Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: TangledUpInBlue

Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election


I remember that number being much higher from 538 on election day.


2 posted on 10/26/2020 11:49:26 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: God luvs America
I remember that number being much higher from 538 on election day.

71.4% TO 28.6%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

5 posted on 10/26/2020 11:52:30 AM PDT by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

Hillary was a no-brainer to win by a landslide:

https://time.com/4546942/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-lead-poll/

Time Magazine said so.

So did many of my fellow employees.

(I knew they were clueless, but I kept my big mouth shut. You can’t fix stupid, and I had no interest in trying...:-) )


6 posted on 10/26/2020 11:52:44 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

No, 538 was effectively that on Election Day.

Other media was 85-95% in favor of Hillary.


13 posted on 10/26/2020 11:54:22 AM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

I watched some website that had odds of winning percentages updating constantly in real time and she started in the high 90s.

Around 11pm, he hit 50% and it snowballed from there.

I don’t EVER remember her odds being that low.


21 posted on 10/26/2020 11:58:59 AM PDT by Salamander (Clap for that, you stupid bastards!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

I think it was closer to 83%, but 538 gave him much better odds than most places.


22 posted on 10/26/2020 11:59:12 AM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

You were probably thinking of New York Times who gave Hillary 90% chance of winning.


44 posted on 10/26/2020 12:36:46 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America

Yes
It was at over 70%


46 posted on 10/26/2020 12:39:09 PM PDT by Rocko Jack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: God luvs America
I remember that number being much higher from 538 on election day.

I believe most "experts" predicted Mrs. Bill Clinton had a 90% or more chance of winning.

Is the 538 reference to a predicted 538 Electoral College votes?

66 posted on 10/26/2020 2:27:33 PM PDT by libertylover (Election 2020: Make America Great Again or Burn it to the Ground. Choose one.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson