Skip to comments.TRUMP CARD - Donald Trump ‘could pull off another upset and smash Biden’ like he did Hillary, new analysis shows
Posted on 08/26/2020 6:21:38 PM PDT by 11th_VA
PRESIDENT Trump could beat Joe Biden in another 2016-style upset, according to a recent analysis by Axios...
The new analysis gives Trump a number of distinct advantages. For starters, his voter base is ferociously loyal, and many Trump supporters will cast a Republican vote no matter what.
Political consultant Frank Luntz recently tweeted polling data from August 25 comparing the leanings of swing states regarding Democratic candidate Joe Biden and 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton.
Pennsylvania - 2016: Clinton +9.2; 2020: Biden +5.7
Michigan - 2016: Clinton +9.0; 2020: Biden +6.7
Wisconsin - 2016: Clinton +11.5; 2020: Biden +6.5
Florida - 2016: Clinton +2.9; 2020: Biden +4.8
A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll put the number of swing voters at 13%, which is more than enough undecided ballots to sway the election.
One phenomenon that has been heavily known to skew voting is social desirability bias, wherein people respond to polls about their opinions by downplaying their views that are less popular and emphasizing opinions that make them look better.
With the extreme relevance of race relations in the 2020 election, social desirability bias could significantly, and incorrectly, skew data in favor of Biden.
(Excerpt) Read more at thesun.co.uk ...
Shhhhh.....we know that but don’t tell them. LOL
How about violence in the streets in Democratic strongholds?
Yeah but all those mail in ballots. You know the demoCRAPS will have trunk loads ready to go if the totals don’t favor them.
..Trump should win at least 46 states. The wildcard would be if Biden drops or drops out—DJT will still win convincingly IMO...
Scare tactics to keep some voters at home on Election Day, which doesn't help Trump or the GOP.
Joe Biden was the most universally-disliked person even on liberal Yahoo (Huffington Post light).
At least 95% of the comments were against him. Maybe 98%.
About the same percentage were glad when the cops went after the rioters as well.
I was shocked at the comments.
That’s why Yahoo closed their comment section. The Democrat narratives were failing, big time.
Why would it be an “upset”?
I look forward to seeing upset television commentators.
He was vilified by popular media and he was despised by the press. The rats chose to go with a very weak candidate because McGovern was saying all the pandering things the far left wanted to hear.
I suspect the outcome will also be similar. The silent majority was real then and is now.
Violence in the streets will also keep Dems from the polls.
Very interesting ...
What percentage of the black vote? Inquiring minds want to know-15% he wins. 20%-it’s over for the democrats. Black women went 98% for her Thighness. no hope. It’s black men. Bingo.
Yeah, they did it several weeks ago. People were catching on to their Democrat spin, the riots, the anti-Trump articles, the anti-white agenda, etc. etc. etc.
IOW, it was all blowing up in their faces.
Another upset? It’s time to make these Rats feel like the losers that they are.
Trump wins 35 states.
Nazi democrats riot.
10 million democrats sent one-way to North Korea.
North Korea declares a food surplus.
I think they have a chance to steal it. Nothing shows me what we are doing to stop it.
Upset, my ass.
Trump’s an eagle, Biden’s a turkey.
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