Whether we hold the Senate or regain the House probably depends on the size of that victory. There are already straws in the wind that indicate the Republicans will fare well in both House and Senate. For example, Tillis in North Carolina looks to have dodged the bullet, even Arizona Senator Martha McSally could get carried along by Trump.
We only need 17 house seats to take it back and there are plenty of districts that Trump carried that are in play. There are also straws in the wind, for example, former Congressman Issa looks like he will regain his seat. Republicans are not going to be caught with their pants around their ankles while the Democrats are ballot harvesting in California.
This is not 2018, we do not have a special counsel pursuing a president he knows to be innocent and contributing (along with Rino reps) to our loss of the House.
Finally, I think there is a good chance for a substantial win even approaching a landslide, defined by modern terms, if, as we suspect, the independents break for Trump. If they do I do not think they will be in a mood to split their ballots.
So let's see how long Trump's coattails prove to be.
Thanks, Nathan. I see. DJT 331-207. Sen 55-45. +AL MI MN -CO. House 230-205
BUMP ** 2
Excellent analysis.
This is the Nathan I know.
Good post
The hard-working and insightful analysts who are producing hourly reports on this and similar threads make a powerful case that Trump is on his way to victory.
Whether we hold the Senate or regain the House probably depends on the size of that victory. There are already straws in the wind that indicate the Republicans will fare well in both House and Senate. For example, Tillis in North Carolina looks to have dodged the bullet, even Arizona Senator Martha McSally could get carried along by Trump.
We only need 17 house seats to take it back and there are plenty of districts that Trump carried that are in play. There are also straws in the wind, for example, former Congressman Issa looks like he will regain his seat. Republicans are not going to be caught with their pants around their ankles while the Democrats are ballot harvesting in California.
This is not 2018, we do not have a special counsel pursuing a president he knows to be innocent and contributing (along with Rino reps) to our loss of the House.
Finally, I think there is a good chance for a substantial win even approaching a landslide, defined by modern terms, if, as we suspect, the independents break for Trump. If they do I do not think they will be in a mood to split their ballots.
So let’s see how long Trump’s coattails prove to be.
...
Nice analysis...on a couple of fronts...House-related is one...on another, post-PDJT, I can see a Pompeo/Kushner ticket...I strongly believe with Kushner’s work in foreign agreements, people are grossly underestimating him and pigeonholing him into a liberal...I think populism has taken root. I also think Noem could be a VP...not a Pres, but VP. She has said she does not want to be president. Of course they all say that. Her husband spends a lot of time running the business and they do have a few kids, two in college, I think. It is different for women. Donald Jr will be in a more weighty role going forward, likely. The Swamp will be more drained through the second term, and more loyalists will arise and be forgiven for past swamp sins, perhaps with the “trust but verify” PDJT scrutiny and due diligence. He has learned much in 4 yrs. I do think he keeps his enemies closer than most, having a role’s replacement study how NOT to do a role while the person implodes, a la, BARR, WRAY, even Graham...I’ve run on enough.