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Sturgis motorcycle rally, which drew more than 400,000 people in South Dakota in August linked to more than 250,000 Coronavirus cases, study finds
MSN ^ | 09/09/2020 | Ciara Linnane

Posted on 09/09/2020 12:16:55 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The 10-day Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota in August, which drew more than 400,000 people, has now been linked to more than 250,000 coronavirus cases, according to a study by the IZA Institute of Labor Economics.

Inside a bar in Sturgis, S.D., during the rally, which Gov. Kristi Noem, a Republican, supported holding without significant public health protocols.

Using anonymized cellphone data from the rally, researchers from the University of Colorado Denver, Bentley University, University of California San Diego and San Diego State University found the bikers, who were filmed and photographed in crowded bars, restaurants and outdoor venues mostly without face masks, allowed for many of the “worst-case scenarios” for “superspreading.”

The event “was prolonged, included individuals packed closely together, involved a large out-of-town population, and had low compliance with recommended infection countermeasures such as the use of masks,” the researchers wrote.

The event will cost an estimated $12.2 billion in health-care costs, they wrote.

The cellphone data showed foot traffic at restaurants, bars, hotels and shops in census block groups where the events took place rose by up to 90% during the event. At the same time, stay-at-home behavior declined among residents of Meade County with an up to 10.9% decline in median hours spent at home. Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found cases spread both locally and in the home counties of those who attended and then traveled home.

“In counties with the largest relative inflow to the event, the per 1,000 case rate increased by 10.7 percent after 24 days following the onset of Sturgis Pre-Rally Events,” the researchers wrote.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; US: South Dakota
KEYWORDS: chickenlittle; covid19; fakedata; fakenews; fearmonger; motorcylerally; plannedemic; southdakota; sturgis
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To: Puppage

A REALLY BIG load of crap.

Another report said that at least 456,000 people were at Sturgis-—and 67 Covid cases were reported.

Mathematically, that is 67+ less then 2/100ths of cases per 456,000 attendees.


81 posted on 09/09/2020 2:12:13 PM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: SeekAndFind

It's not a "study". It's a data model. Just like the ones that predicted 2.2 million coronavirus deaths in the United States. Garbage In ... Garbage Out. None of the residents of Sturgis have died from coronavirus following the rally.


82 posted on 09/09/2020 2:19:02 PM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: SeekAndFind

And how many cases arose from the BLM riots?

Oh, and can you please give me the death rate, because that’s really all that matters.


83 posted on 09/09/2020 2:21:10 PM PDT by KosmicKitty (Who stole my tagline? It was here yesterday.)
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To: SeekAndFind

And the 50,000 Al Sharpton DC rally didn’t produce one case of Covid-19? Haven’t heard a word about the spread of Covid-19 due to the 100 days of protesting in Portland. Must be this virus is Democrat friendly.


84 posted on 09/09/2020 2:21:10 PM PDT by antidemoncrat (Biden's)
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To: SeekAndFind
That's a lie! It's 2,500,000!


85 posted on 09/09/2020 2:24:18 PM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Die-ggl,TWT,FCBK,NYT,WPo,Hwd,CNN,NFL,BLM,CAIR,Antf,SPLC,ESPN,NPR,NBA,ARP,MSNBC)
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To: SeekAndFind

Now do the study for the last 100 nights in Portland.


86 posted on 09/09/2020 2:26:21 PM PDT by Drango (1776 = 2020)
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To: SeekAndFind

No studies done on BLM protests.


87 posted on 09/09/2020 2:27:27 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Puppage

Don’t believe a word of it.


88 posted on 09/09/2020 2:30:17 PM PDT by abbastanza
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To: SeekAndFind

Maybe they are confusing covid with the STD count..


89 posted on 09/09/2020 2:31:12 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: SeekAndFind

Bull Sh*t.

Of the 400,000 visitors 500,000 got the China Virus and infected another 2.3 Million people, cats, and dogs. It will cost Trillions of dollars to fix the problem.

We are all going to die because of this motorcycle rally of Trump supporters.

Funny how the Antifa riots never spread the China Virus. Good pure Christian folks out having a nice Sunday riot.


90 posted on 09/09/2020 2:35:37 PM PDT by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country.(DT4POTUS))
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To: SeekAndFind

Are there even 250k people in South Dakota?

Oh, their quintuple counting the population...

Such a load of randomized hor$e$hit!


91 posted on 09/09/2020 2:40:45 PM PDT by pacificus
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To: Puppage

That’s right. It is crap. The media want to whip up hysteria.


92 posted on 09/09/2020 2:52:51 PM PDT by rcofdayton
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To: Puppage; bitt; Kathy in Alaska; DarthVader; Tilted Irish Kilt; radu; null and void; SkyDancer; ...

You took the words right out of my mouth. Total Liberal feces.

Watch this doctor absolutely DEMOLISH wearing a mask and how harmful it really is! This link was posted by a retired anesthesiologist.

https://twitter.com/trustheq84/status/1303095615304298497

https://twitter.com/MikayesFiona/status/1303747304231505922?s=20


93 posted on 09/09/2020 2:54:17 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: ExTexasRedhead

and 90% of the cases were false positives.

and probably 9% of the remaining 10% were politically-partisan positive tests.

and no-one died.


94 posted on 09/09/2020 3:04:52 PM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: SeekAndFind

But months of demonstrations accompanied by looting and rioting gets a pass because it’s more important.


95 posted on 09/09/2020 3:10:17 PM PDT by vigilence (Vigilence)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s well known that all members of IZA Institute of Labor Economics suffer from the incurable and deleterious effects of unknown syphilitic brain infections.


96 posted on 09/09/2020 3:28:48 PM PDT by sergeantdave (Teach a man to fish and he'll steal your gear and sell it)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bs


97 posted on 09/09/2020 4:11:54 PM PDT by vigilante2 (Make liberals cry again)
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To: SeekAndFind; Robert A Cook PE
Freeper Robert A Cook PE commented on the first thread on this:

“It is ALL assumptions and modeling, taking numbers from projected small percent increases nationally to project totals back in the assumed placed where the bikers came from.”

My reply is as follows:

I skimmed through the paper. . . And you hit the nail on the head. Made up data and projected made up data on what the number of purported Covid19 cases reported were going to be in each of the assumed home areas and Sturgis. . . And what they assumed it would be if it was a worst case condition IF attendees were as contagious as they assumed. SHEESH!

Synthetic control this, synthetic assumption that... and an EXACT result of 266,796 cases at their conclusion???

As I said above, such an exact number in a statistical analysis always signals completely lying asshats intended to get the attention of people totally ignorant of what a statistical result should be able to do, and look like. ABSURD!!!

They claim their results are based on data ONE MONTH post Sturgis. Sturgis concluded August 16. That would mean they’d need to sample data on September 15th to use BEFORE starting their raw data analysis. Yet they were submitting their paper for publication, meaning it had already been written, on September 2nd. I know from papers I wrote back in the dark ages, collecting, compiling, and analyzing such data is at least a several week project. I grant you that computers and the internet cuts SOME time off that, but writing, formatting, and editing (even with the typos and misused words I noted in this paper in just a quick, cursory scan through) a 63 page statistical paper still takes some reasonable amount of time for discussion, construction, formatting, editing, before assembly and writing, correlation of data and researching background literature, etc. and then the final collaboration among the four authors who are at four different locations. Let’s give that a week.

That takes them back seven days from the 2nd to just ten days post Sturgis for any data to be collected, still inside the two week gestation period of Covid19. I think we can safely assume that for the first few days post Sturgis, there is no valid data to collect. I.E. this is likely proof that their data is all bogus, and the paper written with conclusion a foregone target before they started. Which, of course, we knew already.


98 posted on 09/09/2020 4:37:30 PM PDT by Swordmaker (My pistol self-identifies as an iPad, so you must accept it in gun-free zones, you hoplophobe bigot1)
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To: SeekAndFind

Expert trolling for grant dollars.


99 posted on 09/09/2020 4:41:18 PM PDT by hadaclueonce ( This time I am Deplorable)
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To: bboop
Stupid stupid article. There is no research on this, but there is ... gasp ... a computer model.

Yes, it’s supposed to be for 30 days after Sturgis Motorcycle Rally. But notice that Sturgis ended August 16. They submitted this for publication on September 2nd. Allow a week for data collection, organization, analysis etc., then another week for writing the 63 page paper. . . That takes one back to 14 days from the 2nd. The 30 days would not be up until September 15th. Oops. Yet the start of collecting data had to be no later than August 19th, three days after the end of Sturgis. DOUBLE OOPS!!!

Looks like they made up any supposed data that’s in it.

100 posted on 09/09/2020 4:49:26 PM PDT by Swordmaker (My pistol self-identifies as an iPad, so you must accept it in gun-free zones, you hoplophobe bigot1)
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