Posted on 10/27/2020 5:55:37 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 615,110
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 312,828
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 302,282
twitter thread noted above is interesting.
They can find polls to say what they want, just like we can. They can find analysis to say what they want and ditto.
OTOH they see Biden +9 in Georgia. You would think the rational ones would speak up.
Which is one reason why they flip TF out when they lose. They believe all the fraud polls and their own lies, which leads to disillusionment. Trump was never an "underdog" to Hillary at any point.
Media goons keep telling us "Trump is so hard to poll." No he's not, their pollsters are just lying frauds - like their anchors.
I am registered as an “I” and I voted Trump. So, that is two Is for Trump! ; )
Bookmark
1.19 means we turnout 19% more per day over Ds?
The Monk in me says lets shoot for 20%. A much more even number.
“Very static state”
Its that cool weather.
“Sorry if I missed it, but it looks like the vote by mail numbers are falling off significantly. Is that true? Is the Democrat well running dry?”
Rate has slowed but could still get another 400-500k ballots by this weekend.
The Rs vs Ds returned number is getting closer and Ds not netting too many on a daily basis now.
I’m going to yell for joy if Ds don’t get their VBM return rate much higher than 2016. I think current trendline is around 75.9% by Election Eve and that number has been coming down.
And they started off at such a fast pace. To paraphrase Obama, don’t discount Biden’s ability to F it up.
Hooray for our side!
D VBM return rate at 69.0 vs 68.1% this morning. Half a day, so they are doing decent today. Small net gain though.
R VBM return rate is 66.1 vs 64.8% this morning.
Gap at 2.9 vs 3.3 point gap this morning.
The Dem/Dim view: http://steveschale.squarespace.com/
You will keep adding to that all day!! I am on my way to POLL WATCH in MIAMI!!
That’s good
“among the universe who showed up in 2016 and/or 2018, Democrats have seen 59% of their vote already cast, Republicans 48% and NPA 47%.”
Any idea how amendment 3 is polling? Open primaries would be a disaster in Florida.
Finally some demos:
“Whites make up 65% of all votes so far”
“Black voters make up 12.4% of all voters so far”
“I get the concern about Dade from Democrats. I also get it is a place that beats to its own drummer. The bad news: GOP turnout rates are higher than Democrats. “
Miami! Miami! Miami!
Go Dolphins!
Open Primary will fail in FL!! It will follow the ED...even Dems are weary of interference! It will fail!
Real American Politics
@RealAPolitics · 5m
PROJECTED DEMOCRAT EARLY VOTE LEAD IN FLORIDA BEFORE ELECTION DAY: 157,313
CURRENT PROJECTED FLORIDA RESULTS:
Trump - 50.20%
Biden - 47.16%
“magic number for Democrats to be ahead”
You know where that started? And spread via twitter across the globe.
“if the home team does well in the upper Midwest, I think Florida falls our way as well. If Trump turns it around up there, I think he also wins Florida.”
As goes Florida, so goes the Nation. He said it, not me.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.