Posted on 03/22/2020 12:12:29 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
........... But in the fact-challenged world of the coronavirus COVID-19, there are still actual facts out there, and Fox News analyst hit a homer with a single post on Twitter.
“As the number of cases has expanded, the mortality rate has declined. It will likely decline even further if and when those without symptoms can be diagnosed and counted,” Hume tweeted.
He included a tweet from another Twitter user that laid out the death rate in the U.S. from COVID-19.
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases) 3.69% March 9 (26 of 704) 3.01% March 10 (30 of 994) 2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295) 2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695) 2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247) 1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954) 1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)
China has a population of 1,437,722,468 as of Tuesday, based on Worldometer elaboration of the latest United Nations data.
COVID-19 was born there, with the first case being diagnosed on Dec. 1.
On Tuesday, there were 81,054 confirmed cases of the virus, according to Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering. Of those, 68,798 recovered, while 3,230 people died, at least according to statistics released by China (figures that could well be cooked by officials there). The remainder were still active cases.
But if the numbers are accurate, that means the infection rate in China was just .006%. How, then, are the “experts” forecasting that well more than 50% of the 320 million people in America — where people already wash their hands incessantly and use Purell nonstop — will be infected?
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
One of those things is quite a bit more likely than the other.
Yeah?
Based on what exactly?
They are lying because their figures don't fit your “ the world is falling apart narrative”?
There has been a big spike in number of US cases today which was expected because of more testing.
There has also been a big spike in the reported number of deaths too. Over half of all deaths are from New York, but most states are reporting increases over the last two days.
Not a reason to panic by any means, but it is still too early to tell how this is all going to play out.
ooo..i really like that one.
Omigod! We’re all gonna die!
Just take a look at the latest statistics out of S. Korea: 316,664 tested, 8,652 (2.7%) confirmed positives, 94 (~1%) deaths, 2,233 recovered as of March 20th. As many have said, as the number of tests increase, the mortality rate will decline significantly.
Tell me again why we’re destroying our economy, and save the bullshit about Italy; they sold their economy to the Chinese.
It's simple arithmetic that too many people walking around with calculators or even websites that do the calculations for them , find it too hard to comprehend.
Put another way. Elizabeth Warren has a better chance of having Indian blood than you do of contracting the virus in California.
Same...but I do not even listen to the media.
It’s all coming from here.
Best one yet.
Don’t fear the Grim Freepers.
Texas Eagle wrote:
“Oh, wait. No. You were series? They were welding people inside their homes?”
That’s what I read here on FR.
Doors to the apartments were welded shut, trapping the people inside.
Problem is that FR is getting panicky too. It’s becoming hard to sort through the garbage.
I wish.
Ok, so 32 Americans died of Corona virus yesterday.
...... 13,242 died of OTHER THINGS. I’m sorry for the 32, just as I’ll be sorry for the 1,032 a day if it gets to that. But really, people, get a grip, DO NOT CRASH THIS ECONOMY, the HUMAN COST is higher. By a lot.
—-Male In His Seventies
Maybe in New York we can call it the “Coumo Virus.”
Your post doesn’t make sense.
The fatality rate IS falling as the number of infections increase. .
As for Chinese figures being “unreliable”, I have as much confidence in Chinese figures (which are supported by reopening of previously closed factories in Wuhan Province) as any figures from rabid Trump hating creeps like New York governor Andrew Cuomo.
Once we were able to see the trajectory of the arc for infected and dead, the 4-6% death range became predictable even when the death/resolved rate was at 24%, because it was a real solution to the word problem, which included the uncertainties and didn’t sweep them under the rug.
The truth has been that this outbreak has been and still is serious. There have been many under-reactions and many, many over-reactions. It is serious, but not the end of the world. The more people who treat it serious, the less serious it becomes. The more people respond in panic (Like when they notice the lie of the danger being trivial and overcompensate) then the more random damage they create. Somewhere in there is a “sweet spot”.
Typical Brit Hume, letting facts get in the way of sensationalism.
First of all, I don’t have a world is falling apart narrative. You shouldn’t think you know my narrative before I post it.
China isn’t reporting that many new cases. For example, as best I can determine there have been no new cases reported in Hubei since Mar. 18. Epidemics simply don’t die out that fast. Sure they are returning to work there, but there would still be some new cases.
If we don’t let this virus run the course we will probably never see freedom of any kind again. Virus never goes away. People are going to die whether we shut down or not. Our economy and freedom are history if we continue in a lockdown. And civil war is likely.
It's been all over. We know that. The death rate is not the single important issue.
"As the number of cases has expanded, the mortality rate has declined. It will likely decline even further if and when those without symptoms can be diagnosed and counted," Hume tweeted.
Still, everyone needs to adhere to curfew unless they're going out to turn in all their firearms or to get an abortion. /s
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