Posted on 10/28/2020 8:41:36 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Polling indicates Joe Biden and the Democrats will win big. However, Democrats are falling short of the edge they need in early voting to offset the Republicans’ anticipated big edge in Election Day voting in three of four battleground states where data is available.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Thanks. I’ll be there. But if the election turns out as I think it will, schadenfreude will require me to flip between this site and CNN and MSNBC and TYT.
I was at the office on Election Night, 2016 and the internet wasn’t going smoothly or updating quickly plus there was no television.
So, I found myself at the New York Times website because it seemed to have the most recent totals. I thoroughly enjoyed their probability chart that started as Hillary having a 98% chance of winning and gradually fell...and fell...and fell... and fell. I could picture how many libs, who take NYT as gospel, getting more and more frantic.
I had been praying for Trump and my eyes were seeing a miracle play out. It was glorious.
I just mean ignore it in the sense that a whole lot of people will be posting nonsense here in the evening hours of 11/3.
Election night 2016 was quite the experience around here.
The “pearl-clutchers” hung on until late in the evening—while the networks refused to call most of the key swing states for Trump...
I expect to see the same thing this year.
Democrats at their convention implored their voters to vote by mail, and Trump has been imploring his voters to vote in person.
And the polls are reflecting this. Republicans will surge in in-person voting, because President Trump told them to.
-PJ
I think you're right. There's no enthusiasm for Slow Joe, but the left are het up with anger and hatred. They are going to vote.
excellent game plan!
Lol - I think the pollsters know that about cell phone numbers. While many area codes are indicative where you live, obviously many are not. That is why after you agree to a survey, they ask where you live. Then they will ask city/county. Sometimes they say great and continue and sometimes they don’t continue. I think they understand geography.
True, but “wrong state” calls still consume resources and that must impact the number of calls made.
And, as I said before, how many people look at their cell phones, see an unknown number, and just silence it?
As I said, cell phones and caller id are the end of accurate polling.
I think more people in general are voting early this year.
“how many people look at their cell phones, see an unknown number, and just silence it”
Pass that point. Changed iPhone settings. If caller isn’t in my contact list, call goes immediately to voicemail.
“Wall Street spent over $74 million to back Joe Biden’s run for president, topping Trump’s haul”
Rs are party of working people. Trump has made that change.
We lose some of the suburban college educated vote, but gain more with working class.
Rs are party of working people. Trump has made that change
-—————————————————————————————Brilliant point, somewhere on a thread this morning, I made the SAME POINT.
Rs are now the party of the working man, Ds are the party of Wall Street.
Take THAT, Dims.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898994/posts
after one of his recent rallies in Florida, Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel reported that “31.8% [of attendees] were NOT Republicans. 16.3% were Democrat. 24.4% did not vote in 2016. 14.4% did not vote in the last 4 elections.”
Trump’s new party cuts across traditional party lines and draws from every socioeconomic stratum in America. Although Trump’s base remains the strong conservatives who once vitalized the old Republican Party, he has attracted new voters among blue-collar Democrats, immigrants, and minorities.
It might NOT be the shy Trump voters that put Trump over the top this time...it might be democrats...
Here is a sample of the latest data from the states that in the news and a few surprises. POTUS is working the down ticket with his rallies and is spotlighting GOP candidates.
Latest Poll Numbers 10-26-20 TRENDING RED !
National Trump 51.5%, Biden 43.6%.
5000 likely voters = +/- 1% MOE
Oregon US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Jeff Merkley 47%, Republican Challenger Joe Rae Perkins 47%.
Arizona US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Martha McSally 50%, Democrat Challenger Mark Kelly 44%.
Michigan US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Gary Peters 47%, Republican Challenger John James 49%.
Minnesota US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Tina Smith 47%, Republican Challenger Jason Lewis 50%.
Florida Trump 52%, Biden 43%.
New Jersey Trump 46%, Biden 47%.
Connecticut Trump 46%, Biden 50%.
Oregon Trump 47%, Biden 45%.
New Hampshire Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
Maine Trump 50%, Biden 46%.
Georgia Trump 53%, Biden 42%.
Virginia Trump 48%, Biden 46%.
North Carolina Trump 54%, Biden 41%.
Iowa Trump 55%, Biden 40%.
Michigan Trump 51%, Biden 45%.
New Mexico Trump 45%, Biden 43%.
Pennsylvania Trump 50%, Biden 45%
Wisconsin Trump 50%, Biden 45%.
Until Fox News gets around to putting the Republican over 270, the rest of the networks and newspapers will play a little “too close to call” shell game where one won’t call Georgia, one won’t call Pennsylvania, another won’t call Michigan, etc to keep from putting Trump over the top. That’s what happened in 2016 but it also happened in 2004.
I think CNN has still yet to call Ohio for Bush from 2004.
Thanks. I am bookmarking your poll posts.
Thank you.
RE: Here is a sample of the latest data from the states that in the news and a few surprises.
Just curious Darth, where are you getting these poll numbers? What’s the source?
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