[wastoute]

I don’t think anybody “knows” what is going to happen. I had a pretty good idea two weeks ago we would be here now and nobody wanted to hear it. When I heard Trump say we could be lucky to get away with 100,000 or 200,000 deaths I cringed inside. After seeing the # new deaths yesterday that # could be optimistic. Look at the shape of the # new deaths curve. It’s still headed north and right now the NYC area is about all that is really getting hammered.

I guess it’s time to start today’s Q&A.

[FlipWilson]

I agree. Two points:

Nobody knows. But the models keep crashing.

https://www.redstate.com/elizabeth-vaughn/2020/04/02/analyst-discovers-a-major-flaw-in-imhe-coronavirus-model-used-by-white-house-heres-why/

Second, anytime there is a model or projection about the virus, it is treated as a sacrosanct pronouncement of a need for Lockdown. Mention a model of the collateral damage? Not so much. It’s treated as alarmism.