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Testing Is Our Way Out (Lockdowns are unsustainable. Let’s save lives without a depression.)
Wall Street Journal ^ | April 2 2020 | Paul Romer and Rajiv Shah

Posted on 04/03/2020 10:46:35 PM PDT by rintintin

For now, social distancing is the best America can do to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. But if the U.S. truly mobilizes, it can soon deploy better weapons—advanced tests—that will allow the country to shift gradually to a protocol less disruptive and more effective than a lockdown.

Instead of ricocheting between an unsustainable shutdown and a dangerous, uncertain return to normalcy, the U.S. could mount a sustainable strategy with better tests and maintain a stable course for as long as it takes to develop a vaccine or cure. The country will once more be able to plan for the future, get back to work safely and avoid an economic depression. This will require massive investment to ramp up production and coordinate the construction of test centers. But the alternatives are even more costly.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: communityspread; coronavirus; covid19; data; usatestingfail; wuhansarscov2
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To: rintintin

We are being LIED to:

More good news? Citizen reporters go & do what the media won’t!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pIMD1enwd4&feature=youtu.be


21 posted on 04/04/2020 1:05:48 AM PDT by afchief
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To: Wayne07

100,000 tests a day presently.

Coming on line:

Abbott Laboratories’ toaster-size, 13 minute testing machines capable of performing 50,000 tests per day through its platform that will be used at doctors’ offices and urgent care clinics.

Cepheid’s 5000, 45 minute test machines.


22 posted on 04/04/2020 1:06:44 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (BLACK LIVES MAGA)
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To: Wayne07

We could use a test rate of 100,000 per 100,000 for the first month.


23 posted on 04/04/2020 1:17:16 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: FreedomPoster

https://www.chron.com/news/article/Inside-the-coronavirus-testing-failure-Alarm-and-15178203.php


24 posted on 04/04/2020 1:18:14 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Swirl

It’s not entirely true that states with stricter controls show lower infection rates. I saw a list of the 12 states, all red ones, with the least restrictive controls, and they all have low infection rates.


25 posted on 04/04/2020 1:19:40 AM PDT by JediJones (We must deport all liberals until we can figure out what the hell is going on.)
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To: rintintin

That has to be done through contact tracing. South Korea hasn’t gone overboard with testing, but they have tested the right people via contact tracing. Massachusetts has said they’re going to do a big contact tracing effort now. Some local areas of states have done it with some good results in slowing outbreaks too.

It does seem like contact tracing and testing becomes irrelevant when an outbreak becomes as large as New York City’s. NYC needs a geographic quarantine just like an infected ship. No one in or out.


26 posted on 04/04/2020 1:23:12 AM PDT by JediJones (We must deport all liberals until we can figure out what the hell is going on.)
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To: FlipWilson

You last sentence. You just hit on it, perhaps unwittingly. Right now it appears the loss of the economy is a tragedy, and it is. As much as we may hate it for the next month at least we absolutely need government. We cannot lose that. Not in the midst of an epidemic.


27 posted on 04/04/2020 1:23:37 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

28 posted on 04/04/2020 1:25:09 AM PDT by JediJones (We must deport all liberals until we can figure out what the hell is going on.)
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To: wastoute

I agree. But what I am hearing Cuomo and Fauci and Murphy saying isn’t a month, it’s Fall is maybe beyond.


29 posted on 04/04/2020 1:29:39 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: FlipWilson

I don’t think anybody “knows” what is going to happen. I had a pretty good idea two weeks ago we would be here now and nobody wanted to hear it. When I heard Trump say we could be lucky to get away with 100,000 or 200,000 deaths I cringed inside. After seeing the # new deaths yesterday that # could be optimistic. Look at the shape of the # new deaths curve. It’s still headed north and right now the NYC area is about all that is really getting hammered.

I guess it’s time to start today’s Q&A.


30 posted on 04/04/2020 1:35:12 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: wastoute

I agree. Two points:

Nobody knows. But the models keep crashing.

https://www.redstate.com/elizabeth-vaughn/2020/04/02/analyst-discovers-a-major-flaw-in-imhe-coronavirus-model-used-by-white-house-heres-why/

Second, anytime there is a model or projection about the virus, it is treated as a sacrosanct pronouncement of a need for Lockdown. Mention a model of the collateral damage? Not so much. It’s treated as alarmism.


31 posted on 04/04/2020 1:39:13 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: FlipWilson

I really haven’t followed Cuomo that close, care to enlighten me on his lock down until Fall plan. I live in CT and last I heard our governor hasn’t discussed anything past April or early May.


32 posted on 04/04/2020 1:49:03 AM PDT by matt04
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To: matt04

I saw the Pennsylvania governor say a week or two ago we might need a lockdown until there’s a vaccine.


33 posted on 04/04/2020 1:51:59 AM PDT by JediJones (We must deport all liberals until we can figure out what the hell is going on.)
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To: matt04

It was reported on Fox that Cuomo is meeting with his advisers to discuss the plan for locking down until Fall.


34 posted on 04/04/2020 1:52:01 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: matt04

NY is the ONLY state that has a dire problem not even Washington State which started this hysteria has high numbers NY might need to be locked down longer but I would say in 30 days the virus will have run its course in NY and most of the state will have herd immunity!!


35 posted on 04/04/2020 1:53:52 AM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Swirl

Vaccines will not be available for 18 months are we supposed to lock the country down for 18 months not NO BUT HELL NO!!!


36 posted on 04/04/2020 1:57:03 AM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Paladin2

Hit piece on Trump. The real failure here was from the permanent bureaucracy. Trump can’t wade in with multiple You’re fired! actions due to civil service protections.


37 posted on 04/04/2020 2:42:25 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: ocrp1982

It might be only like a bad flu year, if we’re lucky, thanks to social distancing.

1300+ dead yesterday, worst day yet. How do you know where it will peak?


38 posted on 04/04/2020 2:55:20 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: lonestar67

Its not enough. Here in NJ you have to have severe symptoms to get tested, then wait 7 to 14 days for results. Test results are coming back after the patients die. What friggin use is that?

I don’t know whose fault that is, but it sucks.


39 posted on 04/04/2020 3:04:57 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: rintintin

They must be heavily invested in diagnostics. After 3 decades of testing for seasonal flu.. a test doesnt save you or anyone else. You were contagious before getting tested. Its a nice paid vacay while everyone else works.
Too many false negatives with a piss poor collection. And one group of docs think more false negs as it transitions from replicating in the upper resp to the lower.
This is Reckless Endangerment of Frontline Healthcare workers.
Is you are not sob, they aren’t testing you anyway.
Stay home if you are sick, idiot.. and stop endangering others. I guess common sense flu control doesn’r profit whomever wrote this article.
Andxi bet their family isn’t being endangered by a bunch of people coughing on them.


40 posted on 04/04/2020 3:22:37 AM PDT by momincombatboots (Ephesians 6... who you are really at war with)
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