Posted on 03/18/2020 12:00:06 AM PDT by Cronos
The deadly coronavirus has now hit all 50 states in the US as West Virginia reported its first case of the infection on Tuesday.
Announcing West Virginia's first Covid-19 patient, Governor Jim Justice said: "We knew this was coming."
New York City said it was considering a lockdown similar to one in the San Francisco Bay area.
There have so far been 108 deaths in the US from coronavirus and more than 6,300 confirmed cases nationwide.
Globally, there are about 200,000 cases and nearly 8,000 people have died.
...Pentagon chief Mark Esper said the US military would make available five million respirator masks and up to 2,000 ventilators to the US health department.
He said the military would also open its 14 certified coronavirus labs to test non-military personnel.
(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.com ...
Total number of cases are nearly 6000 with nearly 100 fatalities
17 have recovered so far in the USA -- small numbers, but the USA has only started on the curve, so both affected and recovered (and dead) will rise.
People aren’t dying fast enough. This is getting so damned boring!
I think far more have recovered that didnt even know they had it just stayed home and got well!!!
Meanwhile the political landscape is ripe for everybody.
Trump, ahead and leading the nation. (ya I know the media....)
Bernie gets to call for every national program he ever wanted.
Biden gets to make short announcements with a minimum of scrutiny.
And local political dictators calling for whatever they decide
is best for all.
This is where president Trump needs to cement his rally-ish likeability, into proven leadership in a time of crisis.
How to calculate the mortality rate during an outbreak
At present, it is tempting to estimate the case fatality rate by dividing the number of known deaths by the number of confirmed cases. The resulting number, however, does not represent the true case fatality rate and might be off by orders of magnitude [...]
A precise estimate of the case fatality rate is therefore impossible at present.
2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): estimating the case fatality rate a word of caution - Battegay Manue et al., Swiss Med Wkly, February 7, 2020
The case fatality rate (CFR) represents the proportion of cases who eventually die from a disease.
Once an epidemic has ended, it is calculated with the formula: deaths / cases.
But while an epidemic is still ongoing, as it is the case with the current novel coronavirus outbreak, this formula is, at the very least, "naïve" and can be "misleading if, at the time of analysis, the outcome is unknown for a non negligible proportion of patients." [8]
(Methods for Estimating the Case Fatality Ratio for a Novel, Emerging Infectious Disease - Ghani et al, American Journal of Epidemiology)
In other words, current deaths belong to a total case figure of the past, not to the current case figure in which the outcome (recovery or death) of a proportion (the most recent cases) hasn't yet been determined.
Once there is more testing the mortality rate will go way down. It is very infectious and a lot of people have already been exposed.
PEOPLE DIED
Stop that! You need to be patient, this death thing will soon pick up, just you wait... We’ve been promised millions of deaths, millions man!!
Why go to test? There is no cure! Shelter in place! Think, take measures else you could DIE! I guess somebody had to say it.
Right?
*crickets*
We're doomed.😬
Last week I heard the average age of those that died in the USA was about 80 years old.
Something to consider...
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/visualizing-secret-history-coronavirus-bioweapon
...We need to 2A promote citizens in every country to take care of their weaponized viruses called GOVERNMENT. Our FF were smart. With all of those citizens the Chinese government and their L4 lab wouldn’t last long.
That, whenever any form of government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the right of the people to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new government, laying its foundation on such principles, and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their safety and happiness. - Declaration 4July1776
It’s a shame that citizens world-over have to put up with this crap.
/s
Yes, an 85 yo female life is much less important to society than a 20 yo female life.
Yes, an 85 yo female life is much less important to society than a 20 yo female life.
How about telling everyone over 65 to stay inside. Theyre but 20% of the population and not all that productive. It keeps them protected from the young and yet allows the young, 80% of us, to go about the business of living.
Truth be told, smart old people are careful during the flu season anyway.
Every year I say the same thing about the masses crowding the Ed for a flu test. Its some status thing. I had a positive flu is something to brag about. By the time it was detected, you infected others and are 3/4 way to recovery. What rational person does that... excluding high risk patients. 50 percent of my immediate family is high risk... and They avoid the sick crowded Ed. Self care at home and we enjoy our sick days together.
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