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Evidence over hysteria — COVID-19
Medium.com ^ | 03/20/2020 | Aaron Ginn

Posted on 03/21/2020 12:40:33 PM PDT by Skywise

After watching the outbreak of COVID-19 for the past two months, I’ve followed the pace of the infection, its severity, and how our world is tackling the virus. While we should be concerned and diligent, the situation has dramatically elevated to a mob-like fear spreading faster than COVID-19 itself. When 13% of Americans believe they are currently infected with COVID-19 (mathematically impossible), full-on panic is blocking our ability to think clearly and determine how to deploy our resources to stop this virus. Over three-fourths of Americans are scared of what we are doing to our society through law and hysteria, not of infection or spreading COVID-19 to those most vulnerable.

The following article is a systematic overview of COVID-19 driven by data from medical professionals and academic articles that will help you understand what is going on

(Excerpt) Read more at medium.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: covid19; dsj02; hysteria
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On a per-capita basis, we shouldn’t be panicking Every country has a different population size which skews aggregate and cumulative case comparisons. By controlling for population, you can properly weigh the number of cases in the context of the local population size. Viruses don’t acknowledge our human borders. The US population is 5.5X greater than Italy, 6X larger than South Korea, and 25% the size of China. Comparing the US total number of cases in absolute terms is rather silly.

Rank ordering based on the total number of cases shows that the US on a per-capita basis is significantly lower than the top six nations by case volume. On a 1 million citizen per-capita basis, the US moves to above mid-pack of all countries and rising, with similar case volume as Singapore (385 cases), Cyprus (75 cases), and United Kingdom(3,983 cases). This is data as of March 20th, 2020.

1 posted on 03/21/2020 12:40:33 PM PDT by Skywise
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To: Skywise

It’s one of those deals, though, that if you or someone you love is the person gasping for air while on a ventilator, it’s 100%. It may be a small risk, but nobody wants to take that chance.


2 posted on 03/21/2020 12:42:11 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (The Nazis were socialists, and all socialists turn into Nazis.)
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To: Skywise

There are a lot of other variables that are never considered...average age of the population, health of the population, etc. Chinese air pollution in the industrial areas is so severe that half of them probably already had lung disorders, for example, and Italy has the oldest population in Europe. So just the raw numbers don’t necessarily give an accurate projection.


3 posted on 03/21/2020 12:49:48 PM PDT by livius
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To: Pining_4_TX
It’s one of those deals, though, that if you or someone you love is the person gasping for air while on a ventilator, it’s 100%. It may be a small risk, but nobody wants to take that chance.

Oh so dramatic.....a false choice.

4 posted on 03/21/2020 1:18:31 PM PDT by pburgh01 (Negan all the MSM)
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To: Pining_4_TX

If the world declared war on cancer, threw trillions of dollars at it, made it, hands down, the most important thing in the world, trained ALL medical research on it and sacrificed the most productive economy in the history of the world to fight it, we could probably cure cancer. Why use these resources to prolong the lives of a few thousand elderly, very sick individuals when you could impact millions by emphasizing cancer cure?
The Wuhan flu reaction is totally uncalled for and the most dangerous threat to America since communism.


5 posted on 03/21/2020 1:20:02 PM PDT by hardspunned
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To: Pining_4_TX
It’s one of those deals, though, that if you or someone you love is the person gasping for air while on a ventilator, it’s 100%. It may be a small risk, but nobody wants to take that chance.

Exactly the same as it is with any other infectious disease, not excepting the common cold. It's no reason to take down Western civilization.

6 posted on 03/21/2020 1:22:22 PM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: Skywise

Everyone here on FR should read this article,e specially those helping fan the panic on the Live Thread: note:

93% of those who show up for testing who think they have the virus don’t. Now we can all fall under this hypochondriac syndrome-it just shows the power of advertising or media-repeat something enough and perception becomes reality.

This is also why we need to move on Hydroxychloroquine as a treatment, people need to know there is some hope and there is. It doesn’t matter if there are side effects from Hydroxychloroquine, even some deaths, it will heal more than it hurts and stop the panic


7 posted on 03/21/2020 1:27:36 PM PDT by TECTopcat (TopCat)
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To: Skywise

At-home coronavirus tests now available, companies say (Fox News)

As coronavirus testing in the U.S. continues to lag behind that in other highly affected countries such as South Korea, several domestic startups are reportedly launching the first at-home tests.

The products have been greenlit by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration under new expedited guidelines to help combat the virus, according to Stat, a health care industry news outlet.

One such test provider is Nurx, a San Francisco-based company best known for home testing products for sexually transmitted infections and birth control, now offers testing kits for COVID-19 through the mail for $181 after prospective customers fill out an online form with their symptoms.

“We don’t look for the severity of symptoms, only the presence of them. They can range from mild to severe,” Nurx spokeswoman Allison Hoffman told SFGate.com. “But, people with truly severe symptoms should also seek immediate care. … In terms of temperature in particular, we determine a fever is 100.4 [degrees] plus.”

After filling out the online survey, Nurx will determine if testing is necessary based on the person’s symptoms and will mail the test via expedited shipping.

Nurx can give customers lab results within 48 hours of receiving the test, SFGate reported.

“We are pivoting from our prior service lines to make this available,” Chris Hall, senior clinical adviser for Nurx, told Stat. “It’s a heavy lift, but we think it’s important.”

nurx@nurxapp

Today we are introducing the first #COVID19 home testing and online consultation service. We’re eager to safely connect people with certain symptoms and risk factors with testing and medical care.

https://www.nurx.com/coronavirus-testing/?utm_medium=organic-social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=coronavirus&utm_content= …

COVID-19 At Home Test Kit - Nurx ™
Nurx and its longstanding home testing lab partner, Molecular Testing Labs, are launching telehealth consultations and home testing for people who may have been exposed to COVID-19.

nurx.com
By Friday evening, Nurx’s website said it had hit capacity and would reopen Saturday morning.


8 posted on 03/21/2020 1:28:15 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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To: Skywise

93% of those who show up for testing who think they have the virus don’t. Now we can all fall under this hypochondriac syndrome-it just shows the power of advertising or media-repeat something enough and perception becomes reality.

Now there is a home testing kit available for these mentally ill hypochondriacs:

At-home coronavirus tests now available, companies say (Fox News)

As coronavirus testing in the U.S. continues to lag behind that in other highly affected countries such as South Korea, several domestic startups are reportedly launching the first at-home tests.

The products have been greenlit by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration under new expedited guidelines to help combat the virus, according to Stat, a health care industry news outlet.

One such test provider is Nurx, a San Francisco-based company best known for home testing products for sexually transmitted infections and birth control, now offers testing kits for COVID-19 through the mail for $181 after prospective customers fill out an online form with their symptoms.

“We don’t look for the severity of symptoms, only the presence of them. They can range from mild to severe,” Nurx spokeswoman Allison Hoffman told SFGate.com. “But, people with truly severe symptoms should also seek immediate care. … In terms of temperature in particular, we determine a fever is 100.4 [degrees] plus.”

After filling out the online survey, Nurx will determine if testing is necessary based on the person’s symptoms and will mail the test via expedited shipping.

Nurx can give customers lab results within 48 hours of receiving the test, SFGate reported.

“We are pivoting from our prior service lines to make this available,” Chris Hall, senior clinical adviser for Nurx, told Stat. “It’s a heavy lift, but we think it’s important.”

nurx@nurxapp

Today we are introducing the first #COVID19 home testing and online consultation service. We’re eager to safely connect people with certain symptoms and risk factors with testing and medical care.

https://www.nurx.com/coronavirus-testing/?utm_medium=organic-social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=coronavirus&utm_content= …

COVID-19 At Home Test Kit - Nurx ™
Nurx and its longstanding home testing lab partner, Molecular Testing Labs, are launching telehealth consultations and home testing for people who may have been exposed to COVID-19.

nurx.com
By Friday evening, Nurx’s website said it had hit capacity and would reopen Saturday morning.


9 posted on 03/21/2020 1:32:30 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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To: Skywise; All

Why you don’t hear about what Singapore is doing and seems to have it under control checkout posts 1,and 6.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3826755/posts


10 posted on 03/21/2020 1:57:46 PM PDT by mosesdapoet (mosesdapoet aka L.J.Keslin posting here for the record hoping somebody might read and pass around)
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To: TECTopcat

Took the flu shot this year and this is the 1st time in years I haven’t been sick.

Yes, I am aware it is for specific strains but, haven’t been put in bed for 1-2 weeks yet and no doctor visit.


11 posted on 03/21/2020 2:17:23 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
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To: TECTopcat

At least 3 people on the Live Thread have a history here of spreading panic all the way back to Pizzagate and undoubtedly before that little conspiracy theory.


12 posted on 03/21/2020 2:25:28 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Prayers for Rush)
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To: livius
Chinese air pollution in the industrial areas is so severe that half of them probably already had lung disorders, for example, and Italy has the oldest population in Europe

Northern Italy has the worst non-city air pollution (NO2) in winter in Europe by far. It is created by the inversion south of the Alps. NO2 is known to facilitate the spread of respiratory viruses. Also correlated with PM2.5 but I don't have data for that.

13 posted on 03/21/2020 2:40:07 PM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways to Sunday)
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To: TECTopcat

Mr. Sangfroid.....is that referring to Trump...cool head

Well, I’m listening to Lionel Nation and he says people are going off the deep end. ............deep state?

Title of Lionel’s youtube: conspiracy channels are Scaring me.It’s only eight minutes long.

Can anyone tell me what he is talking about? He talks above y head and I just can’t grasp it. thx


14 posted on 03/21/2020 2:53:54 PM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: TECTopcat

It is only a 4 or 5 day treatment also


15 posted on 03/21/2020 3:23:54 PM PDT by mel (There are only 2 races decent and undecent people)
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To: livius
 
 
One of the variables I keep seeing left out of all the studies & conversations is the issue of hygiene - personal, professional and overall cultural. Most of the rest of the world is not as voluntarily fastidious about it as we are here in the US, and I know that plays a part in how much trouble there may or may not be to deal with. I've noticed how much the media and the medical brain trust has danced around that one.
 
 

16 posted on 03/21/2020 3:48:17 PM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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To: mel

When Hydroxychloroquine is finally “approved”, all those casualties between now and then will be attributed to Trump’s “incompetence” and the impeachment drums will beat again.


17 posted on 03/21/2020 5:50:02 PM PDT by motor_racer (If you don't read the news, you are uninformed. If you read the news, you are misinformed.)
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To: Mr Ramsbotham; pburgh01; hardspunned

OK, you guys. I was expressing how people feel about this and why it’s so scary to many. It’s new and seems to be somewhat unpredictable. People have had the flu before or know people who have had the flu, but this is new territory.

People are always irrational when it comes to risk. They are afraid of chemicals in tiny, parts per billion amounts in things, but they drive without their seat belts on or smoke.


18 posted on 03/21/2020 7:18:02 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (The Nazis were socialists, and all socialists turn into Nazis.)
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To: Skywise

OK, here’s some evidence. Six days ago, there were 68 confirmed coronavirus cases in Texas. Yesterday, there were 395 cases and 5 deaths. At the end of the day today, that number will be close to 487 cases. At that rate of expansion, there will be 4,000 to 5,000 cases in Texas from now if nothing changes. Texas numbers are starting to look like NY and CA numbers, and those of many foreign countries that are taking a beating. The number of cases in Texas is doubling about every 64 hours. What is the “scary” number for you? What number is it going to hit before you start to get serious about staying home and not going out? And, if influenza averages 1 percent, then this is a greater death rate than that of the flu. And, you can say that 98 percent of the people tested test negative. That sounds great, but that’s still 2 out of 100 that test positive. Considering that this virus is showing to be 2.4 times as contagious at the flu, this seems to show that the worst is yet to come if nothing changes.


19 posted on 03/21/2020 7:56:44 PM PDT by eastexsteve
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To: Skywise

It appears that Medium has pulled the article. I guess helping people see all the “scary” data IN CONTEXT might interfere with the efforts to drive the panic and suppress resistance to the hyper-extension of government powers???


20 posted on 03/21/2020 8:32:09 PM PDT by TheBattman (Democrats-Progressives-Marxists-Socialists - redundant labels.)
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