Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? Current estimates about the Covid-19 fatality rate may be too high by orders of magnitude.

WSJ ^ | March 24, 2020 | Eran Bendavid and Jay Bhattacharya

[FreedomNotSafety]

Sorry to link to a paywall you may be able to Google around it. The author's logic leads them to Italy with a fatality rate of 0.06% and the US at 0.01%. This explains clearly the importance of understanding and defining the denominator.

[ARW]

Twitter and Facebook will need to ban the WSJ

[CatOwner]

0.01% of the US population is 36,000 deaths, or about a typical flu season here.

[Reno89519]

Not this Sh1t again. /s

[CincyRichieRich]

You don’t say.

[FreedomNotSafety]

The Chicken Freepers need someone to say it again, and again, and again. Repetition is the key to learning.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

The death rate is lower in certain countries: South Korea, Germany, and the USA for example. On the other hand there are other countries …

[hardspunned]

When you look at the virus’ effect on our population and not the government’s reaction, this is just the flu.

[heartwood]

What matters more than the fatality rate is the number of critically ill at a given time - is that too many for the hospitals too manage?

NYC is getting close to that point.

[FreedomNotSafety]

Which one country? Italy? 0.06%. and they are the poster child of the hysterical Freeper crowd.

[FreedomNotSafety]

That may be true but even if that increases the fatality 5X it makes it only 0.05%.

[From The Deer Stand]

The CDC says 23,000 Americans have died from the flu so far in the 2019-20 season. That’s not on the “pandemic” roster.

[Jim Robinson]

The experts say we’re all gonna die within 11.6 years if we don’t conquer climate change next week, so what the hell. Party like there’s no tomorrow.

[AAABEST]

... hysterical Freeper crowd.

I'm not one of them - in fact think people are overreacting to this.

That said, whatever the rate (.06 sounds ridiculously low), thousands of people in Italy have died thus far and the hospitals are overwhelmed.

That's what we're trying to avoid.

[cornfedcowboy]

They care using the entire population of Italy for their numbers. This would be wrong. Take the population of Lombardy and regions effected for a real look at the death rate.

[lightman]

Shutting down for the sniffles....what a nation of wusses.

[keat]

0.01% of the US population is 36,000 deaths, or about a typical flu season here.

That would require a 100% infection rate.

[AndyJackson]

If the number of actual infections is much larger than the number of cases—orders of magnitude larger

In other words if for every case we find there are 1000s of cases that are undetected then the death rate is much lower than it is based upon what we know at present.

You cannot use evidence you don't have to refute evidence you do have.

But never let the facts get in the way of the truth. Sheesshh!!!

[monkeyshine]

It took two people two months to state the obvious in the WSJ?

[catnipman]

“Party like there’s no tomorrow.”

An 11.6 year party is one helluva party!