[SJackson]

From China's perspective a major opportunity. Won't cost much to have a Biden administration sit on it's hands.

[blueunicorn6]

Be a damn shame if those Chinese Generals lost their mansions and luxury cars because of the communists.

[karnage]

I’m old enough to remember when the Three Gorges Dam was going to collapse and wipe out the ChiCom regime.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Wishful reporting.My attitude is just wait. What if a billion Chicoms are freew-what will they do with all them? Too many people.It’s 1.5 billion.

[Starboard]

President Trump...believes that American history shows that Americans are able to change course very quickly, and that the Chinese are locked into failed past models. Is he right?

*************

Years ago he may have been right but not so sure about today’s America.

[PIF]

Prospect 3: The blundering CCP collapses overnight like the former Soviet Union

—
That prospect would certainly set off another major civil war in China with 10s of million dying. One of the previous ones had 40 million dead.

[allendale]

Li in China and Netanyahu in Israel share something in common. Li does not want to leave office with Taiwan remaining free. He wants to be remembered as the leader who unified China politically and culturally. He has already seized Hong Kong, subgugated the Uighers and the Catholic Church and desperated wants Taiwan reunifed with China before he leaves office or dies. Similarly Netanyahu has done great things in his career and tenure as Prime Minister. Yet Netanyahu, a man who’s life has beebn dictated by the Holocaust, will consider himself a failure if the Iranian existential threat to Israel and the Jewish people was not eliminated while he was the secular leader of Israel and the Jewish people. Throughout history wars are often started by long serving leaders concerned about the last item of business on their agenda.

[PIF]

Prospect 4: Start a major war, galvanizing the people to come to the regime’s aid while consolidating power further.

[Little Ray]

Can't we call them Wu, Wei, and Shu for the Chinese mainland states? South, North, and Northeast Chinas are just not very literary.

[Mr. K]

We give them a copy of our Constitution and tell them to create United States of China, out of the 7 regions.

[untenured]

“ The blundering CCP collapses overnight like the former Soviet Union, and the ethnic minority regions and Taiwan take advantage of the situation to exit Greater China. Former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui’s proposed “Seven-Block Theory” (1999) comes to fruition dividing the country into seven autonomous regions: Taiwan, Tibet, Xinjiang, Mongolia, South China, North China, and Northeast China.

I believe this is the most likely.”

First, historical comparisons are not always apt. China is a communist dictatorship, but economic reform has been under way for forty years and Chinese generally have a much better standard of living now. There is discontent to be sure, but the standard Chinese use for comparison may be their own chaotic 50s and 60s.

Second, even if discontent exists, the CCP has surveillance technology that Stalin could only dream of.

Third, Mr. Ledeen’s record as a forecaster is not great. How long has he been predicting the imminent fall of the ayatollahs?