Posted on 10/25/2020 9:26:05 AM PDT by MAGA2017
I believe President Trump will win. But I do have concerns about some states that could possibly go to Biden. I've been tinkering with the interactive electoral map at https://electoralvotemap.com and at the moment I think the final results could look like this: https://imgur.com/gallery/2rQZmrA
I'm assuming WA, OR, CA and NV will go to Biden. But I'm hoping that NV or OR (if enough people sick of what's been happening Portland) will go for Trump.
I am concerned about MN, WI, IA, NC. I think Trump needs to win two of these states to help ensure victory. What do you think of those four states?
AZ may be lost due to the influx of people from California but it still could go for Trump. But I'll give it to Biden for now.
261 electoral votes for Biden feels generous to me. He's such an awful, corrupt candidate but I'm trying to be cautious here. There will be vote fraud and abuse by Democrats. It's just a question of how much and if they can manage to steal the election in key counties/states.
I'm fairly confident Trump will win MI, PA and FL.
What do you think?
Step away from the keyboard. You can’t do anything about it and it’s only a week+ away....it’s in Trump’s and God’s hands, now. Best we can do is pray.
“Four years they have planned for this election.”
ROTFLOL!
even before they knew who their candidate was?
you’re a piece of work ... fortunately, you’re absolutely the least effective troll of FR due to your stupidity and idiocy ... in fact, you’d be a perfect shill on CNN or MSNBC ... have you thought about applying for a job there?
You don’t think 2018 was a trial run? Dead Lord, you can’t be that stupid.
The Dems have chosen PA and MI as their vote fraud redoubts.
My optimistic scenario has Trump with 288 EC votes for the win.
My pessimistic scenario has Trump with 252 EC votes for the loss.
The swing states are PA and MI.
The black vote is always looked to and hyped—and has not shown any improvement for decades. Lots of talk this year—just like previous contests—kind of like Charlie Brown and the football—but fingers crossed and remain upbeat as it has to happen someday.
Look for Trump to get 330-336 EVs.
I think Trump will flip New Hampshire - only four EV’s but every little bit counts - also has a chance to turn Minnesota and maybe even Nevada, although the cheating in the latter will probably cancel out his win there......
In Wisconsin in 2016 you had NeverTrumper Sykes depressing Trump’s votes in the WOW counties-the 3 counties around Milwaukee which are heavily Rep.
Those 3 will outperform 2016.
My family has sent four reliable Trump voters to Texas from California.
I am, therefore I think.
Biden:
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48 (Biden +3)
NM Trump 45 Biden 46 (Biden +1)
OR Trump 46 Biden 47 (Biden +1)
Trump:
NV Trump 49 Biden 46 (Trump +3)
WI Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
NH Trump 49 Biden 46 (Trump +3)
ME Trump 48 Biden 46 (Trump +2)
PA Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
MN Trump 47 Biden 44 (Trump +3)
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
MI Trump 50 Biden 44 (Trump +6)
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44 (Trump +8)
TX Trump 54 Biden 42 (Trump +12)
NC Trump 53 Biden 43 (Trump +10)
OH Trump 53 Biden 41 (Trump +12)
IA Trump 54 Biden 41 (Trump +13)
In the states where Trump leads, he's up an average of 6.5%...
Margin of error is usually +/- 3%.
In only one state where Trump is ahead, is it well within the margin of error (ME) at 2%.
Three others (NH, NV, MN) are *at* the margin of error at 3%.
Only one of the states Biden is leading (NJ) is he AT the margin of error.
NJ at 3%.
The other two are within the margin of error:
NM and OR at 1%.
and
CO and VA are tied.
Tie:
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
Undecideds usually stay home or break for the incumbent.
This has the makings of a Trumpslide...!
Joe Biden leaving his only public event of the weekend, forced to drive through a Trump rally that drowned out and shut down the speech after he called Trump voters “chumps.” Priceless. pic.twitter.com/PYRu6vtL9L— Joe Shikhman (@JoeShikhman) October 24, 2020
His campaign just called a lid. NO more personal appearances until election day.
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