Replies

1 posted on 03/17/2020 4:34:32 PM PDT by gas_dr

Finally a sensible look and prediction of what to look for...

135 posted on 03/18/2020 6:01:01 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)

"If the Italian numbers are flat tomorrow and the next day, the model appears will become increasingly predictive......"

Way to go doc!! So far so good.

worldometer

136 posted on 03/18/2020 8:17:04 AM PDT by icclearly

Thank you for your statistical analysis of the current international covid-19 (Wuhan) infection rate,
and your analysis on when we might find the infection plateau.
Unfortunately, my past statistics education occurred when computers were the size of a room, we used foreign language such as FORTRAN IV and COBOL,
and used punch cards with torn top left corners, and God help you if the rubber band keeping the cards in order broke,
and the cards sprawled across the floor in total disorder.
Honestly, in retrospect, is was a few levels above using an abacus.
I am not one of those 'Freareepers', but appreciate your yeoman's effort to provide us with insight,
especially since this effort on your own personal time, after a full work day in the trenches.
Predictability is so unpredictable, especially when you have Spring Breakers who are so self-centered, partying on the beaches,
still believing that they are resilient and indestructible, while ignoring their social responsibility to their grandparents and the elderly.
Just a short note to thank you for your efforts to enlighten us. God Bless !

137 posted on 03/18/2020 8:22:36 AM PDT by Tilted Irish Kilt

Question. Why is NY being hit so hard? Any data on the source of most of these cases (cruise ship. Chinese, community, nursing homes etc.)?

149 posted on 03/18/2020 10:31:45 AM PDT by icclearly

152 posted on 03/18/2020 5:17:51 PM PDT by Cedar

Any new dates on when we peak?
Thank you.

157 posted on 03/19/2020 12:25:15 PM PDT by NoLibZone (I survived :ColdWar ,Hong Kong Flu ,HIV AIDS, SARS, Ebola, ZIKA, MERS, H1N1 Swin Flu, AvianFlu)

My Kids EMS FD.

His House is almost out of gowns.

They will ave to use full setup with tanks and masks to do EMS.

158 posted on 03/19/2020 12:26:38 PM PDT by NoLibZone (I survived :ColdWar ,Hong Kong Flu ,HIV AIDS, SARS, Ebola, ZIKA, MERS, H1N1 Swin Flu, AvianFlu)

160 posted on 03/19/2020 1:02:55 PM PDT by musicman (The future is just a collection of successive nows.)

163 posted on 03/21/2020 1:28:18 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)

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