Posted on 03/22/2020 12:12:29 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
I live on an island. In a rural area. We have one market. One gas station. No one is sick. But it can be boring at times.
Excellent as well!
There are too many FINOs here:
Freepers in Name Only
He included a tweet from another Twitter user that laid out the death rate in the U.S. from COVID-19.
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases)
3.69% March 9 (26 of 704)
3.01% March 10 (30 of 994)
2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295)
2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695)
2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247)
1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954)
1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)
What the calculation is showing is not the fatality-rate falling, but the rate of spread increasing.
Where you see the fatality rate falling is when you look at the figures after those who will die is mostly completed and the recoveries complete. *Those* figures are extremely overstated for the US, currently at 69% (390/566) dead of those resolved, early on, but will fall drastically as people have time to recover. Likewise, the fatalities/case, such as Britt used” will climb - though nowhere near a mid-point.
The China figures, though dubious because of their reporting, are at least relatively complete, and despite values at 2% and under 1% early on for the fatalities/case rate, have stabilized at about 4-4.5%, with the note that they are slowly sliding up by a few hundredths of a percent per day as the long-term sick die at a minisculely greater rate than the already-resolved..
If you want to know the actual likely fatality rate before the disease is over, you do cohort studies, and some random sampling to get an idea of how many unreported cases you have. It is still too soon, and the serum tests are not out there as they are concentrating on the actual ill.
“But a straight cases/deaths measure further isn’t very useful.”
Bingo. It’s the number of seriously ill vs. the number of available ICU beds/equipment/personnel that has the potential to crater the healthcare system.
I heard 5 days to onset of symptoms and then 15 additional days to death, on average for those who die.
We’re still on the left-hand side of that parabola in the US, excluding new cases.
One damn thing after another. Also the 2016 electors, the 25th amendment because he was unfit, the white house physician was accused of lying about his condition, emoluments, Stormy Daniels. I am probably forgetting something.
Enough with the toilet paper hoarding already.
Coronavirus is a respiratory illness not a stomachy one.
Chicken Freepers.
Has a nice ring to it!
I have to confess, they’re starting to affect me.
I cannot afford to panic.
It seems likely that China is lying about their latest infections and deaths. That is another way to bend the curve fast.
Come on Andy, its a freakin cold virus. Get over it.
Current numbers from Worldometers:
Closed/Completed cases - 112,173
Recovered / Discharged - 97,574 (87%)
Deaths - 14,599 (13%)
This whole thing is critical to maintain for the media and the globalists. They must, at all costs, keep up the panic. Once this all passes over, they’re going to be called out for their chicken little bull-ish. Media credibility is ZERO as far as I’m concerned. I don’t trust anyone anymore.
I cannot afford to panic.
Same. I'm doing everything in my power to maintain a level head, but the constant bombardment by the media, the left, the social media platforms... it's all really starting to wear me down.
Turd, i mean herd immunity.
You mean the same WHO that sent out a tweet saying that the Coronavirus, according to research supplied by the Chinese government, had limited ability to be contagious?
California is much more spread out and the homeless don’t travel much.
Also: Grim Freepers
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