Posted on 10/23/2020 6:57:45 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 569,039
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 141,522
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 427,517
Owen, agree completely re: Kasich, Romney and other Quislings.
<400,000 milestone
Do you have a link to the page you are looking at for these updates?
The flip side of that is that Miami-Dade, Broward, etc are all trending nicely to Advantage Trump. Because of their sheer size, an Advantage Trump there outweighs many redder red counties.
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
Updates every 20 minutes live from the Florida official numbers.
Yes lots of gains in those 2 counties. Let’s see if they show up. Bay slightly disappointed in 2018 because the hurricane had just come through. Forgot how Walton did. Then again that was just a mid-term.
I have looked at NM, so has Ravi as far as votes. Trump lost NM by just over 8 pts, while Gary Johnson took 9% of the vote. There is an open Senate seat, and a well known meteorologist running for the Pubs. Fracking was already an issue; last night may have given the GOP a boost.
Testing the authorities, lol
Just waiting for the NM update today.
Lol. That’s why I’m not making it go faster than every 20 minutes. This is the limit. Also turning it off at night so the traffic log isn’t so noticeable.
The Republican party has been out of touch with their base for more than a decade. Polls routinely show significant disparity of approval between the parties by their supporters. Dems win every time in those polls. And this is why Republicans have until now been the minority party. (According to Gallup reps have just overtaken dems by one point....first time since 2004.)
Politicians are usually just interested in winning, getting re-elected and getting rich. Most of them have very minimal interest in representing their constituents (outside of donors.)
Trump came along to change that and that is why he is revered among the party faithful....”We love you” chants are rare in politics...:-)
I don’t consider him abrasive at all. I consider him brutally truthful and I applaud leaders establishing honest communication with the people they lead.
Best president ever....:-)
Plenty of people like me find him needlessly abrasive, with the political instincts of a boulder. But his accomplishments and love of country outweigh his flaws IMO.
Details: here.
I just placed some bids in Florida 8.1m thru 8.7m brackets.
I think 8.3-8.5m is the sweet spot but a week away.
Put a NO bid in on 9.5m+ but prices aren’t very good there.
Too many people lost on 5.0m+ in past market.
NM is tough. I think the votes could be there. 2016 Trump+Libertarian exceeded Hillary.
.13 / .14 is a long shot with a high payout potential.
It isn’t my typical type of bet. Your call.
I think Ravi posted some numbers yesterday maybe? NM registered R votes were close to D votes. But I don’t remember if that was total or IPEV only. You could look for that post or track down numbers.
“In my Duval polling station watch:
There are 20 in Duval.
The 9th just switched from blue to red.”
Duval finally turning. Now D-R under 6,500. It had been stuck at 8k for several days.
Duval finally turning.
______________________
Suburban women turning out now.
Looking at the totals, the Dems have blown their wad, so to speak in the big counties. They’re almost done with their voting given their failures to turn in, while the Republicans have a LOT left to turn in based on past performance. A LOT of Florida Dems should be looking at Trump, given Biden’s insane tax promises. They move to Florida to get away from high taxes and he’s promising to raise them.
They’re supposed to hate Trump.
Just read yesterday one of the Big NY hedge funds is relocating to FL.
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