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COVID-19 Projections (IHME) - Why are deaths estimated to stop on June 1st?
IHME ^ | April 17, 2020

Posted on 04/19/2020 3:07:55 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

According to projections by IHME, we are supposed to be past the peak by now, we will continue to see deaths for each day throughout May before reaching 0 on June 1st. Why is it supposed to stop by then? That seems a bit early to me.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: covid19
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1 posted on 04/19/2020 3:07:55 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Answer this simple question: when has this model ever come close to being accurate?


2 posted on 04/19/2020 3:13:10 PM PDT by ocrp1982
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To: MinorityRepublican

“Why is it supposed to stop by then? That seems a bit early to me.”

I’m certain that this isn’t so that if even a small number of people die from CoVid-19 complications after June 1st the Democrats can declare that an unforeseen spike in fatalities has occurred and resume the tyrannical control over the citizens of the US.

We should be happy to surrender all of our liberties if it saves even one life. Clearly that’s what our founding fathers believed.


3 posted on 04/19/2020 3:14:16 PM PDT by Junk Silver ("It's a little hard to herd people onto trains when they're shooting at you." SirLurkedalot)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Well....

Because it’s June 1!

What’s wrong with you?!


4 posted on 04/19/2020 3:15:00 PM PDT by Fury
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To: MinorityRepublican

El Braino...aka....Dr. Fauci wants “0” deaths before ANYTHING opens.


5 posted on 04/19/2020 3:16:01 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: MinorityRepublican

It was supposed to be eleventy million.


6 posted on 04/19/2020 3:18:42 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople
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To: MinorityRepublican

Uh-oh....don’t tell the fearpers...


7 posted on 04/19/2020 3:25:07 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: MinorityRepublican

After June 1st we start having negative death counts.

Ready for the Zombies war?


8 posted on 04/19/2020 3:29:48 PM PDT by gitmo (If your theology doesn't become your biography, what good is it?)
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To: MinorityRepublican
Well, according to a documentary made in 2005 called "Pandemic", the experts claimed that the next or any pandemic will change life as we know it for 6 months. It's free on Amazon Prime right now.

We've had the virus circulating among us for much longer than we realized. Things went wonky around mid March but people were getting RSV, a serious lung illness in January, maybe December so June 1 would put us right at the 6 month mark.

I have a feeling those who had RSV labeled illnesses will turn out to be C-19 if those people are checked for antibodies. RSV is serious too with a long recovery time.

The point was never to stop the virus from spreading; that would be impossible. It was always to slow it down so the hospitals could handle the flow of sick people. Unfortunately they didn't know what to treat them with or how. Now we know certain drugs like Remdesivir and Hydroxchloroquine help greatly. The next challenge is to get them to the affected people in time to do some good. Front line health care workers should be taking them as a prophylactic.

9 posted on 04/19/2020 3:31:35 PM PDT by Boomer ('Democrat' is now synonymous with 'corrupt')
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To: Boomer

That makes sense so why aren’t we hearing this during President Trump’s press conferrnces?


10 posted on 04/19/2020 3:33:08 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
The IHME model does not predict 0 deaths on June 1.

The scale is in thousands of deaths per day. On June 1, they currently estimate 8 deaths, in a range of 0 to 46 possible deaths.

11 posted on 04/19/2020 3:39:36 PM PDT by Widget Jr
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To: MinorityRepublican

Because you don’t have a monitor big enough that lets the graph keep going to the right.


12 posted on 04/19/2020 3:43:31 PM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: ocrp1982

Why are deaths estimated to stop on June 1st?”

Because the MSM/DNC is desperate to keep the country shut down through May. They know if the can keep the country closed another month the economy will so decimated there is no chance it recovers before November. So by making this claim they are saying just keep it as it is and we get to no deaths by June!


13 posted on 04/19/2020 3:52:52 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Widget Jr

Ok let’s say that it will be 8. Why that number?


14 posted on 04/19/2020 3:55:47 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Just shows how bad/far off “models” can be...(”garbage in/garbage out”)...COVID-19 is a nasty flu virus strain w/o a vaccine available, so of course there will be fatalities from it after June 1st. Just like every other flu virus.


15 posted on 04/19/2020 4:00:11 PM PDT by Drago
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To: MinorityRepublican

“COVID-19 Projections (IHME) - Why are deaths estimated to stop on June 1st?”

My birthday is in June?


16 posted on 04/19/2020 4:34:07 PM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Because that number is statistically in the middle of the predicted range of 0 to 41. 0 to 41 are two or three standard deviations away from 8, I’m not sure which they are using.


17 posted on 04/19/2020 4:47:34 PM PDT by Widget Jr
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To: MinorityRepublican

It’s supposed to reach zero by then so that when it doesn’t they can cite that as a reason to extend the lockdowns.

Or at the very least as a reason why we must have mail-in voting in November because we have to protect our most vulnerable blah blah blah.

These people are maniacal. And they’re idiots. Which makes them a deadly combination of maniacal idiots.


18 posted on 04/19/2020 5:06:19 PM PDT by LateBoomer
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To: Drago

That’s why I am wondering if the true estimate is more like 200,000. That’s nearly 3x the deaths of 2017-18 flu season which was bad.


19 posted on 04/19/2020 5:35:36 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: gitmo

Because the MSM will need a New Story

They know we’ve tuned out the hysteria, it’s run it’s course


20 posted on 04/19/2020 5:36:08 PM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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