Posted on 11/01/2020 9:12:20 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper
I have this crazy thought that this election is already going to Biden and all of this stuff with Hunter is going to come out starting 11/4 by the MSM. By the time Old Joe is sworn in, he’ll be out a few weeks afterwards due to the scandal and Kamala will take over.
I know...tinfoil hat kind of stuff...but I just can’t get it out of my head.
BS
People on the ground there are reporting growing red EV and predict a big red IPV.
Pick a poll to believe? People do not answer polls. It is a private thing for many people.
This is GREAT.
Dems stay home and Trump voters are motivated on Nov 3.
Being up in the polls is only good for Fundraising (nobody wants to give money to a loser), but it terrible for turnout.
A key to Hillary’s loss was from lower turnout in key areas because she was a forgone conclusion.
The Poll is complete BS, but it works in Trumps favor.
This is GREAT.
Dems stay home and Trump voters are motivated on Nov 3.
Being up in the polls is only good for Fundraising (nobody wants to give money to a loser), but it terrible for turnout.
A key to Hillary’s loss was from lower turnout in key areas because she was a forgone conclusion.
The Poll is complete BS, but it works in Trumps favor.
The facts on the ground; voter enthusiasm, early vote turnout, and a complete lack of democrat get-out-the-effort simply don’t support this.
Not knocking Rasmussen, but they’re not perfect.
landslide. A small sample for a state poll, and margin of error gives Biden tge advantage and Rasmussen has been one outfit whose ratios don’t go Dem plus ten. Too many here on FR, not saying you, but too many read the stuff over at Hoft’s GP and take it as Gospel.
As the vote return by party has dropped 50K a day off the early dem mail vote? And now is less than Hillarys dem vote advantage on day of election ( in number of ballots returned by party) with 1.5 days to go plus IPV heavy GOP?
Naah.
He is currently trailing by 95,000 votes. Trump will win FL.
I agree with your first point. As to the second. It is a radical’s wet dream. And sometimes dreams come true. So yeah it’s possible.
Moves of this kind are most likely just statistical noise.
These “tools” aren’t that finely calibrated - even if you assume a perfectly constructed sample - an assumption so large as to be ludicrous - movements of up seven points from dead zero (3.5 either direction) are within the stated margin of error. People are clutching pearls over moving 1 point up to one point down.
It’s statistical noise.
Rasmussen along with ALL other polls predicted Hillary win.
Only Trafalgar Poll predicted Trump win in 2016.
Hillary was up in every poll and Trump won. I will say it again, pollsters are going to be looking for new jobs once Trump shows them wrong again!
LOL!
None of these polls matter if Democrats have been getting away with massive vote fraud.
Oh sheesh.
Tell the floatillas and Cubans that.
Which means Trump up by 5
Trump wins a minimum of 320 electoral votes and you can take that to the bank
Latest Poll Numbers from 10-26-20 from independent pollster who has a large Fortune 500 data analysis company. This firm does much bigger sample sizes nationally and by state. 400 to 600 more on the average than Ras does on states and 4 to 40 thousand more on national polling. Also it is a proven fact that 1 in 5 GOP members polled do not answer pollsters.
National Trump 51.5%, Biden 43.6%.
5,000 LV +/- 1.0% MOE
Oregon US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Jeff Merkley 47%, Republican Challenger Joe Rae Perkins 47%.
Arizona US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Martha McSally 50%, Democrat Challenger Mark Kelly 44%.
Michigan US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Gary Peters 47%, Republican Challenger John James 49%.
Minnesota US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Tina Smith 47%, Republican Challenger Jason Lewis 50%.
Florida Trump 52%, Biden 43%.
New Jersey Trump 46%, Biden 47%.
Connecticut Trump 46%, Biden 50%.
Oregon Trump 47%, Biden 45%.
New Hampshire Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
Maine Trump 50%, Biden 46%.
Georgia Trump 53%, Biden 42%.
Virginia Trump 48%, Biden 46%.
North Carolina Trump 54%, Biden 41%.
Iowa Trump 55%, Biden 40%.
Michigan Trump 51%, Biden 45%.
New Mexico Trump 45%, Biden 43%.
Ohio Trump 54% Biden 41% (from 10/25)
Pennsylvania Trump 50% Biden 45%
Texas Trump 55% Biden 40% (from 10/25)
Wisconsin Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
Trump: 278 to 285 electoral votes. Mark these words.
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