Posted on 10/26/2020 11:46:27 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary.
Today, Fivethirtyeight thinks Biden has an 87% chance of winning the election. An almost slam dunk case. I disagree.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Didn’t some newspaper in NH just endorse Biden today?
Great news if these states deliver for Trump.
Where do they keep coming up with this “Stunning Upset” nonsense? Incumbent Presidents are notoriously hard to defeat. George W. Bush and Barack Obama are perfect examples of unimpressive leaders who won anyway. In order to lose you either have to be stunningly incompetent (think Jimmy Carter) or get abandoned by the base (like George HW Bush). Trump isn’t in either category so if there’s any upset it will be if he loses. That’s not going to happen.
“Trump will blow your narrative to sh*t.”
There. Fixed it.
You were probably thinking of New York Times who gave Hillary 90% chance of winning.
Bookmark
Yes
It was at over 70%
Follow the money.......Pollsters don’t make any money unless they are polling, ergo, if they showed President Trump 30 points ahead why poll? By claiming Biden ahead which would be an upset the respective parties keep the pollsters busy polling and making big bucks.
What a stupid article. It starts with saying polls are accurate... (laughable)
Donald Trump is a controversial figure. He doesn’t come across as a nice person towards his opponents. Hi lies, he cheats, he plays dirty to win. That’s why some Trump supporters don’t feel comfortable admitting to anyone that they support Trump.
Bias much?. Also perhaps hes missed the incredible public display of support for Trump Not just in the US, but worldwide.
“Thats why some Trump supporters dont feel comfortable admitting to anyone that they support Trump.
No, it’s because they fear being canceled, attacked & beaten up, and their property destroyed.
Biden blameless and incorrupt? It is to laugh!
Preparing them for riots and looting.
Right?! Omg. He may be a finance director, but he has zero clue outside of this field. He needs to stick with the Dow.
7 days to SAVE OUR REPUBLIC..
Please Christian brother and sister...PRAY RIGHT NOW...STOP what you are doing..kneel down and ask God in the name of Jesus to restore America and protect President Trump.
Please, please....Do It NOW...
... prayer IS the most powerful HOPE for our Republic...
Please ...... PRAY RIGHT NOW...
humble yourself
You must overcome your flesh to pray saints....do it now. STOP whatever you are doing and PRAY....the longest trip you take is the one to your knees before God eternal.
May God Bless America.
I will repost this MOST critical post repeatedly from now until the election. Pray that we all truly begin to pray.
Your brother, in the love of Jesus, RevelationDavid
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2 Chronicles 7:14 (NIV)
If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
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2 Cor 10:3-6
For though we walk in the flesh, we do not war after the flesh: 4(For the weapons of our warfare are not carnal, but mighty through God to the pulling down of strong holds;) 5Casting down imaginations, and every high thing that exalteth itself against the knowledge of God, and bringing into captivity every thought to the obedience of Christ; 6And having in a readiness to revenge all disobedience, when your obedience is fulfilled.
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Ephesians 6:12 KJV
For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities, against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places.
The bias was so bad I couldn’t even finish the article.
“Because after all, she was born to be president, born to be the first female president,”
https://archive.org/details/folgers_hillary_trump
I'm giving him a 31% probability of reaching the 306 that he won in 2016.
This can change with new polls.
-PJ
Thanks for posting this
Had to stop reading the Trump hater but at least he is honest about the election.
“Hi [sic] lies, he cheats, he plays dirty to win. That’s why some Trump supporters don’t feel comfortable admitting to anyone that they support Trump.”
Total BS, Trump supporters don’t want to be vandalized and attacked by violent Leftists, and hate crooked pollsters.
The polls are tightening just like last time, guess what, it’s for the same reason. Pollsters don’t want to look completely stupid as using slanted polling samples to try influencing the election.
Witness this text: "Theres always an October surprise. Last time it was the Comey disclosure. This time it is Hunter Biden. Yeah, I know it doesn't even compare to the way Donald Trump uses the presidency for personal profit. However, Joe Biden failed to brand Trump as the most corrupt politician ever, whereas Donald Trump's team is extremely skillful at fabricating a corruption scandal that will probably sway the election in Trump's favor."
Trump uses the presidency for personal profit? Trump is the most corrupt president ever? The Biden scandal was entirely fabricated?
Wow. Not a shred of evidence presented, just falsehoods offered as facts.
I think the enthusiasm gap is very misleading.
While Dems may not be enthusiastic about Biden, they ARE enthusiastic about turning Trump out.
That doesn’t play as well as being for someone. Look at 2008. Many detested the Obami and what he stood for but in the end the enthusiasm for Obami prevailed. I think you are underestimating the enthusiasm gap. I have never seen it like this even in a blue state.
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