Posted on 03/26/2020 10:52:24 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.
However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments.
Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.
“It is possible that this thing took Italy’s entire elderly death total for 2020 and just compressed it into the space of a few weeks.”
Very interesting possibility. 2021 will tell...
Meme of the Hockey Stick graph/chart? lulz.
ROFL!!!
What a disaster!!
“That’s not a bug, that’s a feature!”
It’s funny how so many fearpers believed this idiot. He was paraded out by the MSM as a leading expert and the feapers bought it hook line and sinker. Morons.
A model run on a computer depends entirely on the abilities and biases of the creator. There is no magic inherent on programs run on a computer, in fact, the programs are dumb as a rock.
If the creator of the models is full of $h!t, then the models spit out the same thing.
Very true. We had garbage data because instead of doing their JOB and tracking it the CDC spent the $8 billion a year we were giving them holding seminars in Hawaii on Gender Bias in Gun Violence Statistics.
They won’t. Sniveling cowards just know how to snivel.
10,000 threads on this thing and there won’t be one “i was wrong”
Neil, Neil, Neil...shame on you.
So his first guess was 25x as large as his current one? That’s what I call consistency.
Trump’s presser today should be REAL interesting.
He spent the morning on a conference call with G-20 leaders.
No doubt THIS is what was discussed.
It is interesting that many experts who have now collected enough data to determine this was never going to be as bad as the flu season just two years ago... are all beginning to backtrack to save their credibility. The worst case scenarios were pushed hard here with the hope of getting rid of President Trump, but he beat them at their own game. But they managed to start a worldwide panic. Partisan scientists are always predicting some type of disaster... Look at global warming for reference.
“How could anyone with half a brain even believe that sh*t?”
I dunno. Ask the handful of morons who breathlessly get on here every single day trying to convince the thinkers of the group to jump on the suicide train with them.
Just a big cluster OOOPS!
We are not tired of anything. I’ve been calling this 6 trillion dollar stimulus wasted money..
Got called all kinds of names.
But it will be doled out and forgotten and congressmen and businesses will get even more rich and our debt will be 30 trillion now.
Too many of the world’s scientists suffer from Jor-El Syndrome.
“If only they had listened to ME the could have saved themselves!”
It’s a conceit.
But in part, it wasn’t that he says he was WRONG, he is now taking into account the social distancing that has been implemented.
IN other words, if you took action to stop the spread, his model says it worked.
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