Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rt Covid-19 Chart (measure of how fast virus is spreading)
RT Covid-19 ^ | 4/27/2020

Posted on 04/27/2020 7:03:56 AM PDT by grayboots

These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading.

(Excerpt) Read more at rt.live ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-59 next last
Thought some people might be interested in this.
1 posted on 04/27/2020 7:03:56 AM PDT by grayboots
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Thanks....good info.

Now let’s all get back to work.


2 posted on 04/27/2020 7:09:28 AM PDT by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

interesting-these numbers re half of what the CDC and Who have been reporting,perhaps a trend of #s being revised downward.

Here’s the single best fact based video on Covid-19 by Dr Erickson and his partner who have done over 5,200 Covid test and was out front of this before any cases were detected in the U.S. -if you watch first 9-10 minute you get gist.

https://www.kget.com/video/local-doctor-from-accelerated-urgent-care-gives-take-on-covid-19-in-kern-county/5416469/

Those of us with a background in data analytics have been saying for some time either the infection rate the basic reproduction Number (R0) is wrong or the fatality rate is wrong. Otherwise millions would be dead already. Remember the double a penny every day, well in 34 days it ends up being worth over $ 160 million and the (R0) factor has been stated at over 2x.
So it turns out it is the fatality rate is much much lower. This won’t compute for some people who are running with the emotion of the constant message but these are the facts on the ground. see video For a fact based study/analysis by MD Dan Erickson, who with his partner has done half of the test in Kern County

This is the 5th study that confirms this, much lower fatality rate 1) First Iceland that randomly tested people in the population then 2) Stanford study of Santa Cruz, 3) USC Study and even yesterday even 4) NY. Governor Andrew Cuomo Cumo said a preliminary survey of New York state residents found that nearly 14% of those tested had antibodies against the novel coronavirus, suggesting that some 2.7 million may already have been infected.

And even Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said of the USC study, “the study suggests that 0.1 percent to 0.2 percent of people infected by the virus will die, which would make COVID-19 only somewhat more deadly than the seasonal flu”. That finding is consistent with the results of an earlier antibody study in Santa Clara County. “The mortality rate now has dropped a lot,” Ferrer conceded.

I’m not suggesting anyone does anything different right now as we will find out more as more studies come in but should be good news if more studies confirm this.


3 posted on 04/27/2020 7:09:54 AM PDT by TECTopcat (e)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots
So it looks like the 1st graph is charting number of tests, is the correct?

The state graphs are plotting the R factor, which appears that in every state they are going down and all are below 1.0. Is that also correct?

4 posted on 04/27/2020 7:10:15 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Found it interesting - here in NC we are rated at .89.

We are getting generally under 300 new cases per day - and they only test those at risk (medical workers), 65 and older and those that get hospitalized.

Those who come in with mild symptoms are not tested and are told to go home and shake it off.


5 posted on 04/27/2020 7:10:35 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Robert DeLong

No, if you go to the individual state data, you will find a number of them above 1.0.


6 posted on 04/27/2020 7:16:27 AM PDT by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: PeteB570

“Those who come in with mild symptoms are not tested and are told to go home and shake it off”

In Californicator land, if you had mild symptoms, you would never see a doctor. An RN or NP would tell you on the phone to stay home, drink a lot of fluids, get some sunshine and shake it off. Then wear a mask if you go outside.


7 posted on 04/27/2020 7:17:17 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Are the ChiComs/PRC, ownership of America's, fake news media/CNN, Democrats, the real Deep Staters?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Excellent, thanks.


8 posted on 04/27/2020 7:17:40 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods ("As government expands, liberty contracts." -Ronald Reagan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Looks like hockey sticks are being bioconverted into noodles, limp ones at that.


9 posted on 04/27/2020 7:20:03 AM PDT by going hot (happiness is a momma deuce)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Thanks for posting this. The trend is your friend.


10 posted on 04/27/2020 7:21:12 AM PDT by Menehune56 ("Let them hate so long as they fear" (Oderint Dum Metuant), Lucius Accius (170 BC - 86 BC))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TECTopcat

“This won’t compute for some people who are running with the emotion of the constant message but these are the facts on the ground.”

That sums it up nicely. This supposed “pandemic” is really just emotionalism at its worst and heartbreaking for me to see so many people on FR buying into it and then getting flamed, attacked and ridiculed by them for daring to speak my mind.

I suspect for some of them they want desperately for it to be real in order to justify their unhinged belief that the world is ending and all is lost.

Most the pity.


11 posted on 04/27/2020 7:24:08 AM PDT by Liberal Anti Venom (In a free society, the last refuge of a moron is tyranny. ~Jeremy Egerer~)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: TECTopcat

One of the reasons why Washington State is near the bottom of the list is that we had the first cases discovered in the USA, the first community spread cases discovered, and the first deaths discovered. We have half a million Chinese “immigrants” living in the eastern part of King and Snohomish counties. Many of whom along with their family and friends who were taking direct flights to SeaTac from Wuhan after the crisis there had begun. When the “travel ban” went into effect these direct flights just redirected to Vancouver International a two hour drive north of here. Over 10,000 people took this route in just the first two weeks of February alone. We can thank our Canadian neighbors for helping to keep the stream of infected people coming into this part of the country.


12 posted on 04/27/2020 7:29:11 AM PDT by fireman15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: fireman15
Sorry didn't finish my thought... In the part of Washington we live in... this thing had mostly run its course by the middle of March, before the governor's “stay at home order” had gone into effect. Our hospitals had already cleared out.
13 posted on 04/27/2020 7:31:54 AM PDT by fireman15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

Thank you for sharing.


14 posted on 04/27/2020 7:32:50 AM PDT by Starboard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

I’m amazed that a 2 letter URL for the Top Level Domain ‘.live’ was still available 11 days ago. Even .live has over 691K urls registered.


15 posted on 04/27/2020 7:33:34 AM PDT by posterchild
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grayboots

It’s quietly going up 1000 cases here in Arizona every 3-4 days.


16 posted on 04/27/2020 7:34:22 AM PDT by riri (If people still dropping, most aint shopping.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fireman15

If true there should be a similar outbreak of the Virus in and around Vancouver Canada?
I don’t know just asking.


17 posted on 04/27/2020 7:35:21 AM PDT by Leep (We can go to the grocery store but we can't go to work?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: TECTopcat

https://www.kget.com/video/local-doctor-from-accelerated-urgent-care-gives-take-on-covid-19-in-kern-county/5416469/

Excellent video link! Thanks.


18 posted on 04/27/2020 7:39:09 AM PDT by fireman15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: riri
It’s quietly going up 1000 cases here in Arizona every 3-4 days.

Yet the R value is under 1.0 at .99 like many other states.

Time to end the lockdown and get life back to a closer version of normal.

19 posted on 04/27/2020 7:40:51 AM PDT by Boomer ('Democrat' is now synonymous with 'corrupt')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: kabar
Well I did just give it a quick look.

Yeah, there are 8 still above 1.0, with everyone of them declining and all just barely above the 1.0 mark. So even the ones above are nothing more than johnny-come-latelies to the party, and are all headed in a southerly direction. Which explains why I didn't see all of them 100% accurately. But hey, I got 84% right, which is better than those "experts" predicting the devastation this virus would exact on this nation. 8>)

20 posted on 04/27/2020 7:41:12 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-59 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson