - 3,548,112, lead of 115,416 for DEMs, 39.1% to 37.8%
11/02/20: REPs - 3,404,088, DEMs - 3,512,211, lead of 108,123 for DEMs, 39.1% to 37.9%
11/01/20: REPs - 3,315,884, DEMs - 3,410,789, lead of 94,905 for DEMs, 39.2% to 38.1%
10/31/20: REPs - 3,160,735, DEMs - 3,276,786, lead of 116,051 for DEMs, 39.5% to 38.1%
10/30/20: REPs - 2,966,747, DEMs - 3,130,430, lead of 163,683 for DEMs, 40.0% to 37.9%
10/29/20: REPs - 2,784,101, DEMs - 2,991,015, lead of 206,914 for DEMs, 40.5% to 37.7%
10/28/20: REPs - 2,595,819, DEMs - 2,841,731, lead of 245,912 for DEMs, 41.1% to 37.5%
10/27/20: REPs - 2,383,218, DEMs - 2,685,500, lead of 302,282 for DEMs, 41.8% to 37.0%
10/26/20: REPs - 2,200,418, DEMs - 2,555,072, lead of 354,654 for DEMs, 42.5% to 36.6%
10/25/20: REPs - 2,076,621, DEMs - 2,440,470, lead of 363,849 for DEMs, 42.8% to 36.4%
10/24/20: REPs - 1,899,530, DEMs - 2,289,645, lead of 390,115 for DEMs, 43.3% to 36.0%
10/23/20: REPs - 1,682,849, DEMs - 2,110,366, lead of 427,517 for DEMs, 44.2% to 35.2%
10/22/20: REPs - 1,463,281, DEMs - 1,926,055, lead of 462,774 for DEMs, 45.2% to 34.4%
10/21/20: REPs - 1,221,835, DEMs - 1,708,632, lead of 486,797 for DEMs, 46.5% to 33.2%
10/20/20: REPs - 953,524, DEMs - 1,432,216, lead of 478,692 for DEMs, 47.7% to 31.8%
Our favorite map and spreadsheet:
bycomey’s Florida Map: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
southpaw1’s Florida Spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18U0IkZTXqGPhqWmK4QGtMO25BqR9RPvB5xPjgiCLQbs/edit#gid=0
Its VA-DAY
Victory in America.
I read somewhere that the Ds needed a 140k advantage on election day? If so we're looking ok.
Bring the hammer today, Florida republicans. Lets do this!
Maxed out my Florida PredictIT bet.
Too easy.
that’s assuming the same thing happens this year as in 2016. But in my opinion it’s not going to be the same. Many Republicans voted early for the first time so I don’t expect as many to vote today, but more importantly. MANY MANY less democrats will vote in person today than did in 2016, because they are TERRIFIED of Covid! My theory is the Democrats have mostly already voted, only a fraction will vote in person today. The people voting today should be 3 or 4 to 1 Republican. That is not like 2016 at all.
Curious how the dems gained more than 20,000 over the past two days. Was that the result of the “souls to the polls” efforts by the black churches?
First, thank you byecomey for this map. What a great tool.
Second, take a look at Palm Beach County. I am looking at Election Day voting only, and Republicans are out-voting Democrats in Election Day voting by 20 points. It’s early, and voting patterns may change during the day, but this is very encouraging. Sumter Co. look strong on ED as well.
Waited for an hour in Manatee County at 7:30 am.
Never wait. Everyone needs to plan to wait. Vote early! Leave work early today or sneak out in the afternoon.
More a function of certain Rs determined to vote on actual ED, no earlier.
FL is a mixed bag right now. No one knows. We have a few hundred thousand puerto ricans from hurricane 3 yrs ago. ALOT of transplants from other states this year due to Covid. Hopefully those fleeing states due to covid are repub votes.
This assumes all D votes go to Biteme. Big assumption.
DRUDGE will post Florida exits polls showing Biden leading at 5pm Eastern Time this afternoon to suppress Panhandle turnout. Ignore Drudge’s 5pm exit polls today!
Bookmark
Do we have a guess at the Miami-Dade - Sarasota numbers we will have to factor into the joeisdone D-R number to feel more comfortable we are accurate?
Please look at the registered voters numbers. They don’t lie and can’t be changed.
The final result is already baked. If GOP voters show up.....they win hands down.
Orlando is definitely more Hispanic than it was 4 years ago. A lot. Whether that will translate into Biden votes we shall see.
Also my concern. We’ve been counting on IP voting today. I don’t know if there are as many votes left as we think.
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