Posted on 10/28/2020 6:30:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 620,908
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 374,996
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 245,912
I couldn’t remember if they update on ED til the end of the day or if numbers are flowing all day.
As far as I can tell, it’s only Escambia, Santa Rosa and Okaloosa closing early today and opening late tomorrow. Shouldn’t be too much of an effect on the numbers.
—
Deep Red areas with rather high population
worth a couple 1000’s + REP votes I assume
It would not be without the reps voting like their lives depend on it. Which they do.
Duval, Lee and Collier, deep red counties, contributing rather too many 1000s of Advantage Biden votes.
Annoying. What was done in Duval the GOP missed?
No idea how accurate it is
It wasn’t Duval.
3pm update
EV rep +38,565
mail in dem +5782
net Rep +32483
EV rep +44,636
mail in dem +5094
net Rep + 39,542
82% of net lead where we were yesterday
multiple that by 54,500 net gain yesterday that is 44,770 net
now take off 1000 from early panhandle closings
43,770 net REP gain projected today???
which would mean 203K dem total advantage
really hope I am off and we can crack sub 200K today :)
more then 1000. You don’t have to be closed to have people leave town for overnight and start outwards . . . this morning.
People aren’t evacuating the Panhandle for a Cat One storm.
more then 1000. You don’t have to be closed to have people leave town for overnight and start outwards .
Yes I know it may be more then that during the entire day
but I am talking from here on out :)
what ever few you had during the day will be ZERO from 3pm to 7pm central
The talahassee guy says Cat 1 isn’t enough to get people out. FL ppl would know, so you’re likely right. Only the closures hold down the vote.
We’ll have to see how many blue state governors with big mail in leads declare election day queues are too dangerous to allow.
NV updated: https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3
Ralston also wants to depend on the Indies.
That seems to be the Dem “go to” when Rs are looking better.
For the love of God! When are we going to defund NPR??
Ralston getting a bit nervous - wants an 80K Rat ‘firewall’; plus he talks about Washoe Country nearly even turnout (not a good sign for the Rats). Going to be an interesting finish.
“French President Emmanuel Macron imposed a new nationwide lockdown as coronavirus cases surged in his country. The lockdown will go into effect from Friday.”
I thought only Trump was mismanaging the pandemic and the rest of the world was on the mark.
Hum. Maybe the pandemic would have progress exactly the same in the USA no matter who the president was. Because, we have no vaccine and medical PPE is mostly manufactured overseas.
Landfall of the storm is supposed to be in the NOLA area, that’s 200 miles West of Pensacola. Gusts only up to 55mph. It’ll be some rain and a little wind, it’s nothing for us.
Margin less than 2.6 points from 2016.
Trump has a chance.
How many of those unemployed union people aren’t voting because the Dem Gov shut down their economy?
That’s my favorite day to track counties! Numbers jump like crazy! Now with JoeisDone don’t have to track 50,60,65 counties separately.
“Ralston getting a bit nervous - wants an 80K Rat ‘firewall’; plus he talks about Washoe Country nearly even turnout (not a good sign for the Rats). Going to be an interesting finish. “
Ralston is a dick, as I’ve often said, from experience with him and his to gophers.
Go to his blog, he has a spreadsheet of his projections. They all show a Biden win from 2% to 6%.
But his special sauce is he assumes both Dems and Reps turn out 90% of their base. I don’t think laid off Casino workers are showing up at 90%. And I don’t think they are voting 90% Biden after Gov Sisolak Covided the casino/convention industry and killed their jobs. And UNLV students won’t be a force.
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3
Biden may win, but it gonna be a squeaker.
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