Call me a tinfoil hat conspirasist but I believe it is well known that this world wide lock down as a cure is turning out to be far worse then the disease and we are seeing many people begin to defy the lock down.
In response those who seek to continue the lock down need to do something to re enforce their decision to shut everything down.
How do they do this? In America they begin reporting inflated death totals and including deaths among heretofore mostly immune sub groups such as young people. The hope is by ramping up the totals again people will go back to hiding in their basements and the destruction of America (and our president) will continue.
Remember, if a patient with heart issues dies in the hospital and the patient next to him has China Virus the heart patients death will be deemed caused by the virus.
bttt
On Wednesday April 1 I began tracking the number of serious, critical cases being reported in the USA.
These are the people who may likely die in the next few days.
If the serious, critical number goes up, we will likely see more deaths. On the other hand if the various drugs being tested are effective in treating the virus, the serious, critical number should go down.
Here are the numbers:
Apr 17 Fri 13509
Apr 18 Sat 13551
Apr 19 Sun 13566
Apr 20 Mon 13951
Apr 21 Tue 14016
Apr 22 Wed 14016
Apr 23 Thu 14997
Apr 24 Fri 15097
Apr 25 Sat 15110
Apr 26 Sun 15143
Apr 27 Mon 14186
Apr 28 Tue 15298
Apr 29 Wed 18671
Last week we had a 500 patient jump on Monday . And Thursday we had a 1000 patient increase. On Monday, we had a 1000 patient decline in the number of patients critical/serious. On Tuesday we had a 1000 patient increase. And on Wednesday we had a 3,400 patient increase. Thus, it appears the worldometer algorithm made an error on Monday and now we may be in a new phase.
I looked at the worldometer website to see how they collect the serious/critical da it represents for the most part the number of patients currently being treated in Intensive Care Unit (ICU), if and when this figure is reported.
What we need to see is a slowdown in the number of people who are serious/critical and a slowdown in the number of people dying. Yesterday, we had a sharp increase in critical/serious and a high death rate. April will likely come in with about 58,000 deaths. April 1st seems so long ago when there was a cumulative total of 5,100 deaths in the USA that day.
.
I also truncated the data to keep this posting shorter. Earlier numbers are available in DoughtyOnes tables.
Thanks, but you should provide these sources as links.
Here is another improved formatting chart:
Table 2. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by age group, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/25/2020.*Data as of April 29, 2020 [improved formatting added] |
||||||
Age group |
COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1 |
Deaths from All Causes |
Pneumonia Deaths |
Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19 |
Influenza Deaths |
Population4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All ages |
33,513 |
706,401 |
61,898 |
14,910 |
5,792 |
327,167,434 |
Under 1 year |
4 |
3,662 |
34 |
1 |
11 |
3,848,208 |
14 years |
2 |
704 |
33 |
2 |
30 |
15,962,067 |
514 years |
3 |
1,057 |
37 |
0 |
40 |
41,075,169 |
1524 years |
37 |
6,251 |
130 |
15 |
41 |
42,970,800 |
2534 years |
253 |
13,296 |
438 |
106 |
130 |
45,697,774 |
3544 years |
627 |
19,177 |
991 |
249 |
205 |
41,277,888 |
4554 years |
1,721 |
37,124 |
2,556 |
710 |
508 |
41,631,699 |
5564 years |
4,199 |
89,413 |
7,497 |
1,844 |
1,068 |
42,272,636 |
6574 years |
7,220 |
139,006 |
12,862 |
3,177 |
1,264 |
30,492,316 |
7584 years |
9,142 |
174,636 |
17,096 |
4,178 |
1,291 |
15,394,374 |
85 years and over |
10,305 |
222,075 |
20,224 |
4,628 |
1,204 |
6,544,503 |
NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. *Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death. 1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD10 code U07.1. 2Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza. 3Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death. 4Population is based on 2018 postcensal estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau (9) |
Total Population, Total Deaths
Saudi Arabia, 33 million people, 157 deaths
Chile, 19 million people, 216 deaths
Pakistan, 220 million people, 346 deaths
Japan, 126 million people, 425 deaths
Bangladesh, 170 million people, 163 deaths
Serbia, 8 million people, 173 deaths
Amazing so few deaths in such large populations. Is it real? Are they not reporting? Did fewer Chinese visit these countries? Did the virus decide to focus on Americans and Europeans?