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Later bedtimes predict President Trump’s performance (abstract)
Economics Letters ^ | 9/25/20 | Douglas Almond and Xinming Du

Posted on 10/09/2020 4:02:29 PM PDT by untenured

Technology and social media use are increasingly associated with delays in nightly sleep. Here, we consider the timing of President Trump’s official Twitter account posts as a proxy for sleep duration and how it relates to his public performance. The President wakes around 6am, a routine which has not changed since early 2017. In contrast, the frequency of Twitter activity 11pm-2am increased 317% from under one day per week in 2017 to three days a week in 2020. The President’s increased late-night activity is not accounted for by increases in the frequency of his use of social media over time, his travel schedule, or seasonality. On the day following one where he posts late at night, his Twitter followers interact less with his posts, described as “official statements by the President of the United States”.1 He receives 7,400 fewer likes per tweet, 1,300 fewer retweets per tweet, and 1,400 fewer replies per tweet after a late night (drops of 6.5%–8%).

Tweets aside, the President’s speeches and interview transcripts have previously been coded for their dominant emotion through text analysis. On the day following a late night, the President’s inferred emotion is less likely to be “happy” and nearly three times more likely to be “angry” in his interviews and speeches. Finally, the 2020 election odds of the President’s chief opponent also increase after a late night, while the President’s are unchanged. The pattern we document is consistent with a progressive shortening of the President’s sleep over his first term and compromised performance from sleep deprivation.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: tweeting

1 posted on 10/09/2020 4:02:29 PM PDT by untenured
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To: untenured

Pure unadulterated horse patties. Good lord.


2 posted on 10/09/2020 4:14:57 PM PDT by Afterguard (Deplorable me!)
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To: untenured

ping


3 posted on 10/09/2020 4:15:01 PM PDT by Morpheus2009 (If you want me to be afraid, then be consistent in your logic, standards, and your lies!)
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To: untenured

Bull Schiff.


4 posted on 10/09/2020 4:16:40 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: Afterguard

The Twitter activity 11pm-2am could be true because many of them don’t have jobs.


5 posted on 10/09/2020 4:20:02 PM PDT by philetus (Keep doing what you always do and you'll eventually get what you deserve)
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To: untenured

Big data is watching you.


6 posted on 10/09/2020 5:03:57 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear

Yup....the “eyes” are everywhere


7 posted on 10/09/2020 5:09:41 PM PDT by goodnesswins (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the revolution." -- Saul Alinksy)
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To: untenured

The pattern we document is consistent with a progressive shortening of the President’s sleep over his first term and compromised performance from sleep deprivation.

It couldn’t have anything to do with his being hunted
like an animal since he first came down the elevator?
It couldn’t have anything to do with being persecuted
for FOUR solid years?

Baaaah, these liberal wimps make me sick.


8 posted on 10/09/2020 5:10:13 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: untenured

“They” really really try to appear that they understand math, analysis, and real science.
They fail miserably.

And, of course, absolutely nothing written at all about the demonstrably senile, crooked, and sub-par intelligence Biden.


9 posted on 10/09/2020 5:23:51 PM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Afterguard

Yep. I havent slept 8 full hrs a night since I was a little kid.

Get by just fine on 4-5 hrs of sleep. All my adult life ive been a night owl turning in usually around 1 or 2am

Now when I was young it was more like 3 or 4am!


10 posted on 10/09/2020 5:36:59 PM PDT by Gasshog
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To: untenured

Pure B$ from two supposedly senior Freepers.

What the hell can we expect later on FR, human sacrifices or on line suicide by insane senior FR Trolls.


11 posted on 10/09/2020 5:52:19 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (The line that separated Satire, Democrats and Stupidity has vanished. (thanks to jonascord)!)
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To: Grampa Dave
Sorry, am I one of the “senior Freepers” you referenced?

I indeed have been around here awhile, but am only reporting what others say, for Freepers to react to. Which is what, back when “senior“ me was just a newbie, FR was supposed to be about.

You and I have both been around here quite awhile. I hope I am not misunderstanding what is implied in your response. I have always enjoyed your posts.

12 posted on 10/09/2020 6:03:42 PM PDT by untenured
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To: untenured

these people are absolute morons: President Trump has always maintained that he doesn’t need more than four hours of sleep during the night ...


13 posted on 10/09/2020 8:24:12 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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