Posted on 05/05/2020 2:15:33 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update
As of 05/04/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscelanious Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranked with the Other States Territories at Bottom
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Link to Spreadsheet: Our Counties, States, Territories, & Other Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
The Sweden Study Gets a New Entity
Last evening I added the Netherlands in as a fourth nation to compare Sweden
with.
Top Nations with the Big Numbers
Back in January / February, China was the dominant nation with the numbers of
COVID-19, even if they weren't declaring all of them.
Today China is number eleven on the list of nations with numbers. Again, just
going by what it has declared.
Here are those nations in order. The United States, Spain, Italy, the U. K.,
France, Germany, Russia, Turkey, Brazil, and Iran.
Links to Other Sources of Information
There are some newer links down at the bottom of the report. Those that
link to articles on Free Republic, I would urge you to peek at the
comments below. Some of the comments on the Vitam D thread there are
helpful. They add further information.
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
The volume of new Cases continues to go down after Friday. Glad we're in
this part of the week.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases in the United States
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
Here's more of our numbers...
The growth of Fatalities was also down again, and this time the spread
was larger. We'll review down in the Mortality Section.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our Slice of the Pie still keeps growing...
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globale Declared and Active Cases.
The growth was... Hey wait a minute. Both the Declared and Active Cases
slices of the pie, were smaller today. Wow. First time I've seen that.
Okay, it was a very small reduction. More more,... oh wait, less less.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Here is the first chart for the Global Outside China Territories
The Global New Cases reduced the rate of their increase again. Okay, it's
likely to be uphill from here. Lets see how it goes.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Numbers in this area were not too bad. I guess that's not a good thing to
say with such ominious topics here, but I can't help thinking how things
grew so rapidly for a while there. Now we're still having big numbers, but
they aren't getting dramatically larger each day anymore.
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Well, a little better yesterday...
All in all, these numbers aren't too bad.
Yes, we had the same cyclical increase this week like the previous
two. You almost get the feeling you could accurately forcast what
the week's numbers would be inadvance based on the cycle, but once
in a while they surprise us.
Growth, particularely for us (the Blue stacks) has gone down.
For your review...
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Lets Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
The same comments fit for about each day here.
Germany has been able to keep their deaths down. Nice job...
Both France and Germany have somehow altered thier trajectory
to a better outcome. As the indications seemed to predict, the
U. K. did pass France and Germany by. Ten days to a week or so
ago, it appeared that was likely to happen.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Againt COVID-19?
Sweeden is doing their own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
I think we've talked the Sweden situation to the point we all get it.
It's still interesting to watch. I'm not planning on ending this feature.
I just don't think I need to repeat the same things over and over.
I added the Netherlands in, because it not located all that far from
Sweden, and it's numbers are worse, but not by all that much. It
might be interesting to watch Sweden pass it by, or not. We'll see.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.02% of today's total global numbers.
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
In the next day or so we're going to hit that 40% recovery figure I've been
mentioning. Now it's onward to 50%. One of these days active cases will
flatten out and begin to decline. That's a ways off yet.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
Not much to say here. Big numbers getting bigger...!
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Making an effort to provide more mortality numbers these days.
Hopefully these upcoming numbers and charts will help with that.
Our numbers are big enough that they can hide the finer nuances of the
Global numbers outside China. For that reason, I strip our numbers off
that group and report them separately for this area of study.
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
Here's the chart to go along with those figures.
Looks pretty ominious there doesn't it.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
Six days in a row now, the growth of fatalities in the United State has
declined. That's a decent accomplishment these days. We went right
through a Thursday and Friday in there, still going down. This 1,123 was
the smallest on day fatality rate in the United States Since April 4th.
On that day there were 1,501 fatalities. Hope we can keep this string
going.
Here's two charts to go with the above data.
We've doine good here, but the other entities showed a but of
an uptick yesterday.
Here, lets look at data for the U. S. broken out by itself.
Our growth has decreased each day, down to 1.63% from 4.34% six days ago.
Looking at it a different way, we've seen a 54.4% drop in growth
over those six days.
Steadily down there, six days...
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one case.
I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this time.
Things are not improving here. Each day we slip a bit more.
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
That's a whole lot of nations there. With over 1,000 in each one, we know
that over time they are potential declared cases time-bombs.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certaind days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticably larger because of it.
And we now know Thurdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
The last two days have seen record numbers of new cases, for that day
of the week. Lets hope that doesn't continue all week.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Some interesting figures there for various segments.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Natons?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There were 212 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 212 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category has the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with 31 top spots on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the Disctrict of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Well, now we've administred 7.463 million tests. Here we are still
sitting in the bushes at 41.
Section: 10
Here's what it's all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, and Nations214
Four Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own discression.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nazal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, burough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
Good collection of video’s
Centinel2012 (Covid19 discussion)
https://centinel2012.com/2020/05/04/this-post-contains-u-tube-videos-that-have-been-banned-and-or-taken-down-2/
All excellent videos.
NYC horror stories via Nurse #1
Reasoned view of the Swedish expert Prof. Johan Giesecke.
And Professor Knut Wittkowski
My state, NC tracks deaths in rest homes, residential care facilities and correctional facilities.
Right now 59% of the total deaths attributed to the virus have been in those types of places.
“Right now 59% of the total deaths attributed to the virus have been in those types of places.”
Yeah, but.....
Yeah but - I don’t think your post changes the 59%.
“””Right now 59% of the total deaths attributed to the virus have been in those types of places.”””
The data is staring us in the face. In most states the death rate in long term care facilities is what makes covid look so dangerous.
As we reopen America we need to continue to be vigilant in protecting people at all ages who have comorbidities that make covid very dangerous. And those people who over 65 and those with comorbidities at all ages need to take responsible actions themselves to protect themselves.
Governments cannot protect a person from the common cold.
As the under 65 and healthy ‘herd’ gets back to work and school, they will spread covid among themselves with little impact on the national death rate.
It doesn't, but 41% is still one hell of a lot of people. And "old people" deserve protection too.
A very interesting night’s work. The addition of the Netherlands gives rise to many questions. The smaller ~5M Nations track together but the Netherlands tracks very close to Sweden in deaths & cases/million. Those two Nations are closer in overall population w/NL ~1.5x larger than Sweden.
I wonder about other factors which might have contributed to the higher death rate in the NL & Sw than in their neighbors, either related to response, population factors or migration patterns. Lots to investigate :)
The flattening of the USA curves are encouraging, especially % growth & 7 day mortality curve, fingers crossed. The UK continues to progress and may soon pass Italy’s cases/Million & deaths/million.
Thank you again for sharing your work with us. It’s invaluable to have data I trust & the myriad of ways you break it out makes the process of analyzing much more accessible.
What the data is showing me is that some nursing homes have absolutely inadequate infection control measures. They are not doing enough to protect their patients. Maybe some inspections are in order?
The IHME ‘model’ has been updated and now forecasting 135K fatalities by August 4th. So far this ‘model’ has been grossly over predicting infections and deaths. Current trends you’ve posted don’t support such a projection.
The timing of this ‘update’ seems to suspiciously coincide with the country trying to restart the economic engine.
Thank you for all you do, please add me to your ping list.
The media frequently reports Covid-19 victims as "healthy" people with nothing was wrong with them. Many "healthy" people have multiple co-morbidities. We have a 40% adult obesity rate. Undiagnosed and known illnesses, smoking, vaping, alcohol and drug use, risky lifestyle decisions all add up and take a toll on our ability to have a strong immune response when a virus invades.
Our health status is PRIVATE information. Friends and family don't always know when someone abuses alcohol and uses drugs. Families are shocked to find out they realize a loved one was hiding their addictions….illicit drugs, cocaine, steroids. Patients frequently withhold (hide) their health status from their families and friends. It is their right.
Locking down the healthy didn't help the most vulnerable nursing homes in NJ, PA and NY and MA.
There are so many people with co-morbidities and they will remain at higher risk to succumb to Covid-19. They should take extra precautions.
Every reported (NJ.gov LTC dashboard) Covid -19 death in my hometown ---- was nursing home related.
Looks like the data from China is inaccurate /s
Thx
“”””There are so many people with co-morbidities and they will remain at higher risk to succumb to Covid-19. They should take extra precautions.”””
Gov Ron DeSantis has been doing a great job of emphasizing the risks for younger people with comorbidities.
We have too many people age 20 to 50 with diabetes, obesity, heart issues, addiction issues.
And these people need to be told again and again that if you are 40 years old, 100 pounds overweight, with type 2 diabetes, you are very likely to die if you get infected with covid.
“We the people” cannot and will not stay at home so those people with major health issues can wander freely.
Thank you for the link.
I looked at some things already, but I’ll try to get back
there an look some more.
Thanks Pete. We seem to be seeing quite a bit of that.
Read about one place that protected all their residents with
(and I think his is correct), Hydroxychloroquine and other
things.
I think they lost one out of about fifty.
I agree with your take on things and appreciate the nice
comments.
I think you’re right.
They pulled that number out of you know where.
Not buying it either.
I do expect an uptick, but life goes on and we have to get
back on track. This cannot continue as it is.
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