Posted on 03/26/2020 10:49:10 PM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
Dr. Deborah Birx on Thursday provided encouraging coronavirus numbers suggesting that some of the predictive models were incorrect.
“There’s no model right now, no reality on the ground, where we can see that 60-70 percent of Americans are going to get infected in the next 10-12 weeks,” she said.
Without specifically naming the Imperial College, Brix referred to models that predicted there could be 500,000 coronavirus deaths in the United Kingdom and 2.2 million deaths in the United States.
The scientist of the model revised the estimate of deaths in the United Kingdom to be roughly 20,000 people or fewer.
Birx said that the actual data coming in from other countries were different than some of the direst projections.
She noted that in major countries, there was never an attack rate of over one in over 1,000 people.
“The predictions of the models don’t match the reality on the ground on either China, South Korea, or Italy,” she said.
Birx also addressed reports that raised the alarm of New York City hospitals running out of ICU beds, ventilators, and creating “Do Not Resuscitate” (DNR) policies for patients.
She revealed that she spoke with health officials in New York, that there were still ICU beds and 1000-2000 ventilators available, and that there were no DNR policies enacted.
“We don’t have evidence of that right now,” she said.
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(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
She must be a heretic since science is never wrong about anything.
She has data down to the county level
She knows without guessing
She seems to be the “go to” expert for sanity on this subject. She is one bright bulb on a rather dim intellectual Christmas tree.
I am glad it is on the front page. In case folks missed it yesterday. The models are a thousand times wrong.
Yep.
The enemy would rather burn this country down than to let President Trump be re-elected.
yep
She’s still hot ...
She’s doing better than dooms day fauci. BTW, the surgeon general was great this morning on CBS avoiding the constant gotcha question from the leftist hosts.
“Attaboy. #SheepNoMore”
When was I?
As the great prophet Don Henley said: “we love dirty laundry!”
Neill Ferguson, author of the model, admitted in a tweet that he wrote it right after the H1N1 debacle and that it contained 1300 lines of undocumented C code. When pressed to provide the code so it could be checked by others, he declined.
https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1241835454707699713
Correction: Thousands of lines of undocumented code 13 years ago.
Junebugs??? Killer bees I know about. But what were Junebugs all about?
thanks for that.
that begs a whole lot of questions.
“They” took the data as gospel...why?
The data drove the plan.
The plan was overkill.
MSM can’t say that Pres. Trump didn’t follow expert advice.
Looks like Dr. Fauci knew the data showed this was more like a flu outbreak in mid-late feb 2020.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
Why is he talking differently?
So this WAS much like the 2008 crash where “they” pushed President Bush to react. I cannot quite remember what the response was now. “They” timed that fiasco better.
If President Trump’s policies had not gotten many of us into a very good financial position this whole thing would be much worse. We have a good chance of coming back big time. The loss of freedoms so quickly is terrifying, though.
“You have no understanding of models and how they work.”
I do. A politically motivated “scientist” determines the desired outcome, then structures a mathematical formula to reach said conclusion using faulty data and biased assumptions. Easy peasy.
____________________
“The predictions of the models don’t match the reality on the ground on either China, South Korea, or Italy,” Deborah Birx said.
Models predicted there could be 500,000 coronavirus deaths in the United Kingdom and 2.2 million deaths in the United States. The scientist of the model revised the estimate of deaths in the United Kingdom to be roughly 20,000 people or fewer.
****
THAT'S SOME STEERING
“Seest thou a man wise in his own conceit? there is more hope of a fool than of him” (Proverbs 26:12).
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