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China's Coming Upheaval - Competition, the Coronavirus, and the Weakness of Xi Jinping
Foreign Affairs ^ | April 3, 2020 | Minxin Pei

Posted on 04/04/2020 6:51:24 PM PDT by re_tail20

Over the past few years, the United States’ approach to China has taken a hard-line turn, with the balance between cooperation and competition in the U.S.-Chinese relationship tilting sharply toward the latter. Most American policymakers and commentators consider this confrontational new strategy a response to China’s growing assertiveness, embodied especially in the controversial figure of Chinese President Xi Jinping. But ultimately, this ongoing tension—particularly with the added pressures of the new coronavirus outbreak and an economic downturn—is likely to expose the brittleness and insecurity that lie beneath the surface of Xi’s, and Beijing’s, assertions of solidity and strength.

The United States has limited means of influencing China’s closed political system, but the diplomatic, economic, and military pressure that Washington can bring to bear on Beijing will put Xi and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) he leads under enormous strain. Indeed, a prolonged period of strategic confrontation with the United States, such as the one China is currently experiencing, will create conditions that are conducive to dramatic changes.

As tension between the United States and China has grown, there has been vociferous debate about the similarities and, perhaps more important, the differences between U.S.-Chinese competition now and U.S.-Soviet competition during the Cold War. Whatever the limitations of the analogy, Chinese leaders have put considerable thought into the lessons of the Cold War and of the Soviet collapse. Ironically, Beijing may nevertheless be repeating some of the most consequential mistakes of the Soviet regime.

During the multidecade competition of the Cold War, the rigidity of the Soviet regime and its leaders proved to be the United States’ most valuable asset. The Kremlin doubled down on failed strategies—sticking with a moribund economic system, continuing a ruinous arms race, and maintaining an unaffordable global empire—rather than accept the losses that thoroughgoing reforms might have...

(Excerpt) Read more at foreignaffairs.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: china
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1 posted on 04/04/2020 6:51:24 PM PDT by re_tail20
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To: re_tail20

Send China the bill for the trillions being spent on this virus mitigation.

They are responsible for not alerting the world and lying about their caseload.


2 posted on 04/04/2020 6:54:03 PM PDT by Gahanna Bob
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To: re_tail20

“Over the past few years, the United States’ approach to China has taken a hard-line turn, with the balance between cooperation and competition in the U.S.-Chinese relationship tilting sharply toward the latter.” If only people knew how to formulate a clear sentence. What does that mean?


3 posted on 04/04/2020 6:55:05 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: re_tail20

When this is over I want TO DESTROY China.

Make whatever incentive that can create am exodus of biblical proportions from China and bring manufacturing back to the USA.


4 posted on 04/04/2020 6:57:00 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
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To: Vendome

Buying a massive amount of goods from India and cutting China off from food will utterly destroy them.

IMO, Trump is a man who feels in his heart as though someone has attacked, and killed, members of his own family.

Read the chapter in his book regarding revenge.

This period of time is more dangerous than the Cuban missile crisis...by far.

Pray


5 posted on 04/04/2020 7:04:29 PM PDT by Bobalu (We are going to witness such a circus between now and Nov that we should have to buy tickets)
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To: re_tail20

Communism always fails. It has (at least) two fatal flaws. The first is that socialism ignores human nature. When “from each according to his abilities and to each according to his needs” is applied, the most productive people become no more productive than the nonproductive people because they all receive the same rewards. The second is that autocratic governments breed corruption. The competent fall to the corrupt, and the corrupt are incapable of making successful decisions as often as necessary. Extreme repression such as in North Korea can hold this corruption together indefinitely, but never successfully for the population.


6 posted on 04/04/2020 7:09:32 PM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Calm down and enjoy the ride, great things are happening for our country)
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To: Bobalu

The elephant in the room nobody wants to talk about. The ChiComs “One Child” policy has given them a generation of mostly military age males.


7 posted on 04/04/2020 7:11:54 PM PDT by SanchoP
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To: SanchoP

8 posted on 04/04/2020 7:29:21 PM PDT by Bobalu (We are going to witness such a circus between now and Nov that we should have to buy tickets)
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To: re_tail20

“Most American policymakers and commentators consider this confrontational new strategy a response to China’s growing assertiveness,”

They still don’t get it, Trump’s strategy is to always put Americans first.


9 posted on 04/04/2020 7:39:15 PM PDT by SteveinSATX (Anti-liberalism 24/7)
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To: Vendome

Gee, it would be tragic if Americans of all stripes destroyed Chinese goods on the shelf. Nary a sale ever again. Shame buyers. Boycott retailers who carry Chinese product. Full court press.


10 posted on 04/04/2020 7:42:00 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Messaging to Snowflakes: They stole it from Bernie AGAIN!)
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To: Vendome

“When this is over I want TO DESTROY China.”

I think that day is coming, and I think there will be big signs it’s working even before the election.


11 posted on 04/04/2020 7:47:35 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: re_tail20

How can Xi jinping have any weakness when he owns every AK-47 in China?


12 posted on 04/04/2020 7:58:20 PM PDT by 353FMG ( .)
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To: SteveinSATX

“Trump’s strategy is to always put Americans first.”
Last 40 years his message has been the same how we make bad deals.


13 posted on 04/04/2020 7:59:59 PM PDT by the_daug
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To: norwaypinesavage

Well said.


14 posted on 04/04/2020 8:06:20 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: re_tail20

FVCK China! The USA was essentially NUKED by them. I also blame the free trade whores and bought politicians who ALL should swing.


15 posted on 04/04/2020 8:49:50 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: re_tail20

There are “conditions that are conducive to dramatic changes.”

True. That is the point. To pressure China’s leaders to grow up and become adults. A virus won’t stop the pressure and it is amazing how life-like statues of Mao Zedong (1896-1973) are placed in universities around China. Evil.


16 posted on 04/04/2020 9:53:29 PM PDT by Falconspeed
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To: shanover
They may have phucked themselves as this quarantine goes on and on.
17 posted on 04/04/2020 9:55:39 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: SanchoP

And a nearly empty Russian Far East for the taking: land, resources and wimmin’!


18 posted on 04/05/2020 12:30:19 AM PDT by Thunder 6
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To: Thunder 6

I did not know that. I figured India because of the constant border squabbles they have. They probably still remember the bloody nose Vietnam gave them so I’m just speculating.


19 posted on 04/05/2020 12:49:22 AM PDT by SanchoP
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To: Vendome

DESTROY CHINA BUY AMERICAN


20 posted on 04/05/2020 3:51:43 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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