Posted on 04/14/2020 6:48:25 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
PHOENIX (April 14th, 2020) As Arizona residents endure a stay-at-home order and thousands of people suffer from coronavirus, President Donald Trump continues to fall in a head-to-head matchup with former Vice President Joe Biden.
Biden has expanded his lead over Trump in the April edition of OHPIs Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP), now leading the president 52 to 43 with 5 percent of voters undecided.
This nine-point advantage for Biden is a sign the former vice president continues to gain traction in a historically ruby-red state. After a December poll showed Biden trailing the president, capping off a summer and autumn of decline for the vice president, he jumped to a six point lead in March and has increased that margin an additional three points in the month since.
What is interesting is the incredibly small margin between Trumps ceiling and floor of support against Biden, said Mike Noble, Chief of Research at Phoenix-based public opinion polling and market research company OH Predictive Insights. Trumps biggest pain-point is in Maricopa County and will need to triage that if he hopes to carry Arizonas eleven Electoral College votes come November.
However, Bidens lead in these polls may not be as solid as it first appears. There are signs that Trumps base may be much more energized than the former vice presidents. Seven in 10 voters who said they preferred Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Biden said they were Extremely enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming election, compared to only 3 in 5 Biden supporters.
(Excerpt) Read more at ohpredictiveinsights.cmail19.com ...
Biden will drop to 30% once people see him debate. Even Romney could have been President after he bruised up Obama in the debate, only to slack off in the following debates to let Obama win.
My opinion parallels yours. I recall the pathetic 2016 turnouts for Hitlery vs the massive attendance for Trump rallies.
One thing built into our minds is if that if it is printed, it has to be true. Even though we know anything from the news media is 90% apt to be total Joseph Goebbels grade propaganda, we still tend to think of anything printed as true.
This paradigm needs to change. If this ever happens, then when looking at such a poll we will automatically know it’s bullshit.
when was the last Trump rally? the last campaign ad?
trump is not currently running, but I’ll bet biteme is.
Biden has serious mental issues. Senility?
On the 538 poll page it is pnly listed twice. Through this poll out.
This poll was taken in Disney’s Fantasyland on Gay Day.
Look for Dems to try to weasel the election by demanding a do-over or something similar.
Woh. If AZ is even a toss up Trump is doomed. Which would surprise me on both counts. AZ goes Rep very consistently, unless the GOP candidate is on their way to getting drubbed nationally. I don’t see it, think the poll must be flawed. But if it ain’t.
Anyone that thinks that Biden can generate the same kind of democratic turnout as Hillary is an idiot.
This is why the push poll. They view the quarantine as a leveler - if they can shut down the rallies, stop carrying Trump on the news - they theorize all we'll know is Biden, haha.
Trump is going to lose Arizona! Even Texas is turning Blue this year! It’s totally over! I mean why go on, cough in my face Covidians.
202 for D, 168 for Indies, and 234 for R.
Fair sample. I don’t get it. Has MSM really been that effective at hiding Joe’s dementia and convincing people Trump messed up the Virus response?
46% live callers
54% IVR response
Outbound mode
IVR places calls to respondents who then self-complete the pre-recorded survey.
This mode is well suited to measure satisfaction regarding a specific purchase
or service among customers who have previously agreed to give their feedback.
Wisconsin final voting numbers:
Trump - 615,002 votes
Biden - 581,079 votes
Trump victory margin: 34,000 votes
End of story, case closed!!!
It is hard to say. Arizona has had way too many Californians and New Yorkers move here. Too many have kept their politics and infected suburban women with their fear of Trump & freedom. Lots of Hispanics who love Trump here, but also a lot who are looking for a handout.
I won’t make any predictions. I didn’t think Sinema would win in 2018 in spite of how bad a candidate McSally was - but she did.
Also - Phoenix is getting used to being a big city, and big cities go Democrat.
All I know is the past. GOP candidates that squeaked or even lost AZ include Dole and Romney. Things change, could be the CA influx is turning AZ into a swing state.
Yes, Biden is not impressive on his feet. He never was, but now it seems clinical.
It’s still going to be a close election. Trump is unpopular, but he has in-built electoral advantages in the same states he narrowly surprised Clinton in last time: PA, MI, WI
Biden needs to win 37 electoral votes that Clinton failed to win (and of course hold onto all her wins). Here’s his most likely pickup states (excluding AZ), their electoral votes, and what Trump’s percentage margin of victory was in 2016.
PA = 20 = 0.7%
MI = 16 = 0.3%
WI = 10 = 0.7%
FL = 29 = 1.2%
Wisconsin just Elected a Libtard to the State Supreme Court.
The Rats will spend the next seven Months convincing the Sheeple that POTUS Trump caused the Kung Flu, just like they blamed Reagan for the AIDS Epidemic.
The only reason any Libtard supports Joementia is their seething Hatred for POTUS Trump.
The DNC Media has done such a good Job influencing People that supporting a Candidate who is obviously suffering from the effects of Old Age is not an issue to half the Electorate.
There is no way on God’s Green Earth that people watching Joementia are unaware of his diminished Mental capacity. Their hatred drives them and the Kung Flu Pandemic is giving them just another reason to Vote against POTUS Trump. After all, it has to be someone’s fault, right?
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