Given that CV19 is about 4 times as easy to transmit as a flu virus it's easy to see how it could run rampant without mitigation. In case this were to happen in the United States it would overwhelm our far superior medical system and we would be looking at an overall population death rate of 12%.
We each rely on each other to keep this from happening.
What kind of BS did you just invent? One logical flaw after another. Fallacy on top of fallacy.
Don’t forget that in the US, if you have a heart attack, and the EMT has COVID-19, and you die, the cause of death will be listed as COVID-19.
Did you actually think about this or even run your own numbers?
12% death on the overall population?
330,000,000 x 12% = 39,600,000
Care to moderate your insanity?
I’m pretty sure your figures are out of date by several days.
As I wrote elsewhere, the US is right where you'd expect:
-Those countries with adjusted low case counts like Austria, Portugal, and Denmark have dutiful citizens that respond well to the demands of the common good over their individuality.
-Those countries with high case counts have surrendered their individuality and national identity to mob rule.
It's a bit like gun control: we’ll never have zero cases in America because we’re crazy individualists who distrust authority and love freedom. That means we'll usually run a little hotter on things like crime. But we won’t be like the UK and Italy and Belgium and their yuge relative death count.
In case this were to happen in the United States it would overwhelm our far superior medical system and we would be looking at an overall population death rate of 12%.
I do know the ‘herd immunity’ theory assumed an infection rate of 68% for the particular disease. The flu, albeit with vaccines in place, generally doesn’t top 10%. I suspect that unmitigated, and assuming the new treatments were to fall through in regards fatalities, the maximum infection rate would be between those bounds.
In fairness to everyone on both sides of the argument - there is simply not enough data to form conclusions because of the unknowns. Until we test a huge representative sample of people regionally we will not be able to make such sweeping conclusions given that upwards of 80% of people are asymptomatic and are unlikely to be tested.
We will also NOT be able to use one set of data nationwide. The regional fluctuation means that numbers in NYC for example will not fit Fargo, ND, or Seattle will not fit the rest of Washington state.
This is my frustration with the doom doctors at the daily briefings. They are grasping at every bit of data, but what does it really tell us without sufficient testing? They are spitting out the only numbers they have, but they are not sufficient in my opinion to make long term projections.
The US is the size of many smaller countries within it, both by population and geography. So we should compare New York to a New York size country. Texas to a Texas size country. Washington to a Washington size country.
But it is even more specific than that. New York Metro is not typical of New York state. In reverse, sparsely populated SW GA is not typical of Georgia.
Basing conclusions on composite numbers of different facts is not the best way to look at reality.
UK has not been overwhelmed
you have got to be joking right? Some kind of troll?
There are no statistics that can come to that rate of death of the overall population.
You're simply conflating rate of death of those tested and rate of death of the infected. It's not the same thing
worldometers == statistics out of Shanghai china
An overall population death rate of 12%? - 40 million dead in USA? Hyperbole much?
FYI, CV-19 was a WWII aircraft carrier, aka USS Hancock, not a virus.
Pulled that one out of your posterior, I see.