Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Extending Lockdowns Will Make Millennials Like Me Abandon U.S. Cities
The Federalist ^ | May 18, 2020 | Mitch Hall

Posted on 05/18/2020 2:03:10 PM PDT by Kaslin

The pandemic has stripped millions of work, community, and hope. As local governments extend quarantine orders, urbanites like me are starting to wonder: what is the point of city life?


This week marks just over two months since most states instituted shelter-in-place orders to contain COVID-19, and with this milestone came an apparent turn in the tide of public opinion—or at least, public behavior—on social distancing.

Even as Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease and one of President Trump’s most prominent pandemic advisors, warned against rolling back lockdown orders in his testimony to Congress on May 12, the return of warmer weather combined with “quarantine fatigue” compelled more and more people to return to pre-pandemic activities.

A recent study from Ipsos reported that since May a full third of Americans have visited friends or relatives, up from 19 percent in April. Whereas more than half of Americans (55 percent) reported “self-quarantining” last month, those numbers slid to 36 percent. Surveys from Kantar further revealed that as the spread of coronavirus slows, frustration has overtaken worry as Americans’ prevailing sentiment, and jobs have replaced health as the primary concern.

Regardless of where the masses lie on lockdowns, the decision to re-open local economies technically rests with government officials. While some are more aggressive in their re-opening strategy, such as Florida’s Gov. Ron DeSantis, many pro-quarantine politicians still err on the side of caution. Take Seattle Mayor Jenny Durkan, who said, “it is still far too early to take our foot off the brake,” and “[every] one of us must continue physical distancing” to save lives.

But if local leaders prolong shelter-in-place rules with no end in sight, the ruinous social and economic consequences for individuals will inevitably harm American cities as suffering residents like me face little choice but to skip town in search of greener pastures.

The New, Virtual Reality

Three years ago I moved to Seattle from suburban Pennsylvania as a fresh-faced grad ready to take on the abundant opportunity promised by the city’s booming economy. Consistently ranked among the fastest-growing regions in the nation, Seattle is home to a slew of sexy start-ups and big tech firms, the influx of which has helped cultivate a diverse social scene and a bustling night life. These qualities, combined with the surrounding mountains and picturesque lakes characteristic of the Pacific Northwest, make the city an ideal locale for any twenty-something looking for a fresh start.

Yet the drastic changes wrought by the state’s response to coronavirus threaten the life many transplants have built. Since moving west, I’ve worked as a salesperson for a small corporate training company, picking up an additional part-time gig as a bartender in one of the city’s many restaurants. Given Seattle’s high cost of living, I’m dependent on both incomes to sustain my life here. As the pandemic reached emergency levels in March, I quickly lost my latter job as Washington suspended dine-in service.

While I consider myself lucky to retain my sales career, my future there is highly uncertain. As we sell a product often deemed non-essential by our clients, budgets allocated for services like ours are often first cut. Indeed, our revenue has plummeted. We’re surviving in large part due to government assistance provided by the payroll protection program in the CARES Act, but once those funds run out, the company will likely administer layoffs unless the economy rebounds quickly.

We’re hardly unique. “Non-essential” businesses large and small, such as Airbnb and Uber, have cut huge segments of their workforce, while others like BuzzFeed and TripAdvisor have scaled back or ceased global operations. To date, at least 46 percent of Americans are out of work and nearly 40 million have applied for unemployment benefits, numbers increasing each day. Despite these catastrophic statistics, major cities like Seattle have yet to alleviate the immense financial burden posed by ever-increasing rents, which continue to climb even amid the pandemic.

With no definitive timeline for re-opening, my company has ditched our pricey downtown workspace and transitioned to a permanently virtual organization. Industries have seen little-to-no decrease in productivity among their employees since shifting to remote work (in many cases experiencing quite the opposite), leading more and more companies to consider forsaking their expensive urban offices, which would reduce overhead while facilitating a healthier, more flexible employee experience.

A City Without a Soul

Jobs are often the magnet drawing people to cities, and with my company going virtual, I’m now anchored only by the other main metropolitan allure: its role as a cultural center and hub for entertainment, recreation, and social activity. But now this crucial function has also all but vanished, sacrificed at the #StayHomeSaveLives altar by our powerful municipal overlords.

Prior to COVID-19, my typical weekend might include a sojourn to the busy restaurants of Ballard, a popular North Seattle neighborhood, where my friends and I would bounce between local shops and bars before catching a show at a music venue or having a bonfire at a local park. Given the famously idyllic summers here, the rest of the weekend would likely entail a hike or camping trip to one of the hundreds of trails dotting the I-5 corridor.

For Seattleites, this is now a pipe dream. Although Gov. Jay Inslee has eased restrictions on a few outdoor activities like golfing and fishing, most recreation remains inaccessible, from closed-off camping sites and mountain access roads to shuttered gyms, sports leagues, and outdoor courts. Retail and entertainment, including farmer’s markets, movie theaters, and concert halls, have, of course, remained shut down.

Even if Inslee reopens Seattle restaurants, his phased approach only allows for 50 percent capacity, prohibits bar seating, and mandates employers log customer information such as phone numbers and email addresses—a profoundly intrusive measure sure to deter patrons. Indeed, these restrictions on public accommodations will not only hamper employers’ efforts to survive financially, but also effectively abolish crowded celebrations, events, and the lively social climate of pre-pandemic life.

Government officials’ histrionic warnings have also compelled many people I know to reject private social gatherings of any kind. While virtual happy hours and Jackbox games can be entertaining, they’re simply no replacement for the physical interaction humans desperately need.

As Washington and other states look poised to impose physical distancing measures until there is a vaccine, I ask myself: What is the point of living in a city devoid of the very things that distinguish it? Why spend an exorbitant amount to live a lonely, isolated life in Seattle, when I could maintain an equally unsatisfying existence, for far less, somewhere else?

Lockdowns Don’t Save Lives, They Trade Them

Inevitably, some folks will read this and think, “So what?” When we’re told by politicians and media that the most important thing is to do all we can to “save just one life,” what does it matter if people start deserting cities?

What’s missing is an acknowledgement of the tradeoffs. Two scholars from the Foundation for Economic Education, Dr. Anthony Davies and James R. Harrigan, recently noted that while most recoil at the mention of tradeoffs in a crisis, “each one of us balances human lives against dollars, and any number of other things, every day.” We don’t, for example, legally mandate exercise even though heart disease claims hundreds of thousands of lives each year, nor do we ban driving cars, which statistically carry much greater risk than driving SUVs.

‘No policy can save lives; it can only trade lives.’

So while public figures sound very noble in their commitment to save all lives from COVID-19 no matter the cost, this is an irrational and short-sighted way to craft policy. “The uncomfortable truth,” Davies and Harrigan conclude, “is that no policy can save lives; it can only trade lives.”

There have already been tremendous costs from lockdowns globally. Seriously ill patients can’t access critical care as hospitals limit their capacity; UNICEF predicts more than 1 million children under age five will die from preventable causes in the next six months.

Access to the outdoors and a vibrant social life are critical to mental health, yet after just two months of quarantine, calls to hotlines have surged by 900 percent. Increases in domestic violence and suicides nearly always accompany rises in unemployment, and as that figure is now broaching 15 percent, there is significant cause for concern.

I have not yet contracted the coronavirus, and while for that I am thankful, I can’t say for certain that state-sanctioned physical distancing is responsible. Because I’m young and maintain a healthy lifestyle, I’m naturally lower risk.

What I do know, however, is that in just two months, the state’s measures have already cost me a job, deeply fractured my community, and compromised my emotional well-being. This is something I’m not willing to endure indefinitely, and I know I’m not alone. Seattle, and America’s other major cities, must urgently re-evaluate their commitment to quarantine lest they drive away the very people who helped them flourish.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Washington
KEYWORDS: cities; city; coronavirus; covid19; economicshutdowns; economy; florida; jennydurkan; lockdown; lockdowns; millennials; mitchhall; quarantine; rondesantis; seattle; shelterinplace; shutdown; shutdowns; socialdistancing; stayathomeorder; washington
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 next last
To: from occupied ga

All it says about him that he is a former intern for The Federalist who currently lives and works in Seattle, Washington. I suppose eventually we can figure out if he is a conservative or not.


21 posted on 05/18/2020 2:37:20 PM PDT by Kaslin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

I voted for Ross Perot in 1992. Was that wrong? Lived in Wyoming at the time.


22 posted on 05/18/2020 2:39:38 PM PDT by Laslo Fripp (The Sybil of Free Republic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

Quick...open everything thing fast....don’t want any brain rot zombies moving out here...


23 posted on 05/18/2020 2:40:03 PM PDT by TnTnTn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

If You Are Under Age 29, You Are More Likely to Drown than Die from Coronavirus!

By Jim Hoft
Published May 16, 2020 at 9:03pm

The number of deaths from coronavirus in the US has been plummeting since mid April.

According to the Center for Disease Control (CDC) there were 78 coronavirus deaths in the United State in the 0 to 29-year-old age group this year.

The numbers were totaled from the week ending Feb. 1 2020 to May 9, 2020 during the current outbreak.

Those coronavirus victims under age 60 are also likely to have at least one comorbidity.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/05/age-29-likely-drown-die-coronavirus/


24 posted on 05/18/2020 2:40:44 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ( The CHICOM/PRCNN, controllers of America's Fake news media, CDCNN, WHO, are the Deep Staters!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

If no vaccine comes along and if the virus doesn’t die out, the possibility is that the future will have “rolling shutdowns” (perhaps seasonal) as the norm from now until the end of time, along laws mandating permanent “social distancing” measures (masks, keep x number of feet apart, only x amount of people allowed to do whatever, limited hours).

With a constant flow of people bringing it in from all four corners of the world via air & sea, the problem will be one with no end in sight.


25 posted on 05/18/2020 2:40:47 PM PDT by LouieFisk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

♪ ♫ ♬

“While strolling in a park one day.

In the merry, merry month of May.

I was taken by surprise, by a pair of thuggish guys:

Governor Inslee’s Gestapo/KGB.

They threw me into jail, for not wearing a face mask and a veil.

Governor Inslee’s Gestapo/KGB...”


26 posted on 05/18/2020 2:43:53 PM PDT by CDB ("What happens in Wuhan, doesn't stay in Wuhan"--Sneaky Xi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin; All

The comment was meant for the author of the piece, NOT YOU, which you would have realized had you read with a little more discernment. Hell I know you’re not a leftist... OR a numbnuts!


27 posted on 05/18/2020 2:43:54 PM PDT by notdownwidems (Washington D.C. has become the enemy of free people everywhere!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Parmy

I agree, that could be a problem. However, my point (hypothesis, whatever) is that the very nature of big cities breeds socialism (I won’t say ‘liberalism’, because that word doesn’t mean what Americans think it does). Change the environment, and you’ll change the people.


28 posted on 05/18/2020 2:48:04 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Why spend an exorbitant amount to live a lonely, isolated life in Seattle, when I could maintain an equally unsatisfying existence, for far less, somewhere else?

Have you considered suicide Mitch?
Oh honestly, the density is strong in this one.


29 posted on 05/18/2020 2:54:29 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

“Extending Lockdowns Will Make Millennials Like Me Abandon U.S. Cities”

Rona or no Rona, it’s hard to imagine leaving a city for a town or rural area being anything other than a huge plus. Changed my life for the better, I’ll never go back to a city.

One thing I didn’t realize prior to my move: areas away from cities often have shortages of individuals with skills considered normal in cities. Which means you can really call your shots if you are skilled at most anything. Add the lower crime, less traffic, less liberals, happier, more polite people (including kids), better air, and less obtrusive government, the countryside has a lot to offer.


30 posted on 05/18/2020 3:07:11 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Just sit in your house until the food stops coming and then starve. You'll be safe.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: from occupied ga

The guy who wrote this must be referring to a different Seattle than the one I know. It’s a horrible place and the traffic is terrible. In fact, I would rather drive in LA, which is crowded but nowhere near as rude as Seattle, Tacoma and Olympia.


31 posted on 05/18/2020 3:08:05 PM PDT by ReluctantDragon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

It accelerates an existing trend.


32 posted on 05/18/2020 3:09:08 PM PDT by Salman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LouieFisk

“If no vaccine comes along and if the virus doesn’t die out, the possibility is that the future will have “rolling shutdowns” (perhaps seasonal) as the norm from now until the end of time”

No it won’t. People are rebelling after two months. Each later attempt to lockdown will result in quicker and larger rebellions.


33 posted on 05/18/2020 3:10:58 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Just sit in your house until the food stops coming and then starve. You'll be safe.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: All

he could just get a peloton...


34 posted on 05/18/2020 3:19:52 PM PDT by SteveH
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

covid-19 might be an angel in disguise.

prior to covid-19, i had been hearing with increasing frequency the notion that we are the richest country in the world, and therefore we should fund (name your liberal cause here).

after covid-19 struck, i have not heard that phrase.

so, maybe one net effect is that the population is slowly getting smarter on economics and public policy, in at least some ways...


35 posted on 05/18/2020 3:24:35 PM PDT by SteveH
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SaxxonWoods

“Each later attempt to lockdown will result in quicker and larger rebellions”

Of course there will be people who complain about the measures, but that won’t impact the measures. Like complaining about the weather - everybody does it. Lets off some steam, though.


36 posted on 05/18/2020 3:27:51 PM PDT by LouieFisk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

My little sister and her family live in Chicago.

Sis told her husband “We are leaving!”

Of course, they will continue to vote in Chicago long after I die.


37 posted on 05/18/2020 3:30:16 PM PDT by redgolum (If this culture today is civilization, I will be the barbarian)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin
To date, at least 46 percent of Americans are out of work and nearly 40 million have applied for unemployment benefits, numbers increasing each day.

The economic catastrophe this country willfully inflicted upon itself in the name of fighting a strain of flu that primarily kills the elderly residents of nursing homes is heartbreaking and staggering.

38 posted on 05/18/2020 3:31:36 PM PDT by Drew68
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: discostu

I lived in Chicago

Figured all that everything I wanted could be had cheaper somewhere else. Around people I like.

Good jobs also. Seems so many love big cities that smaller towns pay better in retaliative and absolute scale.

Not for everyone, but we love it.


39 posted on 05/18/2020 3:32:19 PM PDT by redgolum (If this culture today is civilization, I will be the barbarian)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Be sure to pay your student loan before you leave town.


40 posted on 05/18/2020 3:32:42 PM PDT by ptsal (Vote R.E.D. >>>Remove Every Democrat ***)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson