Posted on 09/13/2020 9:11:05 AM PDT by bitt
Finally, a few people are beginning to recognize what the Republican Party in Pennsylvania has been doing for the last four years: registering voters. A new Politico piece points out that while the polls tell one story . . . wait for it . . . “there’s a more tangible piece of data. . . that tells a different story.” Now you, my reader friends, this is nothing new. I’ve said it in every single column. Polls vs. reality. “Biden up 9 in Michigan,” vs. Trump with thousands (during a lock-down) in an airplane hangar. Then there is Pennsylvania.
This is, quite frankly, the presidency, though I will be enormously disappointed and you can condemn me as wrong if Trump doesn’t achieve two milestones: getting a higher electoral vote total than in 2016, and winning the popular vote. But when it comes to simply winning the presidency, the Keystone State is it this cycle.
You see, as best I can tell, Trump already has the Eastern triumvirate of Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio. Yesterday, Richard Baris of Big Data Poll said that both Florida and North Carolina were in Trump’s column. The former came as a real shock to the Hoax News Pollsters why had been portraying the Sunshine State as “close.” But polling (yes, polling) last week showed Trump doing exceptionally well with Hispanics, and all the data manipulation the pollsters could do with “alienated seniors” didn’t seem to work. Meanwhile, they missed the real key, as usual, which was Republicans out-registering Democrats last month in Miami-Dade County. For the past two months, I’ve been posting Florida county updates on my Twitter page (@LarrySchweikart) and the upshot is this: red counties are doing even better than in 2016, but even in blue counties, the sheer size of GOP registrations is impressive. (Note that Joe Biden, who “is doing well with seniors,” they keep telling us, is not even running ads in Florida). And today, the Eleventh Circuit Court reversed an injunction entered by a district judge that allowed Florida felons to vote who hadn’t paid the fines that was part of their sentences. This removes yet another 50,000 or so likely Biden Florida voters.
North Carolina has also seen massive GOP registration gains. Democrat activists are trying to hoist the “early vote” flag there, but longtime ballot analyst “Ravi” from www.freerepublic.com thinks this is pure cannibalization of election day votes. “Wait until October 15 when in-person early voting starts and then you’ll see the red tide,” he wrote to me. “Mark my words. Overall voter registration changes from 2016 to 2020 will soon become apparent.” He was referring to the Red Team 2.13 million voters there. Every week in North Carolina Republicans reduce the Democrat registration advantage by 3,000. In 2016—when Trump won the Tar Heel State by 173,000 votes—Republicans have slashed 230,000 off the Democrats’ statewide lead! Once again, Trump will win North Carolina by more than he did in 2016, just as will be the case in Florida, where he should win by a quarter-million votes.
...more...
Our own LS:
MAGA!
Good information. Thank you.
Bump
I’m beginning to believe Biden won’t make it to the election. How he’ll be replaced is a mystery to me. Anyone got ideas? He’s even more sick than their policies.
I was listening to talk radio the other day and a PA trucker called in. He said everywhere he drove in PA he saw Trump supporters. Biden supporters...not so much.
This is encouraging news. Will it be enough to overcome the inevitable D voter fraud? I sure hope so.
I dunno? Once the three million of the 700,000 Philadelphia and Montgomery county voters votes cast come in, it may be hard to win the state.
I’ve been saying that for a couple of months. People who have felt with dementia patients know how quickly they can deteriorate. I think the progression has accelerated.
I have thought that for a while. The time to election is remarkably short, but his decline is remarkably Steep. Absent overwhelming fraud, I don’t think Harris helps him one bit. Other than the already converted, I believe that she leaves a serious distaste in people’s mouths. I don’t see another swap in candidate on the horizon, that does not mean that there will not be one. But I think a lot of people would be offended at the mechanics of running candidate B for so long, so assiduously, and then swapping in a sub at the last minute. But I am not a competent judge of liberal zeitgeist.
The analysis in this article is well researched, backed with solid scientific data and is spot on accurate and if anything is underestimating Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania, Florida and North Carolina. Look for Trump to win the popular vote and to win additional states from 2016. Think Reagan 1984.
This is great LS! Only thing to correct - Hiden IS running ads in Florida, even on Fox, even during Tucker and Hannity. Maybe it’s his NeverTrump buddies, but none the less. Wife and son have NBC on in the other room for AGT, etc. and I constantly have to swallow vomit in throat when the crap Hiden commercials play. This is both Dish and Concast in Palm Beach County.
Oxen is not in trouble
Philadelphia will post three million votes to offset any legitimate votes coming from red counties- You better vote and fight to vote if the put roadblocks in your way.
“Polls vs. reality: “Biden up 9 in Michigan” vs. thousands cheering Trump...”
Polls don’t vote.
Every last person at a Trump Rally does vote.
Good catch.
The fraud is the big thing this year. The wildcard. We know they cheat. We need the feet on the ground to stop it.
Biden is running ads in Maryland.
Blue state Dem -gimme Maryland.
Crazy.
California will cost Trump the popular vote. Democrats will hand-collect every mailed ballot across the state and ensure each dead voter, imaginary voter, duplicate voter, and house pet will have voted for Joe Biden.
Michelle Obama
My standard joke has been that Biden will win the election with 400 million votes — a ludicrous number that exceeds the nation’s population. However, I now think that the US media is capable of seeing 400 million votes for Joe and just shrugging and saying, “It may not be precisely accurate, but clearly Joe won.”
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