Posted on 03/16/2020 11:24:54 AM PDT by catnipman
The Diamond Princess was the worst case scenario, according to Levitt. “If you compare the ship to a country—we are talking 250,000 people crowded into one square kilometer, which is horribly crowded. It is four times the crowding in Hong Kong. It is as if the entire Isaeli population was crammed into 30 square kilometers.” Furthermore, he said, the ship had a central air conditioning and heating system and a communal dining room. “Those are extremely comfortable conditions for the virus and still, only 20% were infected. It is a lot, but pretty similar to the infection rate of the common flu.”
As with the flu, most of those dying as a result of coronavirus are over 70 years old, Levitt said. “It is a known fact that the flu mostly kills the elderly—around three-quarters of flu mortalities are people over 65.” To put things in proportion: “there are years when flu is raging, like in the U.S. in 2017, when there were three times the regular number of mortalities. And still, we did not panic. That is my message: you need to think of corona like a severe flu. It is four to eight times as strong as a common flu, and yet, most people will remain healthy and humanity will survive.”
(Excerpt) Read more at calcalistech.com ...
Saw the same thing. Must be a different form of virus were suffering!
Ridiculous. People were only on that ship for a few weeks and estimations of the rate of doubling of infections have been about 6.2 days.
You wouldn’t nearly expect the majority of the ship to be infected in the time they were aboard—especially since they were trying to keep people quarantined through much of it.
Contrary to your headline it’s very sick people in NORTHERN Italy, with a high population of Chinese that have it bad.
“Almost all patients were already suffering from serious health problems, including cancer, when the coronavirus infection was detected,”
Who wants calm reasoning when you can run around with your hair on fire ... and somehow blame it on Trump?
Is this your chart Travis? If so, please explain the non increase with the influenza line. Am I reading it wrong?
I picture a sad old man humping a moose on the side of the road the way these sick f*^@ks are riding Italy for their jollies, while they hope for another.
What about France? Coronavirus is starting to blow up there now, and the smoking right is very close to the US.
Actually the flu is more of a sinusoidal graph. It peaks October through April and reaches a trough in the summer months.
Mike just lost his credibility. This is not part of the CNN thought police narrative.
The proximity settings and the math still work. The Milan area of northern Italy has long had thousands of Chinese working in textile mills. No big surprise that it is a hot spot. You think they don't have family visiting or going back to China to visit? Think Mexico and the US.
Yep, we’re in solid shape.
He is making the false assumption that the rate of increase will remain exponential. That curve assumes that we as humanoids did nothing in the form of prevention. With all of this “social distancing” and other preventive measures, the rate will surely flatten out.
Yeah, that flu line is a dead giveaway.
One could argue about the Corona line, but the flu line is a laugh.
Anyway, I’m sure that graph was intended to generate panic and thus the need for accuracy fell second or third to the ‘in your face’ Corona line.
Oh, and I’ve had defenders of the chart try and tell me that once flu is underway the line will straighten out. Seesh.
Sums it up quite well. Wonder what his DU handle is? Mavis Tragee?
.COVID-19 is either a bioweapon about to explode or an evil plot to destroy our country. To quote Rahm Emmanuel: Never let a crisis go to waste.
. Are we trying to stop our economy and freedoms until no one dies? The average number of co-morbities in the people who died in Italy is 2.7.
No, he is not. While he may be quite strident about the risk of COVID-19, the worst you could say is that he is wrong. While you may disagree with him on this, the guy is a solid Freeper.
Travis McGee is a liberal troll idiot.
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And he has literally circled the planet 75 times with that B.S. graph that even a high-school C student in biology and math could pick out the glaring error with the flu line.
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Well he’s neither a liberal nor an idiot but he certainly has been trolling with his HUGELY EXCESSIVE alarmism regarding this Wuhan Coronavirus (WCV). He has tried to impart hysteria by implying that the WCV is today’s equivalent to the 1918 Spanish Flu. I think he envisions himself as a heroic Paul Revere on a “ride” to warn everyone (that being we idiotic rubes on Free Republic) about “what’s coming”.
Despite his alarmism, he’s very much a coward when it comes to specifying what HIS personal prediction as to the number of infected and number of deaths will be. I’m convinced that he must KNOW that the WCV outbreak is NOT a Spanish Flu level event and not even remotely close to it. He MUST understand that the scientific/medical/communications environment of 2020 is not that of 1918. If folks challenge him on his degree of alarmism he calls them names and says they are “just the flu” people.
He is, in essence, just some person who is reveling in his TROLLISH BEHAVIOR.
While I agree with the actions of President Trump’s team my family is taking all precautions,I am a “NOT THE SPANISH FLU” person and proud of my sanity and sense of proportion.
He should be pounding this home, over and over. Especially in light of the demented Biden defending China.
I swear, people think this is the Black Death. This guy will probably get excoriated for trying to even discuss the issue.
He isn’t that. As another poster said, he may be wrong about his estimation of the biological severity of the coronavirus, but he is a solid conservative who has been a real treasure of valid information on this website for years.
I would recommend you retract that statement.
Obviously, you can do what you like, but folks who know better will likely view you in a different light if you let it stand.
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