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Biden Extends Lead in Arizona (Biden 52, Trump 43 in OHPI’s Arizona Public Opinion Pulse)
OH Predictive Insights ^ | 04/14/2020

Posted on 04/14/2020 6:48:25 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: SeekAndFind

Biden will drop to 30% once people see him debate. Even Romney could have been President after he bruised up Obama in the debate, only to slack off in the following debates to let Obama win.


21 posted on 04/14/2020 7:05:35 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Enlightened1

My opinion parallels yours. I recall the pathetic 2016 turnouts for Hitlery vs the massive attendance for Trump rallies.

One thing built into our minds is if that if it is printed, it has to be true. Even though we know anything from the news media is 90% apt to be total Joseph Goebbels grade propaganda, we still tend to think of anything printed as true.

This paradigm needs to change. If this ever happens, then when looking at such a poll we will automatically know it’s bullshit.


22 posted on 04/14/2020 7:07:27 AM PDT by redfreedom
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To: SeekAndFind

when was the last Trump rally? the last campaign ad?

trump is not currently running, but I’ll bet biteme is.


23 posted on 04/14/2020 7:11:25 AM PDT by cableguymn (We need a redneck in the white house....)
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To: babble-on

Biden has serious mental issues. Senility?


24 posted on 04/14/2020 7:15:13 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: SeekAndFind

On the 538 poll page it is pnly listed twice. Through this poll out.


25 posted on 04/14/2020 7:17:50 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: All

This poll was taken in Disney’s Fantasyland on Gay Day.


26 posted on 04/14/2020 7:19:43 AM PDT by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: nikos1121
Good point... until it is too late.

Look for Dems to try to weasel the election by demanding a do-over or something similar.

27 posted on 04/14/2020 7:20:08 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: gibsonguy
From the PDF file the Party demographics were around 202 for D, 168 for Indies, and 234 for R.

The Indies broke for Biden with 66%.

Not sure who these Indies are but that is what this pollster outfit regurgitated/"trusted" sanctity of variables.
28 posted on 04/14/2020 7:20:49 AM PDT by rollo tomasi
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To: SeekAndFind

Woh. If AZ is even a toss up Trump is doomed. Which would surprise me on both counts. AZ goes Rep very consistently, unless the GOP candidate is on their way to getting drubbed nationally. I don’t see it, think the poll must be flawed. But if it ain’t.


29 posted on 04/14/2020 7:23:28 AM PDT by discostu (I know that's a bummer baby, but it's got precious little to do with me)
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To: SeekAndFind

Anyone that thinks that Biden can generate the same kind of democratic turnout as Hillary is an idiot.


30 posted on 04/14/2020 7:23:51 AM PDT by Preachin' (I stand with many voters who will never vote for a pro abortion candidate.)
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To: Enlightened1
Biden cannot even get 100 people to show up to rally.

This is why the push poll. They view the quarantine as a leveler - if they can shut down the rallies, stop carrying Trump on the news - they theorize all we'll know is Biden, haha.

31 posted on 04/14/2020 7:25:01 AM PDT by no-s
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To: dhs12345

Trump is going to lose Arizona! Even Texas is turning Blue this year! It’s totally over! I mean why go on, cough in my face Covidians.


32 posted on 04/14/2020 7:25:46 AM PDT by pburgh01 (It's the FLU!)
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To: rollo tomasi

202 for D, 168 for Indies, and 234 for R.

Fair sample. I don’t get it. Has MSM really been that effective at hiding Joe’s dementia and convincing people Trump messed up the Virus response?


33 posted on 04/14/2020 7:29:18 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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46% live callers
54% IVR response

Outbound mode
IVR places calls to respondents who then self-complete the pre-recorded survey.
This mode is well suited to measure satisfaction regarding a specific purchase
or service among customers who have previously agreed to give their feedback.


34 posted on 04/14/2020 7:35:01 AM PDT by deport
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To: Enlightened1

Wisconsin final voting numbers:

Trump - 615,002 votes

Biden - 581,079 votes

Trump victory margin: 34,000 votes

End of story, case closed!!!


35 posted on 04/14/2020 7:36:13 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forev er!!!)
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To: gibsonguy
The Independent affiliation is were the shenanigans might be at play in this poll.If variables for Indies are legit, then the atmosphere is troubling (A lot of retirement accounts got hit hard with the shutdown).
36 posted on 04/14/2020 7:37:41 AM PDT by rollo tomasi
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To: discostu

It is hard to say. Arizona has had way too many Californians and New Yorkers move here. Too many have kept their politics and infected suburban women with their fear of Trump & freedom. Lots of Hispanics who love Trump here, but also a lot who are looking for a handout.

I won’t make any predictions. I didn’t think Sinema would win in 2018 in spite of how bad a candidate McSally was - but she did.

Also - Phoenix is getting used to being a big city, and big cities go Democrat.


37 posted on 04/14/2020 7:40:36 AM PDT by Mr Rogers (Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools)
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To: Mr Rogers

All I know is the past. GOP candidates that squeaked or even lost AZ include Dole and Romney. Things change, could be the CA influx is turning AZ into a swing state.


38 posted on 04/14/2020 7:45:45 AM PDT by discostu (I know that's a bummer baby, but it's got precious little to do with me)
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To: dhs12345

Yes, Biden is not impressive on his feet. He never was, but now it seems clinical.

It’s still going to be a close election. Trump is unpopular, but he has in-built electoral advantages in the same states he narrowly surprised Clinton in last time: PA, MI, WI

Biden needs to win 37 electoral votes that Clinton failed to win (and of course hold onto all her wins). Here’s his most likely pickup states (excluding AZ), their electoral votes, and what Trump’s percentage margin of victory was in 2016.

PA = 20 = 0.7%
MI = 16 = 0.3%
WI = 10 = 0.7%
FL = 29 = 1.2%


39 posted on 04/14/2020 7:51:14 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Wisconsin just Elected a Libtard to the State Supreme Court.

The Rats will spend the next seven Months convincing the Sheeple that POTUS Trump caused the Kung Flu, just like they blamed Reagan for the AIDS Epidemic.

The only reason any Libtard supports Joementia is their seething Hatred for POTUS Trump.

The DNC Media has done such a good Job influencing People that supporting a Candidate who is obviously suffering from the effects of Old Age is not an issue to half the Electorate.

There is no way on God’s Green Earth that people watching Joementia are unaware of his diminished Mental capacity. Their hatred drives them and the Kung Flu Pandemic is giving them just another reason to Vote against POTUS Trump. After all, it has to be someone’s fault, right?


40 posted on 04/14/2020 7:55:06 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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