Posted on 11/01/2020 5:51:10 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 653,646
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 558,741
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 94,905
OK, so by looking at post 1 of this whole thread, between Dems and Reps that is already at 7M or so. If it is a similar number, it seems as though there would not be but around 1M votes (or less) on election day. Is that correct?
I’m sorry, on my prior posts I meant if it is a similar number for INDs that have already voted..
OK someone was posting a CBS/YouGov poll earlier that said if you are voting on election day who are you voting for and it was like 70 Trump/30 Biden. I know how we all feel about polls, but it does seem to indicate that if the Republicans get out there Tuesday the way I know they will, Florida and quite a few other states will be a blow out.
It’s Going to be a Red Tuesday!
Not since the Dan Rather fiasco in 2004 has FR made such an impact. Just want to say love yall.
Actually, yeah, we did a pretty good job.
Hat tip to you, sir. You’re up for the MVP award this cycle.
D VBM return rate is 78.5%. Was 77.7% this morning. A weak finish. Could go up slightly with Miami/Sarasota. But I’m going to work on my prediction tonight and use 78.5%.
I think overall Ds should be disappointed in that. There were times they were heading towards 84-86%. Day late and a dollar short...
I’m going to assume D overall turnout rate is 78.5% and R overall turnout rate is 81.2%
We can track Election Day with JoeIsDone and see how both parties are trending in turnout vs these benchmarks.
Love you Man!
Thanks to both of y’all. You’ve been a life line...
Meanwhile, PA:
“Washington Post reporting dems worried about their prospects in PA.”
https://twitter.com/zeibars/status/1322870168259751938
Honestly your map is the glue that binds everything together. Once those numbers start jumping on Tuesday, I will post screenshots near and far. I cannot wait. Posting a screenshot of a single county like I was doing in 2016 seems rather passe and ineffectual.
A 5k day for Trolls to the Polls? Lame.
What do you think TO will be for NPAs?
Thats the number wed use to run hypotheticals, right?
52/48 for Trump
51/49 for Trump
52/48 for Biden
51/49 for Biden
Etc
A Goog search provides no useful information..
Why do pollsters use the 4/4 designation in Florida?
What does it mean?
And why is it not used in other states?
A link to a previous FR answer would also be appreciated.
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