The plan is nothing, planning is everything.
We want to test for antibodies so that we can know how many people have had the virus. But we will never have a test to tell us how many people we lost who never had the virus.
Then we don’t trust them ever again. Cry wolf too many times.
He writes the answer to his own question:
In mid-March, without social distancing, they predicted 2.2 million American deaths. By early April they reduced their death projection to 100,000 to 240,000 assuming social distancing measures in place. Their April 17 update now projects 60,308 deaths, 3% of their original prediction. What changed? Social distancing was in already in place when the death predictions dropped by a factor of four.
The continual drumbeat against social distancing is all based on circular reasoning, begging the question, ignoring the facts before the advocate.
That the model numbers changed between no social distancing and social distancing is not an argument against social distancing, but an argument in favor of it. What happened with social distancing in place is not evidence of how fine things would have been without social distancing.
That social distancing was more effective than was presumed in the model is not an argument against modeling, but an argument that individuals trying to protect themselves did a far better job of social distancing than those running the models presumed [the genius of Americans is being able to do voluntarily what is in their own self-interest and not have to be told in a fascist manner which foot to march out on first when doing the goose step].
Of course we could do what this idiot advocates. Just stop modeling and using models. Let's stop forecasting hurricanes. After all they never get it really just right spot on. Of course a lot of us would like to know whether we have a .001% chance of being directly striken and a 30% chance, which hurricane models are pretty darn good at, actually. Do I go about my business or do I board up my windows and skip town. While there are no 100% right answers, there are 100% wrong answers.
Monday morning waterboy trying to be relevant
What Happens When the Global Warming Models are Wrong?
The personal financial damage will also be longlasting for some.
#OUAN Open up America Now!!
What Happens When the Coronavirus Models are Wrong?
The democrat party dictators will be sad.
What happens? Nothing at all. If deaths are low, they’ll claim “look how many lives we’ve saved!”. If deaths are high, it’s just an excuse to continue their insanity. It’s a no-lose scenario for them.
When they are wrong? They are always wrong. Only suckers and morons believe the “models”.
A bad disease model cost us two trillion dollars and 22 million jobs. And liberals are screaming, “But give us more of this power, we’ve got climate models predicting the end of the world!”