Posted on 04/28/2020 4:13:42 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
‘up 14,000 from the previous estimate, according to a report.’
the fear contingent of FR dances with glee...
It is like they make predictions on the death count and more bad stuff happens because they have to be right.
The predictions are stealth death sentences for many.
Wen this is over they will be correct with their final projection.
In Maryland, a Covid-19 death is counted as “probable” until laboratory confirmed. I assume other states are doing the same. This means that there is no “presumed” positive on death certificates.
I haven’t made any such estimate. The only estimate I’ve done is worldwide case data, based on an R0 of 2.5 and each round of infection occurring over a period of 9 days. This model worked well until Apr 2; after that, the case growth has dropped, which I attribute to widespread quarantine measures having been enacted in March.
I’ll have to do a death rate model and see what I come up with.
Is this “increase” to 75,000 an “increase” from the 2 million deaths that were predicted and widely publicized in late March?
Or an “increase” from the 200,000 that Dr. Fauci predicted and was widely publicized about 10 days ago.
If after all this time, the predicted death toll is still “increasing”, Trump must be doing a really bad job. /sarc
And if the number of deaths from this virus is now approaching the total from a really bad flu season, we absolutely need to shut down our economy and all those nasty, irresponsible, greedy businesses that employ us for at least another 6 months. /sarc
Whoever came up with that one needed to get off drugs... now.
NY and other states are padding the totals to get more federal aid. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the total hit 80K by Aug 4.
it’s similar to the weather forecast that predicts 2 to 12 inches of snow.
What is the point of these estimates since there are so many instances of deaths being attributed to the China Virus without any evidence the deceased was tested for the virus.
It’s all BS and a politically motivated fear campaign.
Someday, everybody alive today will die. News at Eleven.
>> Saw the plans to open back up, then they increased the numbers.
Of course, that’s what is going to happen, how could it not?
Up 14,000 from the previous estimate? Not so.
Up to date and directly from the IHME website (his source):
"Based on the latest available data, the COVID-19 epidemic’s first wave could cause 74,073 cumulative deaths (estimate range 56,563 to 130,666) in the US. The total from today’s release is higher than average predictions published on April 22 (67,641, with an estimate range of 48,058 to 123,157) ... "
So the previous estimate by IHME was 67,641(on 4/22/20) not 60,000 as the reporter states.
Gotta keep ahead of the projected number of deaths from suicide, drug overdose and not being able to get treated for other conditions, dontcha know.
The way they are running these models on the last day they will finally have the “prediction” dialed in and we will all hear for months how wonderful and accurate they all were on CNN.
I feel better already.
If you try to open up your state to prevent a deadly economic collapse, you are a racist, sexist, homophobic profiteer who wants old people to die. /sarc
The 2.2 million dead model was a model whipped up in London, UK, which actually did take mitigation measures into account.
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