Modeling must not just include confirmed cases, and deaths attributed to the effects of the disease, but the rate of transmission/infection etc. When China says 82 k infected, that really means more like 820k+ infected, only 82k tested positive and XX died.
Editorializing:
Kinda just like any other infectious disease- here in the US, 30-35 million (10% of the US pop) confirmed cases of flu, 29k (.09% or something) died of complications of it so far this season per the CDC. Wuhan virus is a drop in the bucket so far, but the curves ought to and likely will wind up like flu, other strains of corona ( common cold) etc.
While this indeed has implications for the populations of the world, it has been manipulated for the pleasure of the beast- to rid the US of the Donald. Yeah, I think it is a grand conspiracy, but alas, like the rest of the them, no one actually believes “they” could would do such a thing.... Right!
What’s in your world view? (rhetorical of course, directed at the audience at large)
Blessings!
When your modeling is off by a massive TWENTY FIVE times, your modeling is total trash.
And that is assuming 20,000 die from coronavirus in the UK. There is imply no way that is going to happen. So his modeling could end up being off by a massive 200 times. What kind of nonsense is that?
When China says 82 k infected, that really means more like 820k+ infected, only 82k tested positive and XX died.
Your 820K figure comes from the same place Dr. Ferguson got his figures...plucked from thin air.