Posted on 08/26/2020 6:21:38 PM PDT by 11th_VA
PRESIDENT Trump could beat Joe Biden in another 2016-style upset, according to a recent analysis by Axios...
The new analysis gives Trump a number of distinct advantages. For starters, his voter base is ferociously loyal, and many Trump supporters will cast a Republican vote no matter what.
Political consultant Frank Luntz recently tweeted polling data from August 25 comparing the leanings of swing states regarding Democratic candidate Joe Biden and 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton.
Pennsylvania - 2016: Clinton +9.2; 2020: Biden +5.7
Michigan - 2016: Clinton +9.0; 2020: Biden +6.7
Wisconsin - 2016: Clinton +11.5; 2020: Biden +6.5
Florida - 2016: Clinton +2.9; 2020: Biden +4.8
A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll put the number of swing voters at 13%, which is more than enough undecided ballots to sway the election.
One phenomenon that has been heavily known to skew voting is social desirability bias, wherein people respond to polls about their opinions by downplaying their views that are less popular and emphasizing opinions that make them look better.
With the extreme relevance of race relations in the 2020 election, social desirability bias could significantly, and incorrectly, skew data in favor of Biden.
(Excerpt) Read more at thesun.co.uk ...
LOL!!!
I like your historical analysis, pfflier. Makes good sense.
Next we will be wearing bell bottom pants.
I do the same, and noticed the same. They were all “pretending” the convention was amazing to “try” to build hype and excitement. But it was all smoke and mirrors and the polls showed the truth. Biden actually lost ground after the convention.
If I knew how to post a pik of the Trump ad, I would.
The screenshot of the DU Trump ad is only on my computer.
“Scare tactics to keep some voters at home on Election Day, which doesn’t help Trump or the GOP. “
totally ... myself and practically every Trump supporter i know are now too frightened to vote for him ...
And Biden will immediately call heckler’s “dog faced pony soldiers!”
And PETA will have no choice but to pull their endorsement... :-)
That’s what I say.
Just dye your hair green for the day, put in a fake nose ring, and look angry as you approach the polling place. No one will bother you.
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