Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election
I remember that number being much higher from 538 on election day.
71.4% TO 28.6%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Hillary was a no-brainer to win by a landslide:
https://time.com/4546942/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-lead-poll/
Time Magazine said so.
So did many of my fellow employees.
(I knew they were clueless, but I kept my big mouth shut. You can’t fix stupid, and I had no interest in trying...:-) )
No, 538 was effectively that on Election Day.
Other media was 85-95% in favor of Hillary.
I watched some website that had odds of winning percentages updating constantly in real time and she started in the high 90s.
Around 11pm, he hit 50% and it snowballed from there.
I don’t EVER remember her odds being that low.
I think it was closer to 83%, but 538 gave him much better odds than most places.
You were probably thinking of New York Times who gave Hillary 90% chance of winning.
Yes
It was at over 70%
I believe most "experts" predicted Mrs. Bill Clinton had a 90% or more chance of winning.
Is the 538 reference to a predicted 538 Electoral College votes?