Posted on 10/28/2020 6:30:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 620,908
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 374,996
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 245,912
You never fool anyone, concern troll.
You’re just not very good at it.
Noon update today
EV REP +19,849
Mail DEM +986
Net REP +18,863
20 to 1 EV Rep gain vs DEM mail in gain
Falling behind yesterdays pace. Not the best news with panhandle counties closing a 4pm eastern. Some people on twitter are claiming that historically Monday and Tuesday are the best Days for REP early voting historically then it tails off later in the week
noon update yesterday from that thread
Daily
EV Rep +23697
Mail- Dem +996
Net +Rep 22701
Wendy Davis is a witch. Keeps running in Texas and losing.
“#TX21:
Roy (R-inc) 47% (+5)
Davis (D) 42%
@WPAIntel/@club4growth (R), LV, 10/11-12
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/522945-in-partisan-slugfest-can-chip-roy-overcome-trump-troubles?rnd=1603814930
“
I add 2 EVs from Maine and CO to your list. If Trump has a really big day OR and ME-01 could come into play (but don’t hold your breath).
I add 2 EVs from Maine and CO to your list. If Trump has a really big day OR and ME-01 could come into play (but don’t hold your breath).
Sorry, I meant this for CatOwner..........
You never fool anyone, concern troll.
You’re just not very good at it.
I just Early Voted in Florida. At a polling place on the outskirts of Tampa, the crowd was 80 % white male over 45 (40-50 people in line, coming and going). This is Trump’s demographic.
Not anything substantial, but certainly a good sign.
Still thinking Ds have a lead by Election Eve around 120k vs 96k in 2016.
Setting up for a WIN on November 3rd when we spike the football.
Am i reading this wrong, but that site seems to indicate that dems will be in the same shape on election day as they were in 2016.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
2h
In Sumter Co., FL, as of this morning 72,695 out of 105,612 registered voters (69%) have already voted - which I believe is the highest turnout rate outside of auto-VBM states.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
13m
Although we know that Trump is likely to better in the EDay vote than the early vote virtually everywhere, there’s not *that* huge a difference between the Sumter voters who have voted so far and those who haven’t...
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Replying to
@Redistrict
Among the 72,695 Sumter voters who have cast ballots, they break down:
58% R
25% D
17% NPA/Other
Here’s the breakdown of the 32,917 Sumter registrants who *haven’t* yet cast ballots:
53% R
21% D
26% NPA/Other
If Trump wins PA it simplifies things a lot in terms of stringing together enough electoral votes. If PA is called for Biden I’ll have a pretty stressful night as the rest of the upper Midwest comes in.
I’d like to see DJT do last minute stops in VA and DE. Could you imagine the panic in the dems wondering what his internals show. Delaware was a 50,000 vote difference. Third parties took 20,000. DE is improbable, but not impossible.
Except Trump is ahead of where he was there in 2016.
PA is probably not going to be called on election day.
AZ + NC + MI can negate PA and make it irrelevant. I dont know why everyone is hung up on PA when they are going to try to count votes for a week after ED. Kick ass in MI and AZ (I think NC is in the bag) and this thing is over on election day while the Dems run around Pennsylvania trying to harvest votes.
I remain an outsider on this.
PA will be called on election night, especially if AZ, MI, and WI are called.
With PA....they will be able to compare the vote totals of the outter counties with 2016. I think you will have a pretty good feeling before the Philly counts start coming in. I think they increase that early lead by a good amount and Philly once again will not be able to pull through for Dems. If Trump is for whatever reason under performing 2016 we have to start banking on another state.
Those early voters will vote in normal voting. Thank you for your phony concern.
Assuming that all of those votes are going for Biden.
No way they cancel each other out. Trump is getting overwhelming support from the GOP, Biden base is collapsing.
Very true.
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