Red Republican - Blue Democrat
Posted on 11/02/2020 11:49:39 AM PST by montag813
In 2016, the polling averages showed Hillary Clinton with a three-point lead over Donald Trump. She ended up winning the popular vote by two points but losing the Electoral College.
This year, the polling averages give Joe Biden a much bigger advantage—7 percentage points. My polling for JustTheNews.com over the past month has also consistently shown the former Vice President with a 7 or 8 point advantage.The strength of Biden’s position is also evident in my Battleground State polling here at PoliticalIQ.In the three midwestern states that shocked the world and put the president over the top in 2016, my final polls show Biden leading by seven in Michigan, six in Wisconsin, and six in Pennsylvania. Four years ago, the polls showed much closer races in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
In Florida and North Carolina, a pair of must-win states for Trump, my latest 2020 numbers show Biden up by four points and one point respectively. Bluntly, the president cannot be re-elected without winning both of those states.
Possibly the most troubling numbers for the president in my polls come from two states where he’s ahead—Texas and Montana. He leads by just four points in each of these previously solid Republican states. On top of that, the candidates are tied in Iowa, a state Trump won by nearly ten points in 2016.
Obviously, surprises are possible. Many of these competitive states could end up in either the Republican or the Democratic column. That’s particularly true of North Carolina, Iowa, and Florida. So, we don’t know exactly what the Electoral College vote totals will look like. But the data clearly suggests that when all the votes are counted, Joe Biden will be the president-elect.
I need some optimism....
if biden wins, I will be depressed forever....my actions will be to cancel cable, cancel the newspaper, will not donate to charity anymore,will not watch nor support nor buy anything to do with professional sports, will not be the nice go along citizen anymore....
WAYNE ROOT: Las Vegas Oddsmaker Announces Final Prediction: Trump Electoral Landslide Coming
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com ^ | Published November 1, 2020 at 10:37am | By Cristina Laila
Posted on 11/2/2020, 12:13:42 PM by Red Badger
It’s all there. All the cards fell into place. Liberals and the biased and bribed mainstream media are just too blind to see it.
It’s Trump over Hillary all over again. It’s George HW Bush overcoming a 17-point deficit versus Michael Dukakis all over again. It’s the final days of Ronald Reagan vs Jimmy Carter- when all of America broke for Reagan at the same time.
At this moment, if you’re not blind, deaf, or very dumb, it’s clear a majority of American voters, certainly crucial swing voters in battleground states, are breaking for Trump in the final days.
It’s all adding up to a Trump electoral landslide.
And I’m not just talking about tightening polls; a few polls with Trump actually in the lead; or battleground states where Trump is outperforming his own numbers four years ago versus Hillary.
Much more importantly, I’m talking early voting numbers. Trump is doing extraordinarily well in early voting in states like Florida, Nevada, Iowa, North Carolina and Arizona. Trump and Republicans are out-kicking the coverage. In other words, they’re kicking the Democrat’s asses. With the physical votes on Election Day still to come. And we all know Republicans rule on Election Day.
If Florida is representative of battleground states all over the country, Trump is about to win both a popular vote victory and an electoral landslide. Trump is leading in both Democrat Miami-Dade County and Democrat Palm Beach County. Democrats are panicking both in Florida and all over the country.
Trafalgar Polling, the most accurate state by state poll of 2016, which factors in the “shy Trump voter” (people afraid to tell a stranger on the phone that they support Trump) shows Trump taking the lead this week in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
Rasmussen shows Trump’s approval rating at 52%, five points better than Obama at this same time in 2012, when Obama was heading for a re-election victory.
On Friday Poll Watch came out with their electoral map. They show a Trump landslide, 312 to 226.
In the end, this is all you need to know…
Trump is leading in Miami-Dade County and Palm Beach County (Democrat strongholds) in early voting. That’s like winning the lottery. That’s like lightening striking twice in the same spot. That’s an election miracle.
Biden had added a Friday campaign event in Minnesota- another ominous sign for Democrats. A Republican hasn’t won Minnesota since 1972. Democrats clearly don’t have Minnesota locked down. If Trump wins Minnesota, then a Reagan-Mondale landslide is forming. All bets are off. Trump could run the table.
I’m not a pollster. I’m a gut instinct guy. I’m a Las Vegas oddsmaker turned conservative talk show host. And I just happen to be the media personality who picked 2016 exactly right, and has been predicting a Trump electoral landslide for months- in the face of poll after poll showing double digit leads for Joe Biden.
Here’s what I know. Here’s what my gut instinct says:
*Nothing else matters like the poll question “Are you better off than four years ago?” Voters just answered 56% YES! That’s the highest in modern history. Reagan scored 44% and he won a 49-state landslide. Trump scores 56%.
Even more importantly, who exactly are they better off than? It was Obama-Biden four years ago. Common sense says they’re not voting for the guy who made them feel worse (Biden) over the guy who made the feel better (Trump).
*I know Florida is the key. If Trump wins Florida, he’s in the driver’s seat. And based on early voting numbers, Florida appears to be not just a Trump win, but a smashing win.
*Next in importance comes Pennsylvania. What’s been happening in Pennsylvania lately? If you haven’t noticed, deep-blue, Democrat-controlled, Philadelphia is on fire.
Rioting, looting, burning and injured cops. I guarantee you the rest of Pennsylvania’s voters have noticed. This will push Trump over the edge in Pennsylvania. Democrats have clearly destroyed Philadelphia. Why would any sane Pennsylvanian voter want them to do the same thing to the entire country?
*Then there’s Hunter Biden’s poisonous laptop. The media and social media conspired to blackout any news. It didn’t matter. The story got out. Did it change millions of votes? Nope. It merely changed a few key swing votes in battleground states. That’s all Trump needed.
*Finally, I come to the infamous “kill shot.” The coup-de-grace. Just as I predicted weeks ago, the 3rdQuarter GDP was released on Friday. It showed 33.1% economic growth- the highest in America’s history. It was double the highest GDP in history before this.
This is proof of the Trump economic miracle. And proof Trump has handled Covid-19 in an extraordinary way. He kept us alive and more importantly, employed. He kept our economy alive to fight another day. He kept our businesses open. We have hope, we have opportunity, we have a future. BRAVO President Trump.
Who’d be dumb enough to vote against that record? Who’d be dumb enough to vote against the greatest economic growth in history? 33.1% economic growth? My answer is no one (except a few dumb Democrats).
Game. Set. Match. Checkmate. Trump will win a smashing electoral landslide on Tuesday.
WAYNE ROOT: Las Vegas Oddsmaker Announces Final Prediction: Trump Electoral Landslide Coming
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com ^ | Published November 1, 2020 at 10:37am | By Cristina Laila
Posted on 11/2/2020, 12:13:42 PM by Red Badger
It’s all there. All the cards fell into place. Liberals and the biased and bribed mainstream media are just too blind to see it.
It’s Trump over Hillary all over again. It’s George HW Bush overcoming a 17-point deficit versus Michael Dukakis all over again. It’s the final days of Ronald Reagan vs Jimmy Carter- when all of America broke for Reagan at the same time.
At this moment, if you’re not blind, deaf, or very dumb, it’s clear a majority of American voters, certainly crucial swing voters in battleground states, are breaking for Trump in the final days.
It’s all adding up to a Trump electoral landslide.
And I’m not just talking about tightening polls; a few polls with Trump actually in the lead; or battleground states where Trump is outperforming his own numbers four years ago versus Hillary.
Much more importantly, I’m talking early voting numbers. Trump is doing extraordinarily well in early voting in states like Florida, Nevada, Iowa, North Carolina and Arizona. Trump and Republicans are out-kicking the coverage. In other words, they’re kicking the Democrat’s asses. With the physical votes on Election Day still to come. And we all know Republicans rule on Election Day.
If Florida is representative of battleground states all over the country, Trump is about to win both a popular vote victory and an electoral landslide. Trump is leading in both Democrat Miami-Dade County and Democrat Palm Beach County. Democrats are panicking both in Florida and all over the country.
Trafalgar Polling, the most accurate state by state poll of 2016, which factors in the “shy Trump voter” (people afraid to tell a stranger on the phone that they support Trump) shows Trump taking the lead this week in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
Rasmussen shows Trump’s approval rating at 52%, five points better than Obama at this same time in 2012, when Obama was heading for a re-election victory.
On Friday Poll Watch came out with their electoral map. They show a Trump landslide, 312 to 226.
In the end, this is all you need to know…
Trump is leading in Miami-Dade County and Palm Beach County (Democrat strongholds) in early voting. That’s like winning the lottery. That’s like lightening striking twice in the same spot. That’s an election miracle.
Biden had added a Friday campaign event in Minnesota- another ominous sign for Democrats. A Republican hasn’t won Minnesota since 1972. Democrats clearly don’t have Minnesota locked down. If Trump wins Minnesota, then a Reagan-Mondale landslide is forming. All bets are off. Trump could run the table.
I’m not a pollster. I’m a gut instinct guy. I’m a Las Vegas oddsmaker turned conservative talk show host. And I just happen to be the media personality who picked 2016 exactly right, and has been predicting a Trump electoral landslide for months- in the face of poll after poll showing double digit leads for Joe Biden.
Here’s what I know. Here’s what my gut instinct says:
*Nothing else matters like the poll question “Are you better off than four years ago?” Voters just answered 56% YES! That’s the highest in modern history. Reagan scored 44% and he won a 49-state landslide. Trump scores 56%.
Even more importantly, who exactly are they better off than? It was Obama-Biden four years ago. Common sense says they’re not voting for the guy who made them feel worse (Biden) over the guy who made the feel better (Trump).
*I know Florida is the key. If Trump wins Florida, he’s in the driver’s seat. And based on early voting numbers, Florida appears to be not just a Trump win, but a smashing win.
*Next in importance comes Pennsylvania. What’s been happening in Pennsylvania lately? If you haven’t noticed, deep-blue, Democrat-controlled, Philadelphia is on fire.
Rioting, looting, burning and injured cops. I guarantee you the rest of Pennsylvania’s voters have noticed. This will push Trump over the edge in Pennsylvania. Democrats have clearly destroyed Philadelphia. Why would any sane Pennsylvanian voter want them to do the same thing to the entire country?
*Then there’s Hunter Biden’s poisonous laptop. The media and social media conspired to blackout any news. It didn’t matter. The story got out. Did it change millions of votes? Nope. It merely changed a few key swing votes in battleground states. That’s all Trump needed.
*Finally, I come to the infamous “kill shot.” The coup-de-grace. Just as I predicted weeks ago, the 3rdQuarter GDP was released on Friday. It showed 33.1% economic growth- the highest in America’s history. It was double the highest GDP in history before this.
This is proof of the Trump economic miracle. And proof Trump has handled Covid-19 in an extraordinary way. He kept us alive and more importantly, employed. He kept our economy alive to fight another day. He kept our businesses open. We have hope, we have opportunity, we have a future. BRAVO President Trump.
Who’d be dumb enough to vote against that record? Who’d be dumb enough to vote against the greatest economic growth in history? 33.1% economic growth? My answer is no one (except a few dumb Democrats).
Game. Set. Match. Checkmate. Trump will win a smashing electoral landslide on Tuesday.
Rasmussen is no longer affiliated with Rasmussen Reports which is the poll you cited and which today has Trumps approval at 52%.
Scott Rasmussen split with his company about 7 yrs ago.
If the worst candidate ever running the worst campaign ever wins, that tells you everything you need to know about the day the USA became a communist country.
LOL, go away....newbie
Different outfit. Scot Rasmussen sold Rasmussen Reports 7 years ago. Scott's company is now called "Just The News".
Sure did for us here in Florida!
I should’ve put Trump victory first, he’s got a good chance at 280-300 EVs I think. I didn’t mean them in any order.
You left out what I believe will actually happen. Trump by a landslide. BTW, welcome to FR
Hes down with CCP
Hes down with CCP
Amen
It wasn’t as bad over the weekend with articles saying that the gap was narrowing. Others saying that the dems are getting worried, or that Trump is up in various states.
Today’s worse because a few articles are saying Biden is maintaining his double digit lead.
Scott Rasmussen founded Rasmussen Reports but left in 2013.
Why is Scott posting garbage on lefty wing Politico ?
He is groveling now .
That’s my fourth most likely. Least likely is a biden win turning to Trump afterwards.
Red Republican - Blue Democrat
Ah. Thanks.
My feelings exactly
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