Skip to comments.Trump Leads in InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Poll
Posted on 10/28/2020 11:54:34 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A post-presidential InsiderAdvantage debate survey of 400 registered likely voters in Pennsylvania shows President Donald Trump now leading in this key battleground state. The poll was conducted the evening of October 25 by both IVR and live cell phone interviews.
It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent and is weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. Further poll details can be found HERE
Donald Trump: 48%
Joe Biden: 46%
Jo Jorgensen: 3%
These results indicate a stark shift in the contest, InsiderAdvantage Chairman Matt Towery Sr. says. Our last survey of Pennsylvania showed Joe Biden leading Trump by three points. But that survey was before the last debate. Since the debate Trump has picked up support from younger voters, who based on our prior survey strongly oppose future lockdowns over Covid-19 spikes. Trump has also bolstered his lead among male voters by some 12 points.
Biden continues to hold a seven-point advantage over Trump among female voters. It would be nothing more than mere conjecture to attempt to correlate Bidens statements on energy and fracking in the last debate contest with the shift towards Trump in this survey. However, Trump saw gains even among senior voters which have not been his strong suit this election cycle. That suggest that some issue or set of events has caused a late shift in the contest.
Towery adds: Trump also continues to hold about 14% of the African American vote in this survey. In 20 years of polling, and as one who has polled Pennsylvania many times, I have never seen a Republican candidate consistently hold these type of numbers among black voters this close to an election. And this appears to be a developing trend in numerous states.
(Publishers note: Matt Towery accurately predicted a national victory for Donald Trump for major owned and operated Fox affiliates on air the evening before the 2016 presidential election. He has polled presidential races across the nation for 20 years. Specifically he has polled Pennsylvania for numerous news organizations, including the 2008 contest between Barack Obama and John McCain for Politico where his surveys showed an Obama victory. He retired from writing his nationally syndicated Creators column in 2016 and as CEO of InsiderAdvantage but returned to provide polling of the Trump-Biden contest this year.
Trump WILL win in a Landslide
I’m watching and he will.
Just got of stocks til after the election....
Who the hell is Jo Jorgensen?
You can do it Pennsylvania!
Trump was always ahead, but we’re getting closer to the election and in order to not look like total partisan hacks, and rescues some little bit of our reputation, we’re going to start moving the numbers, slowly, to where they actually are.
Jo Jorgensen (born Joanne Marie Jorgensen; May 1, 1957) is an American academic and libertarian political activist. Jorgensen is the Libertarian Party's nominee for president of the United States in the 2020 election. She was previously the party's nominee for vice president in the 1996 U.S. presidential election as the running mate of author Harry Browne. She was also the Libertarian nominee for South Carolina's 4th congressional district in 1992, receiving 4,286 votes, for 2.2% of the popular vote.
“It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent
Donald Trump: 48%
Joe Biden: 46%”
Not really outside the margin of error there.
The liberal meltdowns will be fun.
RE: Who the hell is Jo Jorgensen?
She is the Libertarian party candidate for President. This party always spoils the Republican lead every Presidential election cycle.
Both sides are expecting a landslide. Probably a close election like 2016.
Let’s pray he brings the Senate & House.
Please ping me with articles of interest.
FReepmail me to be added to the list.
Biden continues to hold a seven-point advantage over Trump among female voters
I dont think this is even true anymore.
I think women like Trump. A lot of them work every day and dont want their taxes raised. Many women own businesses now too.
A lot of them also know Hiden thinks hes running against Bush!
I have never seen a Republican candidate consistently hold these type of numbers among black voters this close to an election. And this appears to be a developing trend in numerous states.”
Would love to see President Trump give a Gettysburg speech.
It would be so appropriate. A redo of the speech he did at Mt Rushmore would be awesome.
Ah, the fools party.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.