You really don't understand exponents, do you?
Posted on 03/15/2020 8:05:08 PM PDT by NRx
Britain's coronavirus crisis could last until Spring 2021 and see 7.9million people hospitalised, a secret briefing for senior NHS figures has revealed.
The document, seen by The Guardian newspaper, shows that health chiefs expect the virus to last for another 12 months, and details how it will impact key staff in the NHS, police and fire brigade.
It says: 'As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalisation.'
It is understood the document was drawn up in recent days by Public Health England's preparedness and response team.
Dr Susan Hopkins, Deputy Director of PHE’s National Infection Service said: 'PHE used reasonable worse-case scenario figures, to restate the importance for people with symptoms to stay at home, including health care workers in order to reduce the spread of the virus.'
Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, and expert in epidemiology said: 'For the public to hear that it could last for 12 months, people are going to be really upset about that and pretty worried about that'
'A year is entirely plausible. But that figure isn't well appreciated or understood.'
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Your propaganda is nonstop.
What are you trying to accomplish here.
Are you advocating economic collapse. If you are then this “virus” better kill tens of millions. Because the economic pain many will bear will be catastrophic. You have no care for anyone’s business or livelihood.
Take your fear elsewhere.
Life is a death sentence nobody gets our alive.
50 million aren’t dead. Even the Chinese communist party couldn’t keep that number hidden. Don’t spread rumours
The average age of death in Italy is 81. That is relevant.
How much do you want to beat Corona want kill as many as the seasonal flu did this year (22,000)?
Its funny your massive level of projection.
You are worse than a libtard idiot. You could work for Goebbels. You are a liar and a scammer. I never said one thing in that illustration you post as a response to me.
Stunning - average age of Italians who have died from coronavirus is 81
If this one doesn’t work, I give up!
Because the death rate for young people is 20 times higher. For over 80s it is 100 times higher
Driving is inherently more dangerous then this “virus”.
Why don’t you start dynamiting highways as a means to limit loss of life.
Gateway Pundit, my “go to” for top cred info.
Coronavirus: More young patients being admitted to hospital, Italian doctor warns
Over 17,600 people are infected by Covid-19 in Europe’s worst-hit country
Italians admitted to hospital for coronavirus are getting younger, a health official has claimed.
“The type of patient is changing,” Luca Lorini, the head of anaesthesia and intensive care at a northern Italian hospital, has said.
“They are a bit younger, between 40 to 45 years old and the cases are more complicated.”
Dr Lorini, who works at a hospital in Bergamo, told radio programme RaiNews24: ”People are arriving who got ill six or seven days ago and treated themselves at home – and then their conditions became more and more critical.”
Twelve per cent of those who have been treated in intensive care are aged between 19 and 50, according to official figures released last week. Around 52 per cent are between 51 and 70 years old, with the rest all over 70.
Younger people with lots of social contact are more at risk of contracting the disease if they do not stick to social distancing rules
Are you for the military enforcing quarantine, Travis?
“Its funny your massive level of projection. You are worse than a libtard idiot. You could work for Goebbels. You are a liar and a scammer. I never said one thing in that illustration you post as a response to me.”
Every hour I’m called a lying anti-Trump panic and hysteria spreader for trying to warn folks what’s coming.
I compare you to an Ostrich, and you go weepy.
Grow a pair.
You really don't understand exponents, do you?
But this is what China did to get CV under some kind of control.
If it took the military and police to keep this from happening (the bottom) what would YOU advise?
I called you a liar because you lied about me.
And you’re still a liar.
It’s a combination of infectiousness and case fatality rate.
Covid-19: European Leaders Finally Acknowledge Scale Of Crisis
[DOUBLING EVERY 72 HOURS!!!!]
Sat, 03/14/2020
The disease is spreading fast: more than 28,000 coronavirus cases (93% of all cases) in Europe were confirmed during just the first twelve days of March. The number of new cases has been doubling, on average, every 72 hours.
“The threat is very significant... There are many epidemiologists who talk about the potential of the virus in terms of attack rates globally that could be between 50% and 70% of the global population.
“It is important to recognize that the virus is here and that it has tremendous potential to be disruptive, to cause high rates of illness and even high rates of death....
“I don’t think we are dealing with the flu here... this is a virus that is now circulating in a population that has absolutely no immunity to it.... You might have an attack rate that is three times higher than seasonal flu with a mortality rate that is ten times higher.
“The most concerning thing about this virus is the combination of infectiousness and the ability to cause severe disease or death. We have not since 1918 — since the Spanish flu — seen a virus that combined those two qualities in the same way. We have seen very lethal viruses — Ebola’s mortality rate in some cases is greater than 80% — but they don’t have the infectiousness that this virus has. They don’t have the potential to explode and spread globally....
“I think that what we are seeing is a virus that is many, many times more lethal than the flu, and a population that is completely vulnerable to it, and we are seeing its ability to explode. It has increased in some countries over the last two weeks by one thousand-fold and many countries are seeing ten-fold or one hundred-fold increases in cases. There is nothing to stop that expansion from continuing unless those societies move aggressively, engage their publics, implement multiple public health interventions, including introducing social distancing....
“We need to modify our behavior. We need to start practicing that now. We have to modify our behavior in ways that reduces the risk of transmitting the virus.... One challenge that we face is that people who are young and are generally healthy won’t perceive personal risk and they will govern their behavior based on what they perceive their personal risk to be. I think we need to start thinking in terms of the social risk. If I have a cold and I go to work and shake hands with my older colleague who has a chronic medical condition, I could be responsible for that colleague’s death. We all need to think about our responsibility to each other as we govern our behavior. We can’t view the epidemic in terms of our personal risk, we need to act collectively in a cooperative manner....
“I don’t think it’s a crazy analogy to compare this to World War 2... I think this is an appropriate analogy and the mindset that people need to get into....
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/15729/coronavirus-europe-crisis
Can’t make an assessment without all the numbers but they might be triaging the younger patients to the ICU beds (better chance of survival). Rumor is that this is the practice in Italy.
Read the entire story at the link at 54 and get back to me.
Or, bask in your invincible ignorance.
Grow a pair, “Secret Agent Man.”
MAN UP, DUDE.
You’re a fuching liar. i don’t suffer liars.
You fuchong man up and stop being a liar.
And there are people on FR who are fine with this approach.
It took nearly a century for the best minds to come to conclusions about the 1918-1929 Spanish Flu. And the numbers of deaths and the fatality rate still vary pretty widely.
About Coronavirus, we do the best with the information we can glean in real time.
Watch this.
Dr. John Campbell: Sunday 15th March, Covid-19 International aspects
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIMXekRVnHo
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