Posted on 04/09/2020 11:59:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
We are seeing glimmers of light at the end of the tunnel that is the Covid-19 crisis. China, where the pandemic first struck, had its first day with no new deaths to report. Europe’s worst hit countries, Italy and Spain, are recording a slowing of their respective death tolls. And governments are now talking openly about lifting draconian lockdowns that have restricted movement for half of the world’s population, torpedoed economic activity and imposed a global recession. This is a big moment.
The tunnel is a long one, though. The coronavirus outbreak hasn’t spread uniformly, and, in Europe, country-by-country lockdowns have been applied in haphazard ways. For now, only a handful of states are outlining plans to lift restrictions within days.
The most confident public signals aren’t coming from countries with the most heavy-handed measures, such as Italy or Spain, or those taking a more lax stance, like Sweden (which is belatedly getting tougher). They’re coming from Austria and Denmark, which acted early relative to their coronavirus outbreaks and saw their infection rates come under control. Data compiled by Oxford University’s Blavatnik School of Government shows these two countries introduced lockdowns when they had fewer than 1,000 cases and almost no deaths. When France and Spain began theirs, their case count was closer to 10,000 and their death tolls in the hundreds.
If there’s a lesson to heed from the likes of Austria and Denmark — which were themselves following in China, Italy and Israel’s footsteps — it’s twofold. First, as Bank of America’s Ethan Harris put it last week, the least expensive shutdown for one’s economy is a “quick, air-tight” one, rather than one that’s slow and indecisive. And second, ending such a shutdown should be done very, very carefully.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
1 - 2 - 3 - Go!
rwood
A big, noisy, not-social-distanced anti-Anthony Fauci protest in front of the White House would likely do it.
“A big, noisy, not-social-distanced anti-Anthony Fauci protest in front of the White House would likely do it.”
Do what? Get you thrown in jail?
I think it’s pretty important that anonymous DC bureaucrats start getting the message that they are not immune from blowback.
“I think it’s pretty important that anonymous DC bureaucrats start getting the message that they are not immune from blowback.”
Which is a status they currently enjoy. I’d like to see a few of them dragged out of their offices and into the street for some “education”.
I honestly think Fauci is so deep in the bubble he has absolutely no idea how furious people outside the Beltway are at him. It will no doubt come as a horrible shock to his system.
“China, where the pandemic first struck, had its first day with no new deaths to report.”
I have to shake my head at the gullibility of these people making mentions like this about China.
China, where the pandemic first struck, had its first day with no new deaths to report.
+++++
I stopped reading right there.
...indicates a covid-19 fatality rate of 0.37 percent, information expected to inform government decision-making about lifting restrictions.German antibody study indicates fatality rate of 0.37 percent
The US' ranking in this group of countries hasn't changed much at all since Day 8. I also want to re-iterate what I said yesterday, that reporting in NYC (and probably elsewhere) suffer from reporting lags.
As noted previously, the 'hands-off' countries like Sweden and the Netherlands are higher (which isn't a good thing) though the US is pretty close to Sweden which hasn't vaporized its service sector. Time will tell if their approach is prudent. And, in line with this article, Austria and Luxembourg have much lower population-adjusted fatalities; while not shown, Norway and her 5MM citizens had about 6M adjusted fatalities a few days ago. At the other end of the spectrum, Spain and the UK continue to look like hell on this adjusted basis. As noted earlier, Europe is on avg about 8 holes, erm, 8 days ahead of the US.
Someone asked me what all this means. I approach this answer the same way I approach the query of comparing gun control in other countries vs the US: ours is a nation of individuals with a strong distrust of authority but a willingness to do the right thing. We tend to go our own way, which works best for us but on a comparative basis may look good or bad (depending upon who gets to define 'good' and 'bad'). In the end, other countries and their homogenized population of obedient peoples may take an approach with lower 'costs.' America with her 329MM individuals may use a more harsh, 'social distancing' approach that seems to have vaporized a good chunk of the economy, but we're also not like the UK, Spain and Belgium.
In the long run, I'm betting on America.
| Country | Date of Day 1/1,000 population-adjusted deaths | Day 11 | Day 12 | Day 13 | Day 14 | Day 15 | Day 16 | Day 17 |
| Andorra | 3/21/20 | 51,000 | 59,500 | 63,750 | 68,000 | 72,250 | 76,500 | 89,250 |
| San Marino | 3/3/20 | 49,079 | 49,079 | 49,079 | 68,711 | 68,711 | 107,974 | 107,974 |
| United Kingdom | 3/15/20 | 15,528 | 19,326 | 25,357 | 34,021 | 41,018 | 47,016 | 59,744 |
| Spain | 3/13/20 | 16,170 | 19,647 | 25,518 | 30,541 | 35,950 | 41,855 | 47,600 |
| Belgium | 3/19/20 | 12,325 | 14,670 | 20,160 | 23,678 | 28,911 | 32,686 | 36,689 |
| West Bank and Gaza | 3/25/20 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | 28,167 | - | - |
| France | 3/18/20 | 11,384 | 12,828 | 14,887 | 17,353 | 19,864 | 26,521 | 32,034 |
| Netherlands | 3/17/20 | 10,330 | 12,086 | 14,579 | 16,335 | 19,640 | 22,189 | 25,324 |
| Italy | 3/5/20 | 9,896 | 11,805 | 13,692 | 16,291 | 18,627 | 22,057 | 26,395 |
| Ireland | 3/25/20 | 9,174 | 10,580 | 11,651 | 14,062 | 15,736 | - | - |
| Sweden | 3/23/20 | 9,823 | 11,417 | 11,896 | 12,789 | 15,213 | 18,848 | 21,910 |
| United States | 3/25/20 | 8,407 | 9,619 | 10,783 | 12,722 | 14,695 | - | - |
| Switzerland | 3/16/20 | 7,331 | 8,866 | 10,132 | 11,514 | 13,779 | 16,619 | 18,730 |
| Macedonia | 3/24/20 | 5,819 | 8,244 | 8,729 | 11,153 | 12,608 | 14,063 | - |
| Luxembourg | 3/17/20 | 8,052 | 9,663 | 11,273 | 11,810 | 12,347 | 15,568 | 16,105 |
| Denmark | 3/22/20 | 5,886 | 6,962 | 7,867 | 9,112 | 10,131 | 10,584 | 11,489 |
| Portugal | 3/23/20 | 6,702 | 7,889 | 8,530 | 9,460 | 9,973 | 11,064 | 12,186 |
| Germany | 3/25/20 | 5,723 | 6,278 | 7,174 | 7,990 | 9,310 | - | - |
| Austria | 3/23/20 | 5,849 | 6,219 | 6,885 | 7,552 | 8,144 | 8,995 | 10,106 |
| Iran | 3/9/20 | 5,078 | 5,667 | 6,154 | 6,664 | 7,166 | 7,649 | 8,214 |
| Iceland | 3/23/20 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 3,619 | 5,428 | 5,428 | 5,428 |
| Cyprus | 3/23/20 | 3,762 | 4,139 | 4,139 | 3,386 | 3,386 | 3,386 | 3,386 |
Because Austria is the size and complexity of the US.
Sure. So everyone from NYAnd NJ can race to your area.
DOODLEBOB!!!!!
Khan!!!!!
I go loopy when I see all these numbers!!!
ADD!!!
Is that ADD?!?!?!
Or is it just the usual crazy me??
I could have looked at it once 15 years ago without freaking out.
old at 51 :(
Thank you, sir.
Austria said strict rules about masks, social distancing, and the number of people allowed into a store at any one time will remain in place.
So, essentially, their reopening will in several ways be stricter than our shut down.
Thanks DB.
“Sure. So everyone from NYAnd NJ can race to your area.”
They are being stopped and told they will have to go into shelter if they hit the border or they can go back. Either way they are not a threat. And if they are found out of shelter, arrest them and hold them for the two weeks needed or ship them back to New York or New Jersey at their expense. They can hold them.
And I don’t have to worry that much as I am in Washington State where this thing started conus. I won’t get it as I stay home. I have a safe haven.
rwood
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.