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If This Poll Is Accurate, Trump Will Be Reelected Easily
pjmedia.com ^ | 8/2/2020 | matt margolis

Posted on 08/02/2020 9:14:47 PM PDT by bitt

President Donald Trump’s job approval hit its highest level in more than five months in Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential Tracking Poll from Friday, reports CNSNews.

According to the poll, 50 percent of likely voters approve of Trump, with 39 percent strongly approving. Disapproval was at 48 percent, with 43 percent strongly disapproving.

Trump’s approval in this poll was boosted by black voters. According to Rasmussen, a slight majority of black voters approve of Trump, and a higher percentage of minority voters approve of the president.

Two months ago, black likely voter approval for President Trump in the Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll was at 40 percent. In August 2019, black voter approval for Trump stood at 26 percent.

Trump received 8 percent of the African American vote in 2016.

I was very much skeptical of Rasmussen’s 40 percent approval number two months ago. Approval that high from black voters would make Trump’s reelection all but certain. While I question the results of this poll, I do believe that it is possible that it could be more accurately capturing the trend of black approval for Trump. If Trump’s approval from likely black voters was at 26 percent a year ago, it is certainly possible that the economic improvements black Americans experienced prior to the pandemic could have resulted in a surge of support.

I don’t see it hitting 40 percent or even 26 percent, let alone 50 percent. But is it possible that Trump could get 10 to 12 percent of the black vote in November? I can see that.

Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016, but even they urge caution in putting too much stock in these numbers. “Fact Check: True,” they tweeted. “However since this is represented in only 1 overnight polling

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 40states; 42states; election; landslide; poll; rasmussen
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1 posted on 08/02/2020 9:14:47 PM PDT by bitt
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To: Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; 2ndDivisionVet; azishot; ...

p


2 posted on 08/02/2020 9:15:00 PM PDT by bitt (American Lives Matter)
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To: bitt

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbbSyA7liqI


3 posted on 08/02/2020 9:16:32 PM PDT by 353FMG
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To: bitt

theonly way he loses is by massive democrat cheating via fraudulent mail-in voting and ballot harvesting


4 posted on 08/02/2020 9:23:56 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: bitt

“If.” That is a very big word.


5 posted on 08/02/2020 9:30:26 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: bitt

6 posted on 08/02/2020 9:40:21 PM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Secret Agent Man

How about Republicans ballot harvest as well? Volunteer to be poll watchers? Hit the pavement for Trump?

My son and I do door to door for Trump.


7 posted on 08/02/2020 9:42:48 PM PDT by TheWriterTX (Trust not in earthly princes....)
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To: Secret Agent Man
Ballot harvesting is legal only in Cali and a few other states, so I don't see that as being an issue. Trump doesn't have a prayer in Cali, so while not ok to ballot harvest, it doesn't really hurt him - except in the popular vote and that is important, too.

If Trump got a plurality, it would give his presidency more legitimacy. I read where Trump wanted to campaign in Cali - not to win it, but to reduce the margin of victory for the dem candidate in Cali, but obviously that is not going to happen now. It's such a shame because I would love to see Biden traveling and speaking every day at 3 or 4 far flung locations every day - he would not be able to keep up.

8 posted on 08/02/2020 9:44:17 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: bitt

The odds makers have Trump up by a good margin. I believe he will be reelected easily and with a much bigger margin then the left wants to believe.

BUT, almost instantly nancy the pig will start impeachment talk again and find new things to lie about. The russian connection lies did not work, the whole special investigator sham shit show did not work but nancy won’t give up.

Is there some way we can get her on “hil liar y’s” list?


9 posted on 08/02/2020 9:47:57 PM PDT by oldenuff35
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: bitt

L8r


11 posted on 08/02/2020 9:51:45 PM PDT by preacher ( Journalism no longer reports news, they use news to shape our society.)
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To: Dave W

Plurality is a very vague word in any context. Look up the definition. It can mean a majority or anything greater than one. Useless in context in most instances.


12 posted on 08/02/2020 9:54:42 PM PDT by Fungi
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13 posted on 08/02/2020 10:03:30 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: oldenuff35

I love if there is some way to get Pelosi on Hillary’s list. There is one thing that can be done to put away for good the talk of impeachment and constant disruption from the House and that is to flip it republican. There is not a soul that believes it is possible, but why not? I think the pubs need to pick up 18 seats.


14 posted on 08/02/2020 10:03:55 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Fungi
The way plurality is used, especially in elections is that the winning candidate receives the most votes in an election in which no one wins a majority.

Bill Clinton won a plurality of votes in his two presidential campaigns, etc.

With a split country and multiple candidates on the ballot, it can be hard to win a majority of the vote, but a plurality will do for Trump. I'm so sick of libs telling me that Hillary got the most votes and she did, but it was because Hillary got huge margins in Cali and NY.

If Trump got the most votes on Nov. 3, it would go a long way to shut up the libs. But I don't think we will know on Nov. 3 if the mail is widely used. I think the dems want to screw up the election so bad, that even if Trump wins, they will say we really don't know. They are still counting primary ballots one month after an election in Penn and there still is no resolution - if that happens on Nov 3, all hell will break lose.

15 posted on 08/02/2020 10:13:02 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Helicondelta

Look at those two photos. A scowling unfriendly Trump, and a Biden with a warm smile. Damn Fox, they are trying everything possible to impede his success.


16 posted on 08/02/2020 10:15:40 PM PDT by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up. ....)
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To: Dave W

I’m not convinced Hillary DID get the most votes (well, real votes from actual individual voters with US citizenship, anyway)


17 posted on 08/02/2020 10:25:09 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: bitt

I guess the mostly peaceful riot approach did not work so hot.


18 posted on 08/02/2020 10:51:08 PM PDT by kaehurowing
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To: bitt

I hope to hell so cause if not look whats planned -

https://capstonereport.com/2020/08/02/analysis-ny-times-hints-at-leftist-coup-if-trump-wins-in-november/34768/


19 posted on 08/02/2020 10:57:48 PM PDT by ldish (2020 Election will determind if USA remains a Consitutional Republic!)
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To: Dave W

It is NOT just about Trump in CA. it is about the house and how many house seats were stolen in CA 2018 by ballot harvesting this should be illegal in a FEDERAL election!!


20 posted on 08/02/2020 11:01:22 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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