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Morning Call Pennsylvania Presidential Election Survey
Muhlenberg College ^ | 8/20/2020

Posted on 08/20/2020 11:55:40 AM PDT by Redmen4ever

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Four years ago, Trump won this state 48.2 to 47.5 percent, with Gary Johnson (Libt.) getting 2.4, Jill Stein (Grn.) 0.8, and Darrell Castle (Const.) 0.4.

Going by the RealClearPoliics polling average, this far out from election day, Hillary Clinton was almost 10 points ahead. A week before the election, Her Thighness was still 4 points ahead, and in the final polling average she was still 2 points ahead.

Of the polls tracked by RCP, Trafalgar and Harper (both Republican pollsters) nailed it. Morning Call was the worst poll, giving Hillary a six point edge.

The odd assortment of polls in 2016 reflects that the media totally discounted Trump's strategy of focusing on the mid northeast (or, Big 10 country). As a consequence, all we had, basically, were in-state college polls (which got it wrong) and some Republican polls.

This poll, showing Trump only down 4, isn't bad news for us and it isn't good news for the other side. It's kind of lukewarm. Were we to pull even in Pennsylvania in the polls, that would be very bad news for the other side.

1 posted on 08/20/2020 11:55:40 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

There is no Hillary to hate, all that hate is directed toward Trump.

There is no Jill Stein no Bernie or Bust campaign, the left is concentrating all their focus on defeating Trump.

Acting like you are fighting the last war is what gets you beat.


2 posted on 08/20/2020 12:00:18 PM PDT by baclava
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To: Redmen4ever

Trump is in striking distance. Penn voters still need to come to terms with President Kamala’s New Green Deal which would shut down coal and fracking. If Trump picks up even a few blacks who have figured out BLM is death for them,it puts us at the top.


3 posted on 08/20/2020 12:00:43 PM PDT by DaxtonBrown
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To: Redmen4ever

Well they will be in for a surprise when Fracking is banned, guns are banned, coal is banned, etc...

Idiots ... but the same can be said for my state of NH when NH goes for Biteme.


4 posted on 08/20/2020 12:00:56 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: Redmen4ever

Just more liberal propaganda trying to stop turnout for President Trump.

They tried it with Her Thighness in 2016. Americans have seen the mobs of Democrat voters rioting, assaulting, looting and burning.

A vote for a Democrat means the destruction for America. And the end of being able to defend yourself against other Democrat voters.


5 posted on 08/20/2020 12:08:06 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Redmen4ever

Gary Johnson is living in Aleppo this election. Jill Stein is in Shangri La, and Joe Biden is over the rainbow.


6 posted on 08/20/2020 12:08:50 PM PDT by z3n
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To: Redmen4ever
A small edit:

Biden 49, Trump 45, Other 3, Undecided 3, Las Vegas bets for Biden 1k or more 0

7 posted on 08/20/2020 12:13:27 PM PDT by Mark (Celebrities... is there anything they do not know? -Homer Simpson)
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To: Mark

lets see what this poll is after next week(RNC) and a few more Durham indictments


8 posted on 08/20/2020 12:16:00 PM PDT by GAHeel
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To: CapnJack

It’s not the people in Pennsyltucky, it’s the people around Philly and the Burgh.


9 posted on 08/20/2020 12:18:23 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Mark

lets see what this poll is after next week(RNC) and a few more Durham indictments


10 posted on 08/20/2020 12:19:44 PM PDT by GAHeel
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To: baclava

“There is no Hillary to hate, all that hate is directed toward Trump.”

There’s also no Hillary zealots in this election. Further, there are plenty on the left who are drawing the ire of those who traditionally have voted Democrat - including AOC and members of the squad.

Plus, there weren’t riots in the streets, with people getting kicked in the head, stores looted, etc. etc.

Your point about not fighting the last war is a good one, but there are plenty of factors in play this time around that favor us. They hated Trump back then as well.

All in all, we just have to fight.


11 posted on 08/20/2020 12:22:49 PM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: z3n

Biden should be in the memory care section of a federal prison.


12 posted on 08/20/2020 12:25:14 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (“It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” ― Yogi Berra)
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To: Redmen4ever

Polls are BS


13 posted on 08/20/2020 12:27:50 PM PDT by Osage Orange (TRUMP!!!)
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To: Grampa Dave; musicman; Fiddlstix; Travis McGee; Diogenesis; LucyT; Liz; GregNH; bitt; timestax



14 posted on 08/20/2020 12:38:21 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Redmen4ever

Rassmussen has two articles in the email today: 19% of voters have changed their minds after watching the Dem convention and Trump sits at his highest rating of 51%, up 4% since yesterday. A connection between the two?


15 posted on 08/20/2020 12:38:35 PM PDT by Midwesterner53
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

16 posted on 08/20/2020 12:45:12 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: SaveFerris
What A Great DemoicRAT Election Cycle.......

FEELS UP & HEELS UP for POTUS & VP

Heaven Help Us....

17 posted on 08/20/2020 12:47:29 PM PDT by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
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To: Redmen4ever

D-47%
R-39
I-12%

Other -2%


18 posted on 08/20/2020 12:48:36 PM PDT by marstegreg
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To: Redmen4ever

3 undecided.....ridiculous.


19 posted on 08/20/2020 12:51:30 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: EEGator
It’s not the people in Pennsyltucky, it’s the people around Philly and the Burgh.

Yes, which is why Wolf is pushing vote-by-mail and said late ballots will get counted.

The Democrats intend to make every registered voter in their strongholds vote....whether those voters know it or not.

Obama was the dry run with over 100% of registered voters counted as votes and precincts going 100% for Obama and 0% for Romney

20 posted on 08/20/2020 1:21:33 PM PDT by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party is communism)
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