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Biden Nearly 5 Times More Likely than Trump to Win Election, Forecast Models Average Shows
Newsweek ^ | 09/17/2020 | Jeffery Martin

Posted on 09/25/2020 11:50:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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Polling site FiveThirtyEight placed Biden ahead of Trump in the popular vote. Biden held 52.7 percentage points to President Trump's 46 percent. Based on those numbers, Biden was projected to receive 328 votes in the Electoral College

Except that polling site FiveThirtyEight admits Trump is winning 270-268 in electoral votes. Ha-HA!

61 posted on 09/25/2020 12:22:10 PM PDT by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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To: SeekAndFind
So, how do we get any numbers that make sense? How is Trump at 79% with Republicans?

National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%

GOP LV App - 79%

Dem LV App - 30% !

Ind LV App - 48%

Men LV App - 56%

Women LV App - 47%

White LV App - 51%

Black Total LV App - 33%

Oth Non-White LV App - 66% !

62 posted on 09/25/2020 12:23:15 PM PDT by Lagmeister
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To: RoadieFan

Sets the narrative that if Trump wins it is due to fraud

Accuse your opponent of being what you are


63 posted on 09/25/2020 12:24:41 PM PDT by Jimmy The Snake
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To: SeekAndFind

USA Nearly 5 Times More Likely to Become Another Failed Socialist State, Forecast Models Average Shows


64 posted on 09/25/2020 12:24:45 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ha ha ha ha oh stop you’re killing me. Now go away and wipe the drool off your chin.


65 posted on 09/25/2020 12:28:30 PM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: Jimmy The Snake

I think that’s exactly what they’re doing. Setting it up to look like Trump stole the election if he wins.


66 posted on 09/25/2020 12:30:25 PM PDT by surrey
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To: mikey_hates_everything

I hate to say this, but in formerly very red DuPage county 20 miles west of Chicago, RAT lawn signs out number conservative lawn signs four to one. Absolutely would have been impossible even five years ago. Hope this is very different in more important parts of the country.


67 posted on 09/25/2020 12:32:49 PM PDT by Lockbar (Vlad the Impailer had all the answers.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Biden Nearly 5 Times More Likely than Trump to Win Election, Forecast Models Average Shows”

LOL! JUST LIKE HILLARY!


68 posted on 09/25/2020 12:33:55 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Somebody’s listening to lying spirits. Going to be sorry.


69 posted on 09/25/2020 12:34:20 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Lagmeister

Just curious... where are you getting these numbers from??


70 posted on 09/25/2020 12:34:33 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Lockbar

Chicago, like Pittsburgh, is overrun with Rat union members and gubbermint employees. Take the yardsigns for what they are, a Potemkin Village operation.

Like here people who support Trump likely don’t want some whacko vandalizing their home over a yard sign.


71 posted on 09/25/2020 12:35:09 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: FLT-bird

Newsweak is now about as thick as the Weekly Reader was, though not as widely read.


72 posted on 09/25/2020 12:37:25 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (She is b.s. crazy, Jim!)
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To: mikey_hates_everything

Where do you live in Fairfax County? I hope you are right! Our neighborhood of 350 homes has 3 Trump signs ( one in my yard). There are about a dozen Biden signs( granted this is low compared to Hillary) but 60 or so BLM and “in this house we believe ...science is real” signs so I know how they will be voting.


73 posted on 09/25/2020 12:40:36 PM PDT by TeddyRay
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To: SeekAndFind
At this point in 2016 Trump had a 2.7% chance of victory.And his opponent then,as morally and ethically depraved as she was,had a brain that was firing on all cylinders and didn't have to explain away a child having made millions through fraudulent deals.
74 posted on 09/25/2020 12:41:56 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Thanks To Biden Voters Oregon Is Now A Battleground State!)
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To: Lockbar

I hate to say this, but in formerly very red DuPage county 20 miles west of Chicago, RAT lawn signs out number conservative lawn signs four to one.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Where do you think the Chicongo scum has been moving to?

FU Sean Casten! Go Jeanne Ives! Unfortunately, not likely.


75 posted on 09/25/2020 12:42:08 PM PDT by mund1011
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To: FLT-bird

After they “regretted” their “Handmaid Tale” lie, they trotted out this one.


76 posted on 09/25/2020 12:44:00 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: mikey_hates_everything
Trump has a better chance to carry Massachusetts than Virginia. A far higher percentage of Virginia's voters get a government check than do Massachusetts voters.

Getting a Government check = voting for Rats.

77 posted on 09/25/2020 12:45:07 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Thanks To Biden Voters Oregon Is Now A Battleground State!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Sorry to burst everyone’s balloon (at least a bit) but here in the suburbs of Boston I see 75 Harris/Biden signs for every Trump sign.
78 posted on 09/25/2020 12:47:28 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Thanks To Biden Voters Oregon Is Now A Battleground State!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Whoever bought this media rag for a buck paid too much


79 posted on 09/25/2020 12:50:45 PM PDT by chuckee
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To: SeekAndFind

Models calculate according to an algorithm its designers used, with the data the designers feed into it.

No model can predict anything.

Not the same as weather models. There is no human agent interfering with weather patterns, so a calculation is possible.

Calculating the outcome of an election is not possible because it depends on millions of individual human decisions.

Just every Republican gets out and votes, and we’re safe for another 4 years.


80 posted on 09/25/2020 12:51:14 PM PDT by I want the USA back (VOTE, even in basket-case democrat states. We ALL vote, we can win. Debate next week.)
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