Posted on 03/26/2020 9:19:50 PM PDT by DoodleBob
The US, China, and Italy (in that order) have the highest number of coronavirus cases in the world. But an analysis of coronavirus cases per capita the number of cases per million residents in various countries reveals a different story.
Switzerland, not China, tops the list of COVID-19 cases per capita, with 1,340 cases per million people. It's followed by Spain, then Italy.
The US, which has the highest number of coronavirus cases in the world more than 83,000 is low on the cases per capita list. Only 210 people in the US had been infected per million Americans as of Thursday morning. The US's case total continues to climb quickly, however, and a country's number of cases per capita changes constantly as new cases get reported. That, in turn, depends on how many people get tested.
Nearly 530,000 people in 175 countries have gotten the new coronavirus since December.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
The daily threads make my head spin. There is too much good stuff to absorb. I much prefer the ping list. That way I outsource the discernment of what's important or not to null.
Fair point but how can you explain the U.K.?
I’ve been saying for weeks that a per capita report would reveal far more than a simple “# of cases” report.
Thanks!
WA state’s confirmed case count adjusted for population puts them on par with France.
Transportation hub in Vienna Austria, and Zurich, Switzerland.
1% of confirmed cases, but it’s misleading if comparing to other illnesses. Since COVID-19 likely isn’t observable in the first week, total number of cases might be 10x as high, so death rate might be 0.1%.
It’s interesting to note that some “news” organizations are actually declaring “Trump Lied” when he declared that the US had conducted more testing than any other countries, because he didn’t use the per-capita test numbers. Some of them are now saying that the actual death count must be used, NOT the per-capita numbers.
So deaths are around 1 per million and almost all have underlying diseases.
I often think of myself as a clipping service...
Using the incidence per million chart, the average Cov-19 incidence is 0.0556% of the population; slightly more than 1/2 of 1/10th of 1% of the population.
For the U.S. the figure would be 0.0210% of the population; or just a little more than 2/100ths of 1%.
Recent data for Covid-19 cases as of 3-19-20 7AM alongside the increased number of tests, plus death rates for the 2017-18 flu (you must do the math). This table will not be updated until cases and deaths decrease.
Below is a list of states per currently reported COVID-19 infections (from Politico via The COVID Tracking Project as of 3-19-20 7:25 AM EDT. CNN reports higher numbers but not the death or testing numbers) in comparison with population size and number of tests. The latter is important since the rate of infections must be compared with the degree of tests in order to determine the rate of transmission. Both can be compared with the population size as well as the percent of infections per capita. You use an online calculator such as here but which I have not done.
For Covid, the NYT (3-13) sounded this alarm: Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die. (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html)
Meanwhile, although Covid-19 has hardly competed its run, yet for comparison with the flu we have the morality rate for the flu per state for the 2017-2018 season and total deaths, the latter of which I have provided along side the Covid-19 counts in the table below. Additional stats on the current 2019-2020 flu season are provided below the table. Also, most of the names of the states in the table are listed according to how they were first ordered in a report by CNN in a 3-13 report of cases, which was the basis for my first version of this compilation.
And according to estimates, between 61,000 to 80,000 Americans died during the 2017-2018 season, the latter being the highest death toll in 40 years. During that 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018, (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm) with older Americans dying at a rate of 169 Americans a day, or seven people per hour. (https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2018/older-flu-deaths-rising.html
Below the table are also some stats on other causes of death.
In any case, I pray that this crisis, both real and inflated, works to bring souls to realize the need for help from above, for repentance and mercy from God through faith in the risen Lord Jesus, thanks be to God for all.
State |
Population |
COVID-19 cases |
Percent of infections per capita (you do the math) |
Tests |
Test increase since last week |
Deaths from COVID-19 (3-18-20) |
Deaths from Flu in 2017-2018 (last available data from CDC) |
New York |
19,453,561 |
2382 |
|
14597 |
+14193 |
12 |
4,749 |
Washington (27 tied to one nursing home ) |
7,614,893 |
1012 |
|
14129 |
+10726 |
52 |
930 |
California |
39,512,223 |
690 |
|
8592 |
+7474 |
13 |
6,917 |
Massachusetts |
6,949,503 |
256 |
2,271 |
+2,176 |
0 |
1,441 |
|
Colorado |
5,758,736 |
183 |
|
1,800 |
+1,457 |
2 |
568 |
Georgia |
10,617,423 |
183 |
|
1,508 |
+1,477 |
1 |
1,530 |
Florida |
21,477,737 |
314 |
|
2493 |
+2013 |
7 |
3.091 |
Illinois |
12,671,821 |
288 |
|
2052 |
+1,685 |
1 |
2,564 |
New Jersey |
8,882,190 |
427 |
|
638 |
+514 |
5 |
1,465 |
Texas |
28,995,881 |
83 |
|
1,907 |
+1,884 |
2 |
3,516 |
Oregon |
4,217,737 |
75 |
|
1,554 |
+1,187 |
3 |
530 |
Pennsylvania |
12,801,989 |
133 |
|
1,320 |
+1,101 |
0 |
2,887 |
Iowa |
3,155,070 |
29 |
|
128 |
+23 |
0 |
697 |
Louisiana |
4,648,794 |
240 |
|
575 |
+524 |
6 |
824 |
Maryland |
6,045,680 |
85 |
|
179 |
+73 |
0 |
973 |
North Carolina |
10,488,084 |
63 |
|
1,850 |
+1,778 |
0 |
2,064 |
District of Columbia |
705,749 |
39 |
|
|
|
0 |
N/A |
Indiana |
6,732,219 |
39 |
|
193 |
+129 |
2 |
1,118 |
Nebraska |
1,934,408 |
24 |
|
230 |
+107 |
0 |
394 |
South Carolina |
5,148,714 |
60 |
|
643 |
+585 |
1 |
882 |
Wisconsin |
5,822,434 |
106 |
|
1,683 |
+1,591 |
0 |
1,075 |
Arizona |
7,278,717 |
28 |
|
278 |
+163 |
0 |
1,116 |
Virginia |
8,535,519 |
77 |
|
1,278 |
+1,144 |
1 |
1.283 |
Kentucky |
4,467,673 |
35 |
|
380 |
+316 |
0 |
969 |
South Dakota |
884,659 |
11 |
|
913 |
+867 |
1 |
245 |
Nevada |
3,080,156 |
55 |
|
353 |
+178 |
1 |
527 |
Tennessee |
6,833,174 |
98 |
|
447 |
+350 |
0 |
1,646 |
Minnesota |
5,639,632 |
77 |
|
2,762 |
+2,446 |
0 |
698 |
New Hampshire |
1,359,711 |
26 |
|
747 |
+626 |
0 |
265 |
Rhode Island |
1,059,361 |
33 |
|
907 |
+800 |
0 |
192 |
New Mexico |
2,096,829 |
28 |
|
2,354 |
+2,194 |
0 |
365 |
Ohio |
11,689,100 |
77 |
|
551 |
+464 |
0 |
2,395 |
Connecticut |
3,565,287 |
68 |
|
193 |
+98 |
0 |
757 |
Utah |
3,205,958 |
63 |
|
194 |
+58 |
0 |
353 |
Hawaii |
1,415,872 |
14 |
|
119 |
+117 |
0 |
542 |
Michigan |
9,986,857 |
80 |
|
355 |
+235 |
0 |
1,869 |
Oklahoma |
3,956,971 |
29 |
|
517 |
+474 |
0 |
809 |
Vermont |
623,989 |
19 |
|
611 |
+512 |
0 |
87 |
Arkansas |
3,017,825 |
33 |
|
319 |
+269 |
0 |
670 |
Delaware |
973,764 |
25 |
|
76 |
+35 |
0 |
167 |
Kansas |
2,913,314 |
16 |
|
433 |
+388 |
1 |
630 |
Mississippi |
2,976,149 |
34 |
|
513 |
+471 |
0 |
910 |
Missouri |
6,137,428 |
13 |
|
266 |
+201 |
0 |
1,477 |
North Dakota |
762,062 |
6 |
|
274 |
+247 |
0 |
152 |
Wyoming |
578,759 |
15 |
|
193 |
+192 |
0 |
128 |
Alabama |
4,903,185 |
46 |
|
96 |
+86 |
0 |
1,268 |
Idaho |
1,792,065 |
9 |
|
468 |
+375 |
0 |
235 |
West Virginia |
1,787,147 |
2 |
|
137 |
+129 |
1 |
539 |
Maine |
1,344,212 |
43 |
|
1,713 |
+1,627 |
0 |
312 |
Montana |
1,068,778 |
10 |
|
509 |
+474 |
0 |
152 |
Alaska |
731,545 |
6 |
|
412 |
+352 |
0 |
68 |
Total (3-16) |
|
8,131 |
|
82,571 |
|
132 |
Over 80k. Above totals may be less. |
As for the 2019-2020 Flu season:
The overall cumulative hospitalization rate was 61.6 per 100,000 population which is higher than all recent seasons at this time of year except for the 2017-18 season. Rates in children 0-4 years old and adults 18-49 years old are now the highest CDC has on record for these age groups, surpassing the rate reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Hospitalization rates for school-aged children are higher than any recent regular season but lower than rates during the pandemic.
2019-2020 Season |
|
---|---|
Overall |
61.6 |
0-4 years |
88.9 |
5-17 years |
22.6 |
18-49 years |
32.8 |
50-64 years |
80.8 |
65+ years |
159.4 |
Among 2,867 hospitalized adults with information on underlying medical conditions, 92.3% had at least one reported underlying medical condition, the most commonly reported were cardiovascular disease, metabolic disorder, obesity, and chronic lung disease. Among 472 hospitalized children with information on underlying medical conditions, 48.3% had at least one underlying medical condition; the most commonly reported was asthma. Among 477 hospitalized women of childbearing age (15-44 years) with information on pregnancy status, 27.5% were pregnant. (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap)(Retrieved 3-17-20)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.