Posted on 03/26/2020 10:52:24 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.
However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments.
Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.
To China, for attempting to cover this thing up for 4-8 weeks.
How will this affect certain aspects of the handout, er, money for the wealthy, er, stimulus?
Will the unemployed still get 600 more a week for 4 months?
Maybe it should be 1 now.
See post # 57.
Trump has to work with the swamp he has, not the one he wishes he had.
“I hope all the chicken little Freepers will sit down and shut-up for a while.”
That would be nice. Then maybe the grownups could have level-headed conversations on FR again.
He’s gonna need a bigger wrecking ball second term.
If he did nothing, he would have been crucified, I know.
That sucks.
Travis, yesterday you axed us to check back with you in 14 days, well I'm 13 days early, but thought you might want to prepare the back pedal device on your vehicle.
A hockey stick, when pointed at the ground, is more representative of your predictive prowess.
Bookmark
A lot of them quietly dispersed once they saw how many of their family and friends got laid-off.
Stop being fun at that point.
Amen to that. They certainly trashed the place while they had it.
Wish I could honestly say that I’ll miss them.
I hope all the chicken little Freepers will sit down and shut-up for a while.
Not a chance. The Wu Flu addicts are still pumping hard. Some are already claiming credit for “flattening the curve.”
So his “error” was a massive TWENTY FIVE TIMES off huh?
And he drops his doomsday predictions exactly on time, right after the US Senate has already passed a coronavirus bill of a staggering $2.2 Trillion.How many billions of lives worldwide has he and his ilk destroyed?
A firing squad will be too good for this cretin.
isolate them...keep them in your home with you and take care of them....same with sickly people....you have the power over this....
but no, we need to kill off our livihoods and that of millions upon millions just because it would have been sooo mean to keep grandma and grandpa at home....
Total deaths from influenza this season, worldwide, CDC estimate: 300,000 to 600,000.
It is not an unusual year for the flu. I also believe that the Corona number (to date) is inflated. Other causes of death are possible. But we take the numbers we are presented with.
The doom and gloom fear mongers are already starting to be exposed
this will all get written into history because everything’s on video tape
The idiots who want to try to maintain some of the reputation or already backtracking
What people are not educated about is when are people who have Cov-19 contagious to others. It is generally not when they are asymptomatic (have no symptoms at all) and the majority who get a Cov-18 infection seem to be asymptomatic or have a mild illness response.
An infectious virus becomes potentially contagious to non-infected persons, via some form of person to person contact, when a person with the virus begins to exhibit viral shedding. In the Corona virus family viral shedding only occurs before the onset of symptoms about 14% of the time. 85% of the time, if illness has not shown up viral shedding is not happening and the infected person is not spreading the disease. It is not even clear how many (what %) who are Cov-19-positive are and remain asymptomatic until a subsequent test shows no longer positive.
That misunderstanding has led to overstatement of how infectious are the collective body of Cov-19 positive persons.
“Imperial College London coronavirus model”
WOW! I want to say “This is the first I heard of this, BUT IT ISN’T.
I’ve heard about it over the past several days on “Tipping Point” with Liz Wheeler on OANN.
Liz Wheeler WAY out in front on this! Saying this DEEPLY FLAWED study/paper was relied on by our Coronavirus task force. Now she is totally validated as the author admits he is WRONG!
“Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.”
OOPS!
It’s insanity yet the fearpers refuse to listen to the smart people in the room trying to save them from extreme future embarrassment.
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